Guinea host Kenya on 1 October 2026 at 17:00 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Guinea's last five results: D D L L L (2 draws and 3 losses). Kenya's last five: D W D W D (2 wins and 3 draws).
Guinea vs Kenya kicks off at 17:00 UK time on Thursday 1 October 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications.
Guinea's last five results read D D L L L (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Kenya's last five results read D W D W D (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Thierno Barry leads Guinea with 1 shots across their last 10 games.
D. Abuya leads Kenya with 3 shots across their last 10 games.
Predicted lineups for Guinea vs Kenya appear on the Lineups tab of this page once the team news is in, usually the day before the game.
Statz's projection model makes Guinea the favourite with a 55% chance of winning, against 17% for Kenya and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Guinea 1.4 - 0.6 Kenya.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0, a Guinea win, at 18%. Both teams to score is 36% likely and over 2.5 goals 33%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects Guinea 1.4 - 0.6 Kenya in goals. It gives Guinea a 55% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kenya 17%. Both teams to score is 36% likely, over 1.5 goals 60% and over 2.5 goals 33%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (18%), 0-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Guinea win | 18% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 13% |
| 2-0 | Guinea win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 0-1 | Kenya win | 8% |
| # | Guinea | Fouls committed | Kenya | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Camara | 1 | D. Abuya | 3 |
| 2 | H. Wesonga | 1 | ||
| 3 | A. Omar | 1 | ||
| 4 | M. Bajaber | 1 | ||
| 5 | R. Onyango | 1 |
| # | Guinea | Shots | Kenya | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Barry | 1 | D. Abuya | 3 |
| 2 | H. Wesonga | 2 | ||
| 3 | M. Bajaber | 2 | ||
| 4 | S. Sirengo | 2 | ||
| 5 | R. Onyango | 2 |
| # | Guinea | Shots on target | Kenya | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Fofana | 1 | M. Bajaber | 1 |
| 2 | A. Traoré | 1 | D. Abuya | 1 |
| 3 | L. Kourouma | 1 | S. Sirengo | 1 |
| 4 | M. Toure | 1 | ||
| 5 | I. Bangoura | 1 |
| # | Guinea | Goals | Kenya | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Camara | 1 | A. Otieno | 1 |
| # | Guinea | Yellow cards | Kenya | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Diakhaby | 1 | S. Owino | 1 |
| 2 | M. Soumah | 1 | R. Onyango | 1 |
| 3 | S. Camara | 1 | M. Okwaro | 1 |
| 4 | L. Kourouma | 1 | ||
| 5 | S. Guirassy | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 21 of 58 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 16 of 58 |
| Shots | 7.5 | 29 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 25 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13.8 | 11 of 58 |
| Passes | 2 | 17 of 58 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 4 of 58 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 12 of 58 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 41 of 58 |
| Shots | 10.1 | 14 of 58 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 58 |
| Fouls | 13 | 22 of 58 |
| Passes | 2 | 21 of 58 |
| Corners | 5 | 19 of 58 |