Updated 29 October 2026.
Rayo Vallecano host Celta de Vigo at the Estadio de Vallecas on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:15 UK, in La Liga. Rayo have conceded two goals a game, the 3rd most in the league, and 80% of their games have seen both teams score, the highest rate in the division. Celta have conceded just 7 times in 10 league games, the fewest in La Liga.
Rayo have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their league games, the 6th lowest rate, and Celta in 50%, the 2nd highest. Rayo sit 16th, Celta 8th.
Rayo are 16th in La Liga with 9 points from 9 games: 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, 12 scored and 20 conceded. They average 4.67 shots on target a game, the 10th most, and 5.33 corners, the 7th most.
Their latest league game was a 3-0 home defeat to Elche on 24 October. That followed a 1-1 draw at Getafe and a goalless draw with Athletic Club. On Tuesday they won 3-2 at Recreativo Huelva in the Copa del Rey.
Celta de Vigo are 8th on 12 points from 10 games, with 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats. They have scored 10 and let in 7. They have kept clean sheets in half their games, the 2nd highest rate, and have conceded the fewest goals a game in La Liga. At the other end they score a goal a game, the 5th fewest, with 3.3 shots on target a game, the 4th fewest, and 2.8 corners, the 2nd fewest.
Celta drew 0-0 with Betis on Sunday, won 2-1 at Celtic in the Europa League on 22 October and won 2-1 at home to Alavés on 18 October. Before those they lost 2-1 at home to Juventus in the Europa League on 15 October and drew 0-0 at Elche on 11 October. Only 40% of their games have seen both teams score and 30% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 4th lowest rate in the division.
Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Audero; Balliu, Lejeune, Sadick, Pedrosa; Pedro Díaz, Unai López; Palazón, De Frutos, Álvaro García; Camello
Celta de Vigo possible starting lineup:
Radu; Javi Rodríguez, Lago, Alonso, Rueda; Moriba, Febas; Galán, Hugo Álvarez, Durán; Jutglà
Sergio Camello has had a shot in eight straight games, averaging 2.9 a game, and 1+ shots is 1.03 at bet365.
Pedro Díaz has managed 2+ shots in six straight games and averages 3.3 a game, and 2+ shots is 1.5 at bet365.
Florian Lejeune, a centre-back, has had 2+ shots in five straight games, averaging 2.4, and the best price for 2+ shots is 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
For Celta, Ferran Jutglà has committed a foul in eight straight games, averaging 1.4, and 1+ fouls is 1.3 at bet365.
Ilaix Moriba has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 2.6, and has also picked up a foul in six in a row. The 1+ fouls market is 1.25 at bet365.
We make Rayo Vallecano the likelier winners at 45%, and the home win is 2.40 at bet365. The draw is 3.30 at Ladbrokes and a Celta win is 3.00 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano win | 2.40 (bet365) | 45% |
| Draw | 3.30 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Celta de Vigo win | 3.00 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 (bet365) | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.10 (bet365) | 46% |
We predict 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Rayo the more likely winners and 1-0 follows at 11%. We project 1.46 goals for Rayo and 1.06 for Celta, with 14.7 shots to 10.0 and 5.0 shots on target to 3.5.
On the player markets, Unai López to have a shot is 1.36 at bet365 after six straight games with one, Iván Balliu to commit a foul is 1.29 after fouling in each of his last five games, and Moriba to commit a foul is 1.25.
Statz prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Celta de Vigo
Rayo Vallecano v Celta de Vigo in La Liga 2026/27 kicks off at 15:15 UK on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Estadio de Vallecas. Celta are 8th in the table on 12 points from 10 games, with Rayo 16th on 9 points from 9.
We predict a 1-1 draw for Rayo Vallecano v Celta de Vigo in La Liga 2026/27, the likeliest single score at 13%. We make Rayo the more likely winners at 45%, against 28% for the draw and 27% for Celta.
Rayo Vallecano are the favourites against Celta de Vigo in La Liga 2026/27 on 31 October, and we give them a 45% chance of winning at home, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Celta. Rayo are 16th on 9 points and Celta 8th on 12.
We put both teams to score at 51% for Rayo Vallecano v Celta de Vigo in La Liga 2026/27. Both teams have scored in 80% of Rayo's league games, the highest rate in La Liga, against 40% of Celta's, the 6th lowest.
Sergio Camello has had a shot in eight straight games for Rayo Vallecano ahead of the La Liga 2026/27 match against Celta de Vigo on 31 October. Pedro Díaz has had 2+ shots in six in a row, and Celta's Ferran Jutglà has committed a foul in eight straight games.
Celta de Vigo are 8th in La Liga 2026/27 with 12 points from 10 games (2 wins, 6 draws, 2 defeats) before visiting Rayo Vallecano on 31 October. Rayo are 16th with 9 points from 9 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 4 defeats).
For the 15:15 UK kick-off of Rayo Vallecano v Celta de Vigo in La Liga 2026/27 on 31 October 2026, Rayo's possible starting lineup is Audero; Balliu, Lejeune, Sadick, Pedrosa; Pedro Díaz, Unai López; Palazón, De Frutos, Álvaro García; Camello. Celta's possible starting lineup is Radu; Javi Rodríguez, Lago, Alonso, Rueda; Moriba, Febas; Galán, Hugo Álvarez, Durán; Jutglà.