Updated 29 October 2026.
Bologna welcome Monza to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 14:00 UK, with both sides coming off a midweek game. Bologna are 11th in the Serie A table on 11 points from nine games. Monza are 16th on 7, and they have conceded 22 times, the 2nd most in the division.
That leaky defence meets a Bologna side that scored four at AC Milan on Wednesday. Both teams have scored in 89% of Monza's matches, the highest rate in Serie A, and the same figure applies to over 2.5 goals. Bologna have won three of their last four, and we make them the likelier winners at 54%, although 1-1 is the likeliest single score.
Bologna have won their last two. They won 4-2 at AC Milan on Wednesday, 2-0 at Cagliari the Saturday before, and 2-1 at Lecce earlier in the month. The one defeat in their last five was a 3-1 home defeat to Inter, and the other game was a 1-1 home draw with Torino in September. They have scored 12 and conceded 12 in nine games, and the 1.33 they concede a game is the 8th fewest in Serie A.
They do not create many chances, though. Bologna's shots on target average of 3.89 a game is the 4th fewest in Serie A, and they win the 4th fewest corners. Where they lead is fouling: 13.11 a game is the 2nd most, and they collect the 6th most cards.
Monza have lost six of nine. Wednesday brought a 4-1 home defeat to Napoli, and before that a 3-2 loss at Torino. Their last win was a 4-0 victory over Cagliari at home on 19 October, and before that they beat Sassuolo 2-1 in September. They score freely at 1.78 a game, the 8th most, and their shots on target figure of 5.56 is the 6th most. The trouble is at the other end, where 2.44 conceded a game is the 2nd most in the division, and they have kept a clean sheet in just one of nine.
Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Darmian, Casale, Theate, Zortea; Pobega, Ferguson, Alhassane; Bernardeschi, Odgaard, Mbangula
Monza possible starting lineup:
Törnqvist; Birindelli, Goglichidze, Lucchesi, Mangas; Colombo, Foe Ondoa, Bakoune; Robinson, Ngonge, Varela
Samuele Birindelli has had at least one shot in all nine of Monza's games this season, averaging 1.4 a game, and he is 1.61 at Ladbrokes to make it ten.
Lewis Ferguson has committed a foul in each of Bologna's nine games, 2.4 a game on average, and he is 1.20 at bet365 to do it again.
Tommaso Pobega has had a shot in eight straight games and a tackle in six in a row, at 2.7 a game over that run. He is 1.17 at Ladbrokes to have another shot.
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela has put a shot on target in each of his last three, at two a game over that run, and is 1.67 at bet365 to keep it going. He has had one or more on target in four of his last five.
Saba Goglichidze has made a tackle in four straight games, 1.3 a game, and is 1.11 at bet365 to make another.
Bologna are 1.73 at Ladbrokes to win this one, and we give them a 54% chance, with the draw at 25% and a Monza win at 21%. The likeliest single score is 1-1, so a draw is in play, though we make Bologna the likelier side to take the points.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna win | 1.73 (Ladbrokes) | 54% |
| Draw | 3.90 (Coral) | 25% |
| Monza win | 5.00 (bet365) | 21% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 54% |
We project Bologna to score 1.8 goals and Monza 1.03, and Bologna keep a clean sheet in 36% of our simulations. Both teams score in 54% of them and there are three or more goals in 54%. Both teams have scored in 89% of Monza's matches against 56% of Bologna's, and over 2.5 goals has landed in 89% against 44%.
Our predicted score is Bologna 1-1 Monza, at 12%. A 2-1 or 1-0 win for Bologna comes next at 10% each, and we make Bologna 54% to take the three points.
Bologna vs Monza in Serie A 2026/27 kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Saturday 31 October 2026 at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Bologna are 11th in the table on 11 points from nine games, while Monza are 16th on 7 points.
Our predicted score for Bologna vs Monza in Serie A 2026/27 is 1-1, the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, though we make Bologna the likelier winners at 54%. A Monza win is 21%, the draw 25%, and a 2-1 or 1-0 home win 10% each.
Bologna are favourites to beat Monza in Serie A 2026/27 on 31 October, and we give them a 54% chance of winning, with the draw at 25% and a Monza win at 21%. Bologna have won three of their last four league games, while Monza have lost six of their nine this season.
We give both teams to score in Bologna vs Monza in Serie A 2026/27 a 54% chance. Both teams have scored in 89% of Monza's matches this season, the highest rate in Serie A, and in 56% of Bologna's, and we project 1.8 goals for Bologna and 1.03 for Monza.
Bologna are 11th in the Serie A 2026/27 table with 11 points from nine games before they host 16th-placed Monza on 31 October. Bologna have three wins, two draws and four defeats, while Monza have 7 points from nine games, with two wins, one draw, six defeats and 22 goals conceded.
Ahead of Bologna vs Monza in Serie A 2026/27 on 31 October, Samuele Birindelli has had a shot in all 9 of Monza's games, Lewis Ferguson has committed a foul in all 9 of Bologna's, and Tommaso Pobega has had a shot in 8 straight games.
For the 14:00 UK kick-off on 31 October 2026, Bologna's possible starting lineup is Skorupski; Darmian, Casale, Theate, Zortea; Pobega, Ferguson, Alhassane; Bernardeschi, Odgaard, Mbangula. Monza's possible starting lineup is Törnqvist; Birindelli, Goglichidze, Lucchesi, Mangas; Colombo, Foe Ondoa, Bakoune; Robinson, Ngonge, Varela.