Updated 23 October 2026.
Wolverhampton Wanderers host Watford at Molineux on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 3pm UK time. It's a Championship game with a big gap in it: Wolves are 7th on 18 points, Watford are 20th on 11, and the home side have scored almost twice as many goals as their visitors.
Wolves have 19 goals from 11 games, Watford 10. Watford have lost six of their 11 and let in 19, and they now face a side that has scored almost twice as many. Our model gives Wolves a 67% chance of winning and has them scoring a little over two goals.
Wolves sit 7th in the Championship table with five wins, three draws and three defeats. Wolves have won two and lost two of their last five: a 1-1 draw at home to Portsmouth on Tuesday, a 2-1 win at Burnley four days earlier, then a 3-1 home loss to Bolton and a 1-0 defeat at M'Boro. They have the 5th most goals per game in the division at 1.73 and win the 2nd most corners at 6.45. Their goals record is the strongest part of the season so far, and 73% of their games have seen both teams score, the 5th highest rate.
Watford have lost six, won three and drawn two. They've scored 0.91 a game, the 5th fewest, and conceded 1.73, the 6th most. They have lost four of their last five. The win was a 2-0 home victory over Charlton on 17 October, but before that came a 5-1 defeat at Cardiff and a 4-0 home loss to Burnley. They also top the division for cards at 2.73 a game.
Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
José Sá; André, Fer López, Djiga, Mané, Krejci, Tchatchoua, James, Chirewa, Bellegarde, Konan
Watford possible starting lineup:
Ravaglia; Coulibaly, Keben, Kyprianou, Pollock, Kjerrumgaard, Boadu, Diatta, Kayembe, Payero, Zemura
Fer López has had two or more shots in five straight games, averaging 2.2 a game over his 11 appearances, and he's 1.22 at Ladbrokes to make it six. André has made at least one tackle in nine straight, at 3.6 a game.
Tawanda Chirewa has had a shot in four in a row, and at 1.62 with bet365 for a shot on target he has hit that mark in four of his last five.
For Watford, Mattie Pollock has made a tackle in all 11 games this season, averaging 1.4. Edo Kayembe has had two or more shots in four straight and is 2.62 at Ladbrokes to go again.
We back Wolves to win, and the bookmakers agree: 1.36 at Ladbrokes, with the draw at 5.00 and Watford at 8.00 with bet365. Our Wolves shots-on-target projection is 5.89 against 3.07 for Watford.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves win | 1.36 (Ladbrokes) | 67% |
| Draw | 5.00 (Ladbrokes) | 21% |
| Watford win | 8.00 (bet365) | 12% |
| Both teams to score | 1.87 (BoyleSports) | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 (bet365) | 54% |
We predict Wolves 2-0. That is the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 11% and 1-1 at 10%, so a draw is in play, but Wolves keep a clean sheet in 47% of our simulations. Watford have scored 0.91 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the division.
Kick-off at Molineux Stadium is 3pm UK time on Saturday 24 October 2026.
We predict Wolves 2-0. Wolves have a 67% chance of winning, the draw is 21% and Watford are 12%.
Wolves are favourites at 1.36 with Ladbrokes. Watford are 8.00 with bet365 and the draw is 5.00.
We give both teams to score a 47% chance. Wolves have been in a both-teams-to-score game in 73% of their matches, Watford 55%.
Wolves: José Sá; André, Fer López, Djiga, Mané, Krejci, Tchatchoua, James, Chirewa, Bellegarde, Konan. Watford: Ravaglia; Coulibaly, Keben, Kyprianou, Pollock, Kjerrumgaard, Boadu, Diatta, Kayembe, Payero, Zemura.
Fer López has had two or more shots in five straight games and averages 2.2 a game this season.
Wolves are 7th on 18 points from 11 games. Watford are 20th on 11 points from 11.