Updated 2 November 2026.
RB Leipzig host Manchester City at the Red Bull Arena on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 20:00 UK, in the Champions League league stage. Leipzig have shipped eight goals in three games and sit 30th of 36 with 3 points. City are 10th on 6 points.
Leipzig have won their last two in the Bundesliga, 4-0 against Elversberg and 2-0 at Schalke. City have lost their last two Premier League games, 2-1 at Aston Villa and 1-0 at home to Brighton, with a 2-2 draw against Brighton in the Carabao Cup in between.
In the league-stage table, Leipzig have won 1 and lost 2, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. The win was a 1-0 at home to PSV on 13 October, and one of the defeats was 4-1 at Real Madrid on 21 October. Four days before that they lost 6-1 at Bayern in the Bundesliga. Their scoring is 1.00 goals a game, the 26th fewest, and they concede 2.67 a game, the 8th most. Leipzig have still kept a clean sheet in a third of their games.
City have won 2 of 3 in the league stage and score three a game, the 8th most. They put away AEK Athens 5-1 on 20 October, but have lost twice since in the Premier League: a 2-1 defeat at Villa and a 1-0 home loss to Brighton on 31 October. They average 8 corners a game, the 5th most, and their shots on target sit at 8.67 a game.
Both sides have seen both teams score in two of their three league stage games.
RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Vandevoordt; Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum; Banzuzi, El Aynaoui; Nusa, Gruda, Rômulo; Nkunku
Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Donnarumma; Lewis, Dias, Khusanov, Gvardiol; Anderson, Fernández, Allan; Cherki, Foden, Samba
Antonio Nusa has had 2+ shots in three straight games, averaging three a game, and he is 1.50 at Ladbrokes to make it four. Ridle Baku has had 2+ shots in three straight games (3.90 at Ladbrokes) and has also committed a foul in three straight.
Enzo Fernández has taken 2+ shots in three straight Champions League games, averaging 2.7, and has hit that mark in four of his last five games. He is 1.61 at Ladbrokes. Elliot Anderson has made 2+ tackles in three straight, averaging 2.7, and is 1.25 at bet365.
Willi Orbán has committed a foul in three straight games, averaging 1.7, and is 1.53 at bet365 to do it again. He has also made a tackle in three straight, at 1.17 with bet365.
We back Manchester City, who we make 57% to win, with the best price at 1.57 with bet365. Leipzig are 5.25 at Coral and the draw is 4.60 at Ladbrokes. Both teams to score is 1.44 at bet365 and over 1.5 goals is 1.10.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 5.25 (Coral) | 22% |
| Draw | 4.60 (Ladbrokes) | 21% |
| Manchester City win | 1.57 (bet365) | 57% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 69% |
We project City for 2.22 goals to Leipzig's 1.35, and 1-2 is the likeliest single scoreline at 9.4%, with 1-1 next at 8.9%. Both teams scoring comes out at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A player-prop bet builder could use Gvardiol for a foul (1.36 at bet365), Fernández for 2+ shots (1.61 at Ladbrokes), Rômulo for 2+ shots (1.33 at Ladbrokes) and Dias for a tackle (1.62 at bet365). Gvardiol has committed a foul in each of his last five games, and Rômulo has had 2+ shots in four of his last five.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City in the 2026/27 Champions League league stage kicks off at 20:00 UK on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at the Red Bull Arena, with Leipzig 30th of 36 on 3 points and City 10th on 6 points.
Our prediction for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City in the 2026/27 Champions League is a 1-2 away win, the likeliest scoreline at 9.4%. We give City a 57% chance of winning, with 22% for Leipzig and 21% for the draw.
Manchester City are favourites to win at the Red Bull Arena in this 2026/27 Champions League game, with a 57% chance in our model against 22% for RB Leipzig and 21% for the draw, on Wednesday 4 November.
We give both teams to score a 66% chance in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City in the 2026/27 Champions League, and over 2.5 goals comes out at 69%, with both teams scoring in 2 of each side's 3 league stage games.
Before this 2026/27 league-stage match, RB Leipzig are 30th of 36 with 3 points from 3 games, while Manchester City are 10th with 6 points from 3. Leipzig have a goal difference of minus 5.
Enzo Fernández has had 2+ shots in 3 straight Champions League games ahead of Manchester City's 2026/27 trip to RB Leipzig, averaging 2.7 per game, and he has hit that mark in 4 of his last 5 games.
For this 2026/27 Champions League game, Leipzig's possible starting lineup is Vandevoordt; Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum; Banzuzi, El Aynaoui; Nusa, Gruda, Rômulo; Nkunku. City's is Donnarumma; Lewis, Dias, Khusanov, Gvardiol; Anderson, Fernández, Allan; Cherki, Foden, Samba.