Updated 5 November 2026.
Barnet host Tranmere Rovers at The Hive Stadium on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup 1st Round, kick-off 15:00 UK. The two sides are League Two opponents and have already met this season: Barnet won 2-1 at Prenton Park on 17 October, and this tie is the return three weeks later at The Hive.
Our model has Barnet as clear favourites, a 61% chance of winning in 90 minutes against 18% for Tranmere, and a 2-1 home win as the most likely score.
Barnet have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last 10 league games. Their most recent two outings were a 3-1 home win over York on 27 October and a 1-1 draw at Crewe on 31 October. Before those came a 1-1 draw with Oldham and a 1-3 home loss to Swindon, the only defeat in the last 10.
Tranmere have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last 10. They come in off a 3-1 home win over Cheltenham on 31 October, and before that a 1-1 draw at Crawley and a 1-0 win at Northampton. That is two wins and a draw from their last three. The other results in their last five were the 2-1 home defeat to Barnet on 17 October, and before that a 1-1 draw with Rochdale.
Our projections have Barnet at 2.22 goals and 15.62 shots against 1.15 goals and 8.75 shots for Tranmere. Barnet are projected for 5.65 shots on target to Tranmere's 3.34 and for 6.64 corners to 3.62. Tranmere are projected to commit more fouls (12.66 to 10.25) and pick up more yellow cards (2.06 to 1.44).
Barnet possible starting lineup:
Cox; Senior, Collinge, Crichlow, Gallagher; Comley, Tavares, Ofoborh, Lakin; Knowles, Tshimanga
Tranmere Rovers possible starting lineup:
McGee; J. Senior, Smith, Faulkner, Slater; Vaulks, Jones, Conlon; Whitaker, Ince, Ironside
Kabongo Tshimanga and Tom Knowles are the two forwards in our possible starting lineup for Barnet, a side we project for 2.22 goals and 5.65 shots on target.
For Tranmere, Tom Ince and Joe Ironside are both in our possible starting lineup, for a side we project for 1.15 goals and 3.34 shots on target. Will Vaulks is in the midfield three.
We back Barnet to win in 90 minutes, and the bookmakers have them as favourites too: the best price is 1.62 at midnite, with the draw at 4.00 and Tranmere at 5.00. Both teams to score is 1.70 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.67 at bet365, while over 1.5 goals is 1.20 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Barnet to win | 1.62 (midnite) | 61% |
| Draw | 4.00 (midnite) | 21% |
| Tranmere Rovers to win | 5.00 (midnite) | 18% |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 (bet365) | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 65% |
Our prediction is Barnet 2-1 Tranmere Rovers, the likeliest single score at 9.8%, with 1-1 just behind at 9.2%. A draw is in play at 21%, although we make Barnet clearly more likely to win, at 61%. We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance, and Barnet a 32% chance of a clean sheet.
Barnet vs Tranmere Rovers in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round kicks off at 15:00 UK on Saturday 7 November 2026 at The Hive Stadium. Both clubs play in League Two, and we make Barnet 61% to win in 90 minutes.
We predict Barnet 2-1 Tranmere Rovers in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, the most likely score at 9.8%. A 1-1 draw is close behind at 9.2%, so a draw is in play, but Barnet are favoured to win.
Barnet are favourites in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round, with a 61% chance of winning in 90 minutes against 21% for a draw and 18% for Tranmere Rovers. The best price on Barnet is 1.62 at midnite.
We give both teams to score a 61% chance in this 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie between Barnet and Tranmere Rovers, with over 2.5 goals at 65%. Barnet are projected for 2.22 goals and Tranmere Rovers for 1.15.
Barnet drew 1-1 at Crewe in League Two on 31 October 2026 and have lost just 1 of their last 10 league games, while Tranmere Rovers beat Cheltenham 3-1 the same day. Barnet beat Tranmere 2-1 on 17 October.
Predicted lineups for Barnet vs Tranmere in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Barnet may start Cox; Senior, Collinge, Crichlow, Gallagher; Comley, Tavares, Ofoborh, Lakin; Knowles, Tshimanga. Tranmere Rovers may start McGee; J. Senior, Smith, Faulkner, Slater; Vaulks, Jones, Conlon; Whitaker, Ince, Ironside.