Updated 23 October 2026.
Lincoln City welcome Burnley to the LNER Stadium on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 3pm UK, in a Championship game between two sides in the bottom half of the table. Lincoln sit 18th on 12 points from 11 games. Burnley are 22nd on 8, with one win and five draws from their 11.
Lincoln have scored nine goals in 11 games, while Burnley have scored and conceded in almost every game they have played.
Lincoln City have won three, drawn three and lost five, with nine goals scored and 19 conceded, and they are 18th in the Championship table. Their last five games began with a 1-0 win at Bristol City, then a 2-1 home defeat to Swansea, a 3-0 loss at Sheffield United and a 6-0 home defeat by West Ham, before a 2-2 draw at Millwall last time out.
Lincoln average 0.82 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the Championship, and 2.73 shots on target a game, the 2nd fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 36% of games, the 2nd highest rate in the league, though they also concede 1.73 a game, the 6th most. They lead the league for cards at 2.73 a game and rank 2nd for fouls at 12.82.
Burnley are 22nd on 8 points, with one win, five draws and five defeats and a goal difference of minus five (16 scored, 21 conceded). They lost 2-1 at home to Wolves last time out, three days after a 2-2 draw with Charlton, and before that came their only win of the season, a 4-0 win at Watford.
Burnley's games are open. Both teams have scored in 91% of them, the highest rate in the Championship, and 73% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 2nd highest. They concede 1.91 a game, the 3rd most, and have kept a clean sheet in only 9% of matches.
Lincoln City possible starting lineup:
Wickens; Reach, CoubiÈ™, Towler, Bradley; Hackett, Varfolomeev, Jefferies, Konak; Street, Ladefoged
Burnley possible starting lineup:
Weiß; Walker, Alleyne, Ekdal, Pires; Julio, Laurent, Hatate; Ramazani, Edwards, Vardy
Largie Ramazani has had at least one shot in eight straight games, averaging 2.3, and is 1.08 at bet365 to make it nine. Alongside him, Marcus Edwards has had at least two shots in each of his last five, with 4, 5, 2, 7 and 2, and is 1.62 at bet365 for two or more again.
For Lincoln, Ivan Varfolomeev has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 2.4, and committed a foul in five in a row, which Midnite price at 1.25.
Josh Laurent has committed a foul in four straight and is 1.30 at Midnite for a fifth. He has also had a shot in four of his last five, and he is 1.40 at Ladbrokes and Coral for a shot again.
We make Burnley slightly ahead at 37% to win against 35% for Lincoln City, with 28% for the draw, and the bookmakers also have Burnley as favourites, best priced at 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lincoln City win | 3.00 (bet365) | 35% |
| Draw | 3.50 (midnite) | 28% |
| Burnley win | 2.37 (ladbrokes) | 37% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 (bet365) | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (bet365) | 75% |
We project 1.29 goals for Lincoln and 1.33 for Burnley. 1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, and with the result this close our prediction is Lincoln City 1-1 Burnley.
Lincoln's games are different, with both teams scoring in only 45% of them, the 3rd lowest rate in the Championship. We give both teams to score a 54% chance, and it is 1.67 at bet365. A bet builder from the possible lineups could take Edwards for two or more shots, Varfolomeev for a foul, Laurent for a shot and Igor Julio for a foul.
Kick-off is at 3pm UK on Saturday 24 October 2026 at the LNER Stadium.
We predict a 1-1 draw. It is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Burnley slightly more likely to win, at 37% to Lincoln's 35%.
Burnley are the favourites, best priced at 2.37 at Ladbrokes, with Lincoln City at 3.00 at bet365 and the draw at 3.50 at Midnite. Our model also has Burnley marginally ahead.
We give both teams to score a 54% chance, and it is 1.67 at bet365. Both teams have scored in 91% of Burnley's games, the highest rate in the Championship.
Lincoln City are 18th on 12 points from 11 games. Burnley are 22nd on 8 points from 11.
Largie Ramazani has had a shot in eight straight games for Burnley, averaging 2.3 per game. For Lincoln City, Ivan Varfolomeev has made a tackle in seven in a row.
Lincoln City: Wickens; Reach, Coubiș, Towler, Bradley; Hackett, Varfolomeev, Jefferies, Konak; Street, Ladefoged. Burnley: Weiß; Walker, Alleyne, Ekdal, Pires; Julio, Laurent, Hatate; Ramazani, Edwards, Vardy.