Updated 14 November 2026.
Cyprus welcome Montenegro to the Alphamega Stadium on Sunday 15 November, kick-off 14:00 UK, in a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League C fixture between the 2nd-placed side in their group and the one on top. Montenegro lead on 13 points from five games and Cyprus sit five behind on 8.
The two met in September, when Montenegro won 2-1. Cyprus are unbeaten in the four games since.
Montenegro have lost none of their five group games: four wins and a draw, nine goals scored and five conceded. They beat Latvia 2-1 on 12 November, which followed a goalless draw with Armenia on 5 October. Before that came back-to-back away wins, 2-1 in Latvia and 3-2 in Armenia. They score 1.8 goals a game, the 11th most in the competition. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches, the 5th highest rate, and 80% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 3rd highest rate.
Cyprus have lost just once in five. After the defeat to Montenegro they drew 0-0 in Latvia, then won 2-0 against Armenia and 2-1 against Latvia, before a 1-1 draw in Armenia on 12 November. They concede 0.8 a game, the 17th fewest, and keep a clean sheet in 40% of matches. They commit 9 fouls a game, the 7th fewest in the competition.
Montenegro score 1.8 a game against 1.2 for Cyprus, while Cyprus concede 0.8 a game against 1 for Montenegro. Montenegro have kept one clean sheet in five.
Cyprus possible starting lineup:
Fabiano; Kyprianou, Konomis, Laifis, Malekkidis; Andreou, Kastanos, Loizou; Edwards, Pikis, Pittas
Montenegro possible starting lineup:
Popovic; Roganovic, Vujacic, Rubezic, Gasevic; Bulatovic, Jankovic, Adžić; Haksabanovic, Osmajic, Krstović
Nikola Krstović has had a shot in all five of Montenegro's games and put one on target in each of them, averaging 4.4 shots and 1.8 on target a game.
For Cyprus, Ioannis Pittas has had a shot in five straight games, at 2.8 a match, and Marcus Edwards has done the same at 3.4 a game. Montenegro have conceded in four of their five games.
Andrija Bulatovic has had a shot in each of Montenegro's last four games and made a tackle in each of them, averaging 3.3 tackles a game across that run. Giorgos Malekkidis has made at least one tackle in five straight games for Cyprus, averaging 2.2.
We make Montenegro narrow favourites at 40%, and bet365 have them at 2.20 to win. We give Cyprus a 34% chance and the draw 26%. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365 and we put it at 53%, and the best price on over 2.5 goals is 2.00, with our model giving it 49%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Cyprus to win | 3.30 (bet365) | 34% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 26% |
| Montenegro to win | 2.20 (bet365) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 (bet365) | 49% |
Our projection is Cyprus 1-1 Montenegro. A draw is in play here, and 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline at 12%, though we make Montenegro slightly more likely to win overall. We project 1.25 goals for Cyprus and 1.37 for Montenegro.
On the player side, Krstović has had a shot on target in each of his last five games, and Pittas and Edwards have both had a shot in five straight.
Cyprus vs Montenegro kicks off at 14:00 UK on Sunday 15 November 2026 at the Alphamega Stadium. It is a UEFA Nations League 2026/27 League C fixture, with Montenegro top of the group on 13 points and Cyprus 2nd on 8.
We predict a 1-1 draw in Cyprus vs Montenegro in the 2026/27 Nations League, a scoreline given a 12% chance. We make Montenegro slightly more likely to win overall, at 40% against 34% for Cyprus.
Montenegro are favourites for Cyprus vs Montenegro in the 2026/27 Nations League, priced 2.20 at bet365 against 3.30 for Cyprus. We give Montenegro a 40% chance of winning, with the draw at 26% and Cyprus at 34%.
We put both teams to score at 53% in Cyprus vs Montenegro in the 2026/27 Nations League, with bet365 offering 1.80. Both teams have scored in 80% of Montenegro's games, the 5th highest rate in the competition.
Ahead of Cyprus vs Montenegro in the 2026/27 Nations League, Nikola Krstović has had a shot on target in five straight games for Montenegro. He averages 4.4 shots and 1.8 shots on target a game across that run.
Montenegro lead their 2026/27 Nations League League C group with 13 points from 5 games, while Cyprus are 2nd with 8 points. Montenegro have won four and drawn one, and Cyprus have won two, drawn two and lost one.
Predicted lineups for Cyprus vs Montenegro in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November 2026: Cyprus may start Fabiano; Kyprianou, Konomis, Laifis, Malekkidis; Andreou, Kastanos, Loizou; Edwards, Pikis, Pittas. Montenegro may start Popovic; Roganovic, Vujacic, Rubezic, Gasevic; Bulatovic, Jankovic, Adžić; Haksabanovic, Osmajic, Krstović.