Updated 15 November 2026.
Kenya and South Africa meet at the Nyayo National Stadium on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 16:00 UK, in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. The first meeting finished 2-2 on 13 November, four days earlier. Kenya have two points from three games, while South Africa lead the group on seven.
Kenya have drawn twice and lost once in the group stage. South Africa have scored 9 goals in their three games, an average of 3 a game.
Kenya sit 3rd in the group with two draws and a defeat from their three matches, scoring three and conceding four. The 2-2 draw with South Africa on 13 November was their latest result, and it followed a 1-0 loss to Guinea and a 1-1 draw with Eritrea. Kenya have not won since a 4-0 friendly victory over Lesotho in June, which followed a 0-0 friendly draw with Palestine a day earlier.
Kenya average 1 goal a game and concede 1.33. Both teams have scored in 67% of Kenya's games, and a third of them have gone over 2.5 goals. They average 4 shots on target, 4.67 corners and 14.67 fouls a game, against 6 corners and 14.67 fouls for South Africa.
South Africa head the group on 7 points after two wins and a draw, with nine goals scored and three conceded. They beat Guinea 2-1, then beat Eritrea 5-0, before the draw with Kenya. They average 3 goals and 6.33 shots on target a game, and every one of their three games has gone over 2.5 goals.
Beyond qualifying, they beat South Korea 1-0 at the World Cup in June before a 1-0 defeat to Canada. Their 7 points from 3 games put them 1st in the group standings, five clear of Kenya.
Relebohile Mofokeng has had a shot in each of South Africa's three games, averaging 4.3 per game, and has also hit the target in all three, at 1.7 per game.
Oswin Appollis has had a shot in three straight games at 2.3 per game and has made a tackle in each of those matches too, at 1.7. Striker Iqraam Rayners has also had a shot in all three games, averaging 2.7, and centre-back Ime Okon has committed a foul in each of the three, at 1.3 a game.
For Kenya, Ryan Ogam has had a shot in three straight games at 3.7 per game and has put one on target in each, averaging 1.3.
South Africa are the bookmakers' favourites at 1.80 with midnite. Kenya are 4.60 and the draw is 3.25.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kenya win | 4.60 | 25% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 31% |
| South Africa win | 1.80 | 44% |
| Both teams to score | 2.25 | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.50 | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 30% |
We predict Kenya 0-1 South Africa, the likeliest single scoreline at 17%, ahead of 0-0 at 15% and 1-1 at 13%. A draw is in play, but we make South Africa the most likely winners at 44%, with Kenya at 25% and the draw at 31%. We project South Africa for 1.12 goals and Kenya for 0.78, and South Africa have a 46% chance of a clean sheet against 33% for Kenya.
Kenya vs South Africa kicks off at 16:00 UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at the Nyayo National Stadium. It is a Group Stage match in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, and it is the second meeting between the sides in four days.
We predict Kenya 0-1 South Africa in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. That scoreline has a 17% chance, ahead of 0-0 at 15% and 1-1 at 13%, so a draw is in play, but we make South Africa 44% to win.
South Africa are favourites at 1.80 with midnite for the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications match, against 4.60 for Kenya and 3.25 for the draw. We give South Africa a 44% chance of winning, Kenya 25% and the draw 31%.
We give both teams to score a 36% chance in this Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications match, with the best price 2.25. Both sides scored in the 2-2 draw on 13 November, and over 2.5 goals is rated at 30%.
Kenya and South Africa drew 2-2 on 13 November 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. That result left South Africa top of the group on 7 points from three games, with Kenya 3rd on 2 points.
Ryan Ogam has had a shot in 3 straight games for Kenya in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, averaging 3.7 per game. He has also hit the target in all three, averaging 1.3 shots on target.
South Africa sit 1st on 7 points from 3 games in the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, with nine goals scored. Kenya are 3rd on 2 points after two draws and a defeat, with three goals for and four against.