Updated 29 October 2026.
Peterborough United host Luton Town at the Weston Homes Stadium on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 3pm, in a League One game between Luton, 8th on 20 points from 12 games, and Peterborough, 21st on 10. Peterborough have drawn or lost all four of their games in all competitions since a 3-1 win at Leicester on 10 October.
Luton have scored 24 times in 12 league games, the 2nd most goals per game in the division, and three-quarters of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in League One. Peterborough have scored 11 and conceded 21. Our model makes Luton the likelier winners and expects goals from both sides.
Peterborough sit 21st in the League One table with two wins, four draws and six defeats. Their recent results have been poor: a 2-0 loss at Bradford in the Carabao Cup on 27 October came after a 1-1 draw at Bromley and a 4-1 defeat at Huddersfield. Before that came a 2-2 home draw with Burton, and the last win was a 3-1 victory at Leicester on 10 October.
Peterborough score 0.92 goals a game, the 5th fewest in the league, and concede 1.75, the 5th most. They manage 3.25 shots on target a game, the 6th fewest. They do win corners, 6.17 a game being the 8th most.
Luton have won three league games in a row, all at home, and four of their last five. They beat Doncaster 3-1 on 27 October, Leicester 2-1 three days earlier and Barnsley 2-1 before that, after a 2-1 defeat at MK Dons. The 4-1 win at Wycombe on 10 October came the week before the MK Dons defeat.
They are not watertight. Luton have conceded 1.67 goals a game, the 7th most, and kept a clean sheet in only one of 12, the 4th lowest rate in the league. Both teams have scored in 83% of Luton's league games, the 2nd highest rate in League One. They also average 5.25 shots on target a game, the 4th most.
Peterborough United possible starting lineup:
Bass; Johnston, Kelly, Mills, Feeney; Mendonça, Ashfield, Shofowoke; Edwards, Williams, Leonard
Luton Town possible starting lineup:
Shea; Jones, Andersen, G. Johnston, Naismith; Walsh, Clark; Richards, Palmer, Donley; Mendel-Idowu
Harry Leonard has had three or more shots in eight straight games for Peterborough, averaging 3.8 a game over the run. The striker is 1.60 at midnite to keep it going.
Kasey Palmer has had two or more shots in four straight games, averaging 2.8 a game over the run. The Luton playmaker is 1.20 at midnite to do it again.
Jordan Clark has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 2.1 across his seven appearances, and is 1.07 at midnite to extend it. Tudor Mendel-Idowu has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 2.2, with the winger at 1.04.
At the back, Mads Juel Andersen has had a shot in seven straight games, averaging 1.3, and is 1.62 at midnite to make it eight. On the left wing, Owura Edwards has made at least one tackle in seven straight games for Peterborough, averaging 2.6.
We back Luton to win, and the best price on the away side is 2.00 at ladbrokes. Peterborough are 3.30 at bet365 and the draw is 4.00 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United win | 3.30 (bet365) | 27% |
| Draw | 4.00 (midnite) | 22% |
| Luton Town win | 2.00 (ladbrokes) | 51% |
| Both teams to score | 1.40 (bet365) | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 72% |
We predict a 1-2 away win for Luton. We project 2.16 goals for Luton against 1.56 for Peterborough, and 1-2 is the single likeliest scoreline at 8.8%. A 1-1 draw is level with it at 8.8%, so a draw is in play, but we make Luton 51% to win against 27% for Peterborough.
Goals look likely. We give both teams to score a 70% chance and over 2.5 goals 72%. Peterborough concede 1.75 goals a game and Luton 1.67, the 5th and 7th most in the division.
Peterborough United v Luton Town in League One 2026/27 kicks off at 3pm UK on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Weston Homes Stadium. Luton arrive 8th in the table on 20 points from 12 games, and Peterborough are 21st on 10.
We predict Peterborough United 1-2 Luton Town in League One 2026/27, the likeliest single scoreline at 8.8%. A 1-1 draw is level with it at 8.8%, so a draw is in play, but we give Luton a 51% chance of winning and Peterborough 27%.
Luton Town are favourites against Peterborough United in League One 2026/27, and we give them a 51% chance of winning, against 27% for Peterborough and 22% for the draw. Luton are 8th in the table, 13 places above 21st-placed Peterborough.
We put both teams to score at 70% for Peterborough United v Luton Town in League One 2026/27. Both teams have scored in 83% of Luton's league games, the 2nd highest rate in League One, and in 58% of Peterborough's, the 12th highest.
Luton Town are 8th in League One 2026/27 on 20 points after 12 games, while Peterborough United are 21st on 10 points. Luton have scored 24 and conceded 20, and Peterborough have scored 11 and conceded 21.
Harry Leonard of Peterborough United is on the longest shooting run in Peterborough United v Luton Town in League One 2026/27, with three or more shots in 8 straight games, averaging 3.8 a game. Luton's Mads Juel Andersen and Jordan Clark have each had a shot in 7 straight.
For the 3pm UK kick-off on 31 October 2026 in League One, Peterborough United's possible starting lineup is Bass; Johnston, Kelly, Mills, Feeney; Mendonça, Ashfield, Shofowoke; Edwards, Williams, Leonard. Luton Town's is Shea; Jones, Andersen, G. Johnston, Naismith; Walsh, Clark; Richards, Palmer, Donley; Mendel-Idowu.