Updated 2 November 2026.
Birmingham City welcome Millwall to St. Andrew's Stadium on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 8pm UK. Birmingham have the best defence in the Championship, conceding 1.00 a game, the fewest, while Millwall's games have gone over 2.5 goals 77% of the time, the highest rate in the division. Both clubs score 1.77 a game, the 4th most in the league.
Birmingham sit 6th on 23 points, Millwall 12th on 18.
Birmingham have lost only twice in 13 league games, winning six and drawing five for 23 goals scored and 13 conceded. They come in on the back of a 3-1 win at Lincoln on Saturday, which followed a 1-0 defeat at Cardiff. Before that came back-to-back home wins without conceding, 3-0 against QPR and 4-0 against Preston, after a 1-0 win at West Brom. That is four wins in their last five.
Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in 31% of games, the 4th highest rate in the league, and they put 4.77 shots on target a game, the 7th most. They also commit 12.15 fouls a game, the 6th most, and collect cards at 2.15 a game, also 7th most.
Millwall have 5 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats, with 23 scored and 21 conceded. They are fresh from a 4-1 home win over Derby, which followed a 2-1 loss at Portsmouth. Earlier they drew 2-2 with Lincoln, lost 1-0 to Swansea and won 1-0 at Preston. They have also kept a clean sheet in 31% of games, the 4th highest rate, but concede 1.62 a game, the 9th most. They win 5.69 corners a game, the 7th most, and sit 12th in the Championship table, five points behind Birmingham.
Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Beadle; Laird, Klarer, Neumann, Cochrane; Iwata, SolÃs, Roberts; Vicente, Millar, Stansfield
Millwall possible starting lineup:
Crocombe; Crama, Cooper, Taylor, Sturge; Metcalfe, Mazou-Sacko, Cundle; Neghli, Lisbie, Dykes
Jay Stansfield has had at least one shot in 13 straight league games, averaging 2.3 a game, and he is 1.05 at bet365 to make it 14. He has had two or more shots in four of his last five.
Tomoki Iwata has committed a foul in eight straight games, and midfield partner Jhon SolÃs has done so in seven. SolÃs has also made a tackle in nine in a row. Iwata is 1.50 at Midnite for a foul and SolÃs 1.30.
For Millwall, Lyndon Dykes has had a shot in ten straight games, and he is 1.14 at bet365. Camiel Neghli has done it nine in a row, with two or more shots in three of his last five, and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes. Jenson Metcalfe has made a tackle in all 13 of Millwall's games, averaging 2.5.
Our projections rank Luke Cundle 3rd in the match for two shots on target, and he is 17.00 for it.
We back Birmingham, who are 2.00 at Coral to win, with the draw at 3.60 and Millwall at 3.75, both at bet365. Our model gives the home side a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Millwall 28%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 2.00 (Coral) | 45% |
| Draw | 3.60 (bet365) | 27% |
| Millwall win | 3.75 (bet365) | 28% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 53% |
We expect 1.58 goals from Birmingham and 1.21 from Millwall. Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 12.6%, though we make Birmingham the likelier winner at 45%. 2-1 to the hosts and 1-0 are the next most likely scorelines.
Prediction: Birmingham City 1-1 Millwall
Birmingham City host Millwall in the 2026/27 Championship at St. Andrew's Stadium on Tuesday 3 November 2026, with kick-off at 8pm UK, as 6th-placed Birmingham face 12th-placed Millwall after 13 games each.
We predict a 1-1 draw between Birmingham City and Millwall in the 2026/27 Championship, a 12.6% chance for that exact score, though we make Birmingham the likelier winner at 45% against 28% for Millwall.
Birmingham City are the favourites for Birmingham vs Millwall in the 2026/27 Championship, as our model gives them a 45% chance of winning, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Millwall.
Our model gives both teams to score a 57% chance in Birmingham vs Millwall in the 2026/27 Championship. Birmingham have the league's best defence, conceding 1.00 a game, but Millwall's games have gone over 2.5 goals 77% of the time.
Jay Stansfield has had at least one shot in 13 straight games for Birmingham City, averaging 2.3 a game, ahead of Birmingham vs Millwall in the 2026/27 Championship on 3 November.
Birmingham City are 6th in the 2026/27 Championship with 23 points from 13 games, while Millwall are 12th with 18 points from 13 games, five points behind. Birmingham have scored 23 and conceded 13, and Millwall have scored 23 and conceded 21.
Birmingham City could start Beadle; Laird, Klarer, Neumann, Cochrane; Iwata, SolÃs, Roberts; Vicente, Millar, Stansfield in the 2026/27 Championship game against Millwall on 3 November 2026, and Millwall could start Crocombe; Crama, Cooper, Taylor, Sturge; Metcalfe, Mazou-Sacko, Cundle; Neghli, Lisbie, Dykes.