Updated 29 October 2026.
Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain at Stade Océane on Friday 30 October, with kick-off at 18:00 UK time. It is 18th against 1st in Ligue 1: Le Havre are still without a league win after eight games, while PSG have taken 17 points from a possible 24 and have won their last eight games in all competitions.
We make PSG heavy favourites at 73% to win, with the draw at 16% and Le Havre at 11%. We project 2.58 goals for PSG against 0.92 for Le Havre.
Le Havre have taken 2 points from eight league games, with two draws and six defeats, and have scored 8 and conceded 15. Their 4-3 defeat at Marseille on Sunday was their fourth league defeat in a row. Before that came a 3-1 home loss to Auxerre, a 1-0 defeat at Lille and a 3-2 loss at Toulouse. Their last point came in a 0-0 draw with Angers on 12 September.
Le Havre concede 1.88 goals a game, the 6th most in the league, and both teams have scored in 63% of their matches, the 7th highest rate. They manage five shots on target a game, the 6th most. They are also the 4th most fouling side in the league at 14 a game.
PSG are top with 5 wins, 2 draws and a single loss, 16 goals scored and 9 conceded. Their last five games were all wins: 2-0 against Lyon on Monday, 4-2 against Barcelona in the Champions League, 3-1 at Strasbourg, 4-2 at Man City and 3-1 against Le Mans. They average 2 league goals a game, the 3rd most, and lead the division for shots on target at 7.63 a game. Both teams have scored in 75% of their league games, the 5th highest rate, and 75% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 4th highest.
PSG are also the least fouling side in the league. They commit 6 fouls a game, the fewest, and have the 2nd fewest cards. Le Havre have kept a clean sheet in 13% of their league games, the 7th lowest rate, against 25% for PSG, the 6th highest.
Le Havre possible starting lineup:
Gallon; Touba, Seko, Mwanga, Ouziad; Richardson, Ndiaye, Ebonog; Fofana, Koffi Vinette, Samatta
Paris Saint Germain possible starting lineup:
Safonov; Hakimi, Pacho, Zabarnyi, Hernández; Vitinha, João Neves, Fabián Ruiz; Doué, Torres, Akliouche
Ally Samatta has had at least one shot in all eight of Le Havre's league games and averages four a game, and he is 1.10 at bet365 for a shot. Amir Richardson has also had a shot in eight straight, at 1.5 a game, and is priced at 1.50 at bet365. Richardson has made a tackle in seven straight, averaging 2.6.
Midfielder Simon Ebonog has committed a foul in eight straight league games, averaging 2.1, and Midnite make him 1.25 to extend it. Rassoul Ndiaye has committed a foul in four straight, averaging 1.8, at 1.40 with Midnite.
On the PSG side, Ferran Torres has had a shot in five straight league games at 2.2 a game, and he is 1.02 at bet365 for one more. Désiré Doué has made a tackle in eight straight league games, averaging 1.8.
We make PSG 73% to win, with the draw at 16% and Le Havre at 11%, and the best price on PSG is 1.25 at bet365. Best prices are in the table below.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre win | 10.00 | 11% |
| Draw | 7.00 | 16% |
| PSG win | 1.25 | 73% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.33 | 68% |
We predict a 2-0 win for PSG, the likeliest single score at 10%, with a 2-1 and a 3-0 win for PSG the next likeliest. We project 0.92 goals for Le Havre against 2.58 for PSG, and give the visitors a 40% chance of a clean sheet. We give both teams to score a 56% chance: Le Havre have scored in three of their last five league games, twice at Toulouse, once against Auxerre and three times at Marseille.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 2026/27 kicks off at 18:00 UK time on Friday 30 October 2026 at Stade Océane. It is 18th against 1st, with Le Havre on 2 points from eight games and PSG on 17 points from the same number.
We predict a 2-0 win for Paris Saint Germain against Le Havre in Ligue 1 2026/27 on Friday 30 October, the likeliest single score at 10%. We give PSG a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Le Havre 11%, with projected goals of 2.58 to 0.92.
Paris Saint Germain are strong favourites for Le Havre vs PSG in Ligue 1 2026/27, with a 73% chance from us against 11% for Le Havre. PSG are 1st on 17 points from eight games and have won their last 8 games in all competitions.
We give both teams to score a 56% chance in Le Havre vs PSG in Ligue 1 2026/27 on Friday 30 October. Le Havre have conceded 15 goals in eight league games and scored in three of their last five, and we give PSG a 40% chance of a clean sheet.
Paris Saint Germain are 1st in Ligue 1 2026/27 with 17 points from eight games, while Le Havre are 18th with 2 points and no wins, ahead of their Friday 30 October meeting at Stade Océane. PSG have scored 16 goals and conceded 9, and Le Havre have scored 8 and conceded 15.
In Le Havre vs PSG in Ligue 1 2026/27, Ally Samatta has had a shot in 8 straight league games, averaging 4 a game, and Amir Richardson has also had a shot in 8 straight, averaging 1.5. Both are in our possible starting lineup for Le Havre on Friday 30 October.
For the 18:00 UK kick-off of Le Havre vs PSG in Ligue 1 2026/27 on 30 October, Le Havre's possible starting lineup is Gallon; Touba, Seko, Mwanga, Ouziad; Richardson, Ndiaye, Ebonog; Fofana, Koffi Vinette, Samatta. PSG's possible starting lineup is Safonov; Hakimi, Pacho, Zabarnyi, Hernández; Vitinha, João Neves, Fabián Ruiz; Doué, Torres, Akliouche.