Updated 29 October 2026.
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Paderborn at Stadion im Borussia-Park on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 2:30pm UK, with the home side bottom of the Bundesliga table in 18th on 3 points from seven games. Paderborn sit 13th on 8. Gladbach have conceded 22 goals in those seven games, Paderborn nine.
Gladbach won 3-2 at Stuttgart last time out, their only win in seven league games. We make them the likelier winner at 49%, against 26% for Paderborn, but 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 12% and that is our prediction.
Gladbach's 3-2 win at Stuttgart on 23 October came straight after a 2-1 home defeat to Hoffenheim, and before that a 2-1 loss at Köln. In September came a 4-3 home loss to Mainz and a 5-0 beating at Freiburg.
They concede 3.14 a game, the most in the league, and have not kept a clean sheet all season, the 2nd lowest clean-sheet rate. Both teams have scored in 71% of their games, the 4th highest rate, and all seven have gone over 2.5 goals. They also average 3.43 cards a game, the most in the league, and their 14.14 fouls a game are the 2nd most.
Paderborn beat Hamburg 1-0 at home last weekend and drew 2-2 at Bremen a week before, with a 2-0 home loss to Stuttgart and a 3-1 win over Hoffenheim in the games before that. They have scored six goals in seven games, 0.86 a game and the 4th fewest, and concede 1.29 a game, also the 4th fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games, the 5th highest rate, and only 29% of their matches have seen both teams score, the 5th lowest. They average 3.43 shots on target a game, the 3rd fewest.
Borussia Mönchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Nicolas; Hashioka, Chiarodia, Scally, Ullrich; Sander, Uno, Neuhaus; Bolin, Mohya, Machino
Paderborn possible starting lineup:
Noll; ter Horst, Hansen, Scheller, Curda; Castaneda, Ulrich, Vidovic; Obermair, Marino, Tigges
Santiago Castaneda has made at least one tackle in all seven games, averaging 2.4, and has had a shot in six straight, at 1.8 a game. A shot from him is 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
Raphael Obermair has had a shot in five straight, averaging 1.6, and a shot from him is 1.73 at bet365.
Steffen Tigges has had a shot on target in four straight games, averaging 1.3, and is 1.91 at bet365 to do it again.
For Gladbach, Philipp Sander has committed a foul in all seven games, 2.1 a game, and is 1.36 at midnite for another.
Lukas Ullrich has fouled in six straight at 1.8 a game, and Joe Scally has had a shot in four in a row, 1.50 at Ladbrokes.
We make Gladbach the likelier winner at 49%, and the best price on a home win is 2.05 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Gladbach win | 2.05 (midnite) | 49% |
| Draw | 3.90 (bet365) | 25% |
| Paderborn win | 3.50 (bet365) | 26% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 57% |
Our model has Gladbach on 1.74 goals and Paderborn on 1.22, with the hosts creating 15.6 shots to 11.4. We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, with 2-1 to Gladbach next at 10%, though we make Gladbach 49% to win and Paderborn 26%. All of Gladbach's games have gone over 2.5 goals, and we have it at 57% here.
Prediction: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-1 Paderborn
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn in the 2026/27 Bundesliga kicks off at 2:30pm UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at Stadion im Borussia-Park. Gladbach are 18th and Paderborn 13th in the 18-team table going into the game, and we make 1-1 the likeliest score.
We predict 1-1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, the single likeliest scoreline at 12%. We make Gladbach more likely to win overall at 49%, with Paderborn on 26% and the draw on 25%, and we project 1.74 goals for Gladbach and 1.22 for Paderborn.
Gladbach are favourites against Paderborn in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, and we give them a 49% chance of winning, with the draw at 25% and a Paderborn win at 26%. Gladbach are 18th on 3 points from 7 games, while Paderborn are 13th on 8 points.
Both teams to score in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn in the 2026/27 Bundesliga is a 59% chance in our projections, with over 2.5 goals at 57%. Both teams have scored in 71% of Gladbach's league games and 29% of Paderborn's this season.
Before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn on 31 October 2026, Gladbach are 18th in the 2026/27 Bundesliga with 3 points from 7 games, and Paderborn are 13th with 8 points from 7. Gladbach have won 1 and lost 6, while Paderborn have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.
In Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Santiago Castaneda has had a shot in six straight games for Paderborn, averaging 1.8 a game across the run. Raphael Obermair has had a shot in five straight, and Joe Scally has done it in four for Gladbach.
For the 2:30pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in the 2026/27 Bundesliga, Borussia Mönchengladbach's possible starting lineup against Paderborn is Nicolas; Hashioka, Chiarodia, Scally, Ullrich; Sander, Uno, Neuhaus; Bolin, Mohya, Machino, and Paderborn's possible starting lineup is Noll; ter Horst, Hansen, Scheller, Curda; Castaneda, Ulrich, Vidovic; Obermair, Marino, Tigges.