Updated 24 October 2026.
Sevilla welcome Osasuna to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Monday 26 October, kick-off 8pm UK. The hosts sit 6th in La Liga on 14 points from nine games, while Osasuna are 11th on 11. Osasuna concede two a game, the 3rd most in La Liga.
Sevilla lost 4-1 at Real Madrid last Sunday, drew 3-3 at Levante and lost 3-1 at home to Barcelona, after 1-0 at Deportivo and 1-0 against Valencia in September. They've scored 14 and conceded 16 in nine games, and both teams have scored in 78% of Sevilla's matches, the 3rd highest rate in the division.
Osasuna come in off a 2-0 home win over Racing, which followed a 5-2 defeat at Betis. Before that came a 1-1 draw with Rayo, a 4-0 loss at Atlético and a 2-0 defeat to Espanyol. They've conceded two a game, the 3rd most in La Liga, and scored 10 in nine, though they've kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches, the 6th highest rate.
Both sides average 14.67 fouls a game, the 2nd most in the league. Sevilla's foul numbers and Osasuna's foul numbers are on the team pages. They also lead the way for cards: Sevilla average 3.33 cards a game, the 2nd most in La Liga, and Osasuna 2.67, the 6th most, and our projections have Sevilla on 2.2 yellow cards and Osasuna on 2.3. Neither side creates much: both average 4.33 shots on target a game, the 9th fewest, and they win 3.00 and 3.56 corners a game, the 3rd and 5th fewest.
Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Iglesias, Salas, Castrín, Suazo; Agoumé, Fofana, Kochorashvili; Correia, Ure, Vargas
Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Fernández; Rosier, Boyomo, Catena, Bretones; Moncayola, Muñoz, Gómez; García, Budimir, Dubasin
Abel Bretones has committed a foul in nine straight games, averaging 1.3, and bet365 have him at 1.36 to make it ten. In midfield, Lucien Agoumé has made three or more tackles in four in a row at 3.5 a game, and is 1.57 at BoyleSports.
His midfield partner Youssouf Fofana has made two or more tackles in five straight, averaging 2.6, and is 1.25 at bet365. Kike Salas has made at least one tackle in seven consecutive games.
On the Osasuna side, Rubén García has made a tackle in seven in a row at 2.3 a game, and has also fouled in four straight. Alejandro Catena has committed a foul in each of his last five and is 1.29 at Midnite.
We back Sevilla, and Ladbrokes have them at 1.95 to win. Our model gives the hosts 50% to win, the draw 27% and Osasuna 23%, so the interest sits in the player markets above.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla to win | 1.95 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Draw | 3.40 (Ladbrokes) | 27% |
| Osasuna to win | 4.50 (bet365) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 (bet365) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 (bet365) | 49% |
We expect 1.62 goals from Sevilla and 1.03 from Osasuna. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, with 1-0 and 2-1 close behind, though we make Sevilla 50% to win. Our prediction is Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna.
Sevilla are projected 4.88 shots on target to Osasuna's 3.32, and the home side keep a clean sheet in 36% of our simulations.
The match kicks off at 8pm UK on Monday 26 October 2026 at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Our model's likeliest score is 1-1, though we make Sevilla more likely to win, at 50% against 23% for Osasuna and 27% for the draw.
Sevilla, priced at 1.95 with Ladbrokes. Osasuna are 4.50 at bet365 and the draw is 3.40.
We give both teams to score a 52% chance, and bet365 price it at 1.95. Sevilla have seen both sides score in 78% of their games, the 3rd highest in La Liga.
Abel Bretones has fouled in nine straight games, Lucien Agoumé has made three or more tackles in four in a row, and Youssouf Fofana has made two or more tackles in five straight.
Sevilla are 6th with 14 points from nine games and Osasuna are 11th with 11 points from nine.
Sevilla: Vlachodimos; Iglesias, Salas, Castrín, Suazo; Agoumé, Fofana, Kochorashvili; Correia, Ure, Vargas. Osasuna: Fernández; Rosier, Boyomo, Catena, Bretones; Moncayola, Muñoz, Gómez; García, Budimir, Dubasin.