Updated 23 October 2026.
Charlton Athletic welcome Norwich City to The Valley on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 12:30 UK. Both clubs sit in the bottom half of the Championship, and the visitors arrive in the worse run: Norwich have lost their last six league and cup games in a row, while Charlton are winless in five.
The model still leans Norwich's way, because the visitors create more at the other end than Charlton do, even with the defensive trouble they are in.
Charlton are 17th with 14 points from 11 games, built on three wins, five draws and three defeats. Goals have been the issue: 10 scored is the 5th fewest in the division at 0.91 a game, and they average just 3 shots on target, the 3rd fewest. At the back they are tighter, conceding 1.36 a game (the 9th fewest) and keeping a clean sheet in 27% of matches, the 7th highest rate.
Their recent results fit that profile. They drew 0-0 with Portsmouth, lost 3-1 at Cardiff, drew 1-1 with Bristol City, drew 2-2 at Burnley and last time out lost 2-0 at Watford. They also give away plenty of fouls, 12.45 a game, the 3rd most in the league.
Norwich are 21st on 9 points from 11, with three wins and eight defeats. The goals have not been the problem: 17 scored is the 9th most at 1.55 a game, and they have 5 shots on target a game, the 5th most. The cost is at the back. They have conceded 21, the 3rd most, and have no clean sheets all season. Over 2.5 goals has landed in 73% of their games, the 2nd highest rate.
The run is brutal. They lost 0-1 to Portsmouth, 0-1 to Southampton, 2-1 at Swansea, 3-4 to Bolton and 0-5 at Manchester City in the Carabao Cup. Their last two home games both ended 0-1. The Championship table has them four places and five points behind Charlton.
Charlton Athletic possible starting lineup:
Okonkwo; Ramsay, Koumetio, Jones, McNamara; Coventry, Skipp, Mesik; Campbell, Grant, Kelman
Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Grimshaw; Stacey, Córdoba, McConville, Chrisene; Wright, Mattsson, Maghoma; Brooks, Schwartau, Kvistgaarden
Conor Coventry has committed at least one foul in all 11 of Charlton's games this season, the longest such run in the Championship, and bet365 have him at 1.30 to make it 12. He has also made two or more tackles in each of his last three.
Oliver Skipp has made at least one tackle in seven straight games, averaging 3 a match, and has fouled in each of the last four.
P. Mattsson has committed two or more fouls in five straight games, averaging 3, and has made two or more tackles in each of those five. Midnite offer 1.62 on the fouls and bet365 1.36 on the tackles.
Jack Stacey has made a tackle in eight straight games, averaging 3.3. Ivan Mesik has had a shot in four in a row for Charlton and is 2.10 at bet365 to make it five.
We back Norwich City to win at 2.20 with Ladbrokes. Charlton are 3.20 and the draw is 3.50 at bet365. We project 1.46 goals for Norwich against 1.14 for Charlton.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic win | 3.20 | 29% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 28% |
| Norwich City win | 2.20 | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 48% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Norwich the more likely side to win, and a draw is in play. Both teams to score is a shade better than even at 53%, and Norwich have a 32% chance of a clean sheet to Charlton's 23%.
On the player lines, Ruairi McConville has made a tackle in each of his last five and is 1.29 at bet365, Conor Coventry has made two or more tackles in each of his last five at 1.62, and Ivan Mesik has fouled in all of his last five at 1.30. Prediction: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Norwich City.
Kick-off at The Valley is 12:30 UK on Saturday 24 October 2026.
We predict a 1-1 draw, with Norwich City slightly more likely to win than Charlton Athletic.
Norwich City are favourites at 2.20 with Ladbrokes. Charlton Athletic are 3.20 and the draw is 3.50 at bet365.
We give both teams to score a 53% chance, and bet365 price it at 1.73. Norwich have kept no clean sheets this season.
Conor Coventry has fouled in all 11 Charlton games, Oliver Skipp has made a tackle in seven straight, and P. Mattsson has made two or more fouls and two or more tackles in each of his last five.
Charlton Athletic are 17th with 14 points from 11 games. Norwich City are 21st with 9 points from 11.
Charlton: Okonkwo; Ramsay, Koumetio, Jones, McNamara; Coventry, Skipp, Mesik; Campbell, Grant, Kelman. Norwich: Grimshaw; Stacey, Córdoba, McConville, Chrisene; Wright, Mattsson, Maghoma; Brooks, Schwartau, Kvistgaarden.