Updated 31 October 2026.
Two teams short of wins meet at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore on Monday 2 November, kick-off 17:30 UK. Sassuolo sit 15th in Serie A with 8 points from 9 games, and Fiorentina are 18th on 5 points. Between them they have conceded 43 goals in 18 matches, and we put both teams to score at 60%.
Sassuolo have lost four of their last five and shipped six at home to Lazio last time out. Fiorentina arrive off a 2-2 draw with Atalanta on Thursday, a result that at least stopped a run of three straight defeats.
Sassuolo went down 2-6 to Lazio on 27 October, lost 2-0 at Como three days before that, and fell 4-2 at Frosinone the week before. Their one point in the last five came in a 1-1 draw with AC Milan on 11 October. They have conceded 22 goals in 9 games, the most in Serie A at 2.44 a game, and haven't kept a clean sheet all season. Both teams have scored in 89% of their matches, the 2nd highest rate in the league, and 78% have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest.
Fiorentina have the same problem at the back. They concede 2.33 a game, the 2nd most, and have no clean sheets either. They drew 2-2 with Atalanta on 29 October after losing 2-1 at Inter, 1-3 at home to Como and 2-1 at Genoa. Their matches have gone over 2.5 goals 89% of the time, the highest rate in Serie A. They score 1.22 a game, the 8th fewest, but they pick up the cards: 2.22 a game is the 2nd most in the division, and they take 5.11 corners a game, the 7th most.
Fiorentina are three points behind Sassuolo, who are 15th in the Serie A standings, just outside the bottom five.
Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Turati; Cinquegrano, Caleta-Car, Odenthal, Doig; Matic, Adžić, Bakola; Berardi, Esposito, Laurienté
Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
De Gea; Jiménez, Viery, Drăgușin, João Mário; Fagioli, Brescianini, Ndour; Mastantuono, Pellegrino, Njie
Franco Mastantuono has had 2+ shots in eight straight games, averaging 4 a game, and is 1.12 at Ladbrokes to make it nine. He has also made 2+ tackles in four straight games, averaging 3.8.
Cher Ndour has made at least one tackle in nine straight games, averaging 1.6, and is 1.11 at bet365 to extend it. He has also had a shot in four straight games.
Álex Jiménez has made 3+ tackles in three straight games, averaging 4 a game, and that line is 2.63 at bet365. At full-back he also has a shot in four of his last five.
For Sassuolo, Armand Laurienté has had a shot in five straight games at 2.4 a game. Domenico Berardi has made at least one tackle in eight in a row, and he is 1.07 at bet365 to keep it going.
We make Fiorentina the slight favourite at 40% to win, and they are 2.35 at bet365. Sassuolo are 34% and 2.88 at bet365, with the draw at 26% and 3.75 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo win | 2.88 (bet365) | 34% |
| Draw | 3.75 (midnite) | 26% |
| Fiorentina win | 2.35 (bet365) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (midnite) | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 (bet365) | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 56% |
We expect 1.40 goals from Sassuolo and 1.52 from Fiorentina, with a clean sheet at 22% for Sassuolo and 25% for Fiorentina. 1-1 is the likeliest score at 12%, though we make Fiorentina slightly more likely to win than Sassuolo. Our prediction is Sassuolo 1-1 Fiorentina, and a draw is very much in play.
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in Serie A kicks off at 17:30 UK on Monday 2 November 2026 at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. It is the 2026/27 regular-season fixture between 15th-placed Sassuolo and 18th-placed Fiorentina.
Our prediction for Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in Serie A 2026/27 is a 1-1 draw, which comes out at 12% in our model. We make Fiorentina slightly more likely to win, at 40% against 34% for Sassuolo, with the draw at 26%.
We give both teams to score 60% in Sassuolo vs Fiorentina in Serie A 2026/27. Both teams have scored in 89% of Sassuolo's games and 78% of Fiorentina's this season, and neither side has kept a clean sheet.
Ahead of Sassuolo vs Fiorentina on Monday 2 November, Sassuolo are 15th in Serie A 2026/27 with 8 points from 9 games, and Fiorentina are 18th with 5 points from 9. Sassuolo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats, while Fiorentina have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 defeats.
Franco Mastantuono has had 2+ shots in 8 straight Serie A games for Fiorentina in 2026/27, averaging 4 a game, going into the match at Sassuolo on Monday 2 November, and Cher Ndour has made a tackle in 9 straight.
Sassuolo's possible starting lineup for the Serie A 2026/27 match against Fiorentina on 2 November is Turati; Cinquegrano, Caleta-Car, Odenthal, Doig; Matic, Adžić, Bakola; Berardi, Esposito, Laurienté. It has Berardi and Laurienté out wide.