Updated 12 November 2026.
Montenegro host Latvia on 12 November 2026 at 19:45 in the UEFA Nations League. Montenegro's last five results: D W W W D (3 wins and 2 draws). Latvia's last five: W L D L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 1 meetings, Montenegro have won 1, Latvia 0, with 0 draws.
Montenegro vs Latvia kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 12 November 2026 in the UEFA Nations League. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Montenegro have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6, with results reading D W W W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at home to Armenia in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Latvia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6, with results reading W L D L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat away to Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League on 5 October.
Across the last 1 meetings Montenegro have won 1, Latvia have won 0 and 0 were drawn, with Montenegro scoring 2 goals to Latvia's 1. The most recent was Latvia 1-2 Montenegro on 2 October 2026 in the UEFA Nations League.
Milutin Osmajic leads Montenegro with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Montenegro player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Montenegro player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Roberts Savalnieks leads Latvia with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Latvia player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Latvia player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Jérôme Brisard is the referee for Montenegro vs Latvia, averaging 25.7 fouls and 3.7 yellow cards per game across 6 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Montenegro vs Latvia with 11 starters a side: Montenegro line up 4-3-3 and Latvia 5-4-1, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Thursday 12 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Montenegro the favourite with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Latvia and 21% for the draw. Projected goals are Montenegro 1.9 - 0.7 Latvia.
The most likely score in Montenegro vs Latvia is 1-0, a Montenegro win, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 44% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Montenegro vs Latvia, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | UEFA Nations League | Latvia vs Montenegro | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Montenegro 1.9 - 0.7 Latvia in goals. It gives Montenegro a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Latvia 14%. Both teams to score is 44% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Montenegro win | 14% |
| 2-0 | Montenegro win | 13% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 2-1 | Montenegro win | 10% |
| 3-0 | Montenegro win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Montenegro vs Latvia, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Montenegro | Fouls committed | Latvia | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Krstović | 9 | A. Cernomordijs | 11 |
| 2 | M. Osmajic | 9 | A. Ciganiks | 10 |
| 3 | A. Bulatovic | 8 | V. Gutkovskis | 10 |
| 4 | D. Vuković | 6 | R. Veips | 8 |
| 5 | M. Jankovic | 5 | D. Zelenkovs | 8 |
| # | Montenegro | Shots | Latvia | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Krstović | 27 | V. Gutkovskis | 18 |
| 2 | M. Osmajic | 12 | A. Ciganiks | 8 |
| 3 | A. Bulatovic | 10 | J. Ikaunieks | 7 |
| 4 | S. Jovetić | 10 | L. Vapne | 7 |
| 5 | V. Adžić | 7 | R. Uldriķis | 7 |
| # | Montenegro | Shots on target | Latvia | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Krstović | 12 | V. Gutkovskis | 4 |
| 2 | M. Osmajic | 6 | L. Vapne | 3 |
| 3 | V. Adžić | 4 | D. Zelenkovs | 2 |
| 4 | S. Jovetić | 3 | E. Daskevics | 2 |
| 5 | M. Vukotic | 2 | A. Ciganiks | 1 |
| # | Montenegro | Goals | Latvia | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Osmajic | 5 | V. Gutkovskis | 3 |
| 2 | N. Krstović | 4 | A. Cernomordijs | 1 |
| 3 | V. Adžić | 3 | D. Zelenkovs | 1 |
| 4 | S. Mugosa | 1 | E. Daskevics | 1 |
| 5 | A. Latkovic | 1 | M. Strods | 1 |
| # | Montenegro | Yellow cards | Latvia | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Osmajic | 2 | V. Gutkovskis | 3 |
| 2 | I. Vujacic | 2 | R. Savalnieks | 3 |
| 3 | A. Latkovic | 2 | A. Cernomordijs | 3 |
| 4 | M. Tuci | 1 | D. Balodis | 2 |
| 5 | S. Rubezic | 1 | A. Ciganiks | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Montenegro vs Latvia: Nikola Krstović 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.20); Milutin Osmajic 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.40); Vasilije Adžić 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 2.14 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 7 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1 | 27 of 54 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 27 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 4.8 | 22 of 54 |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 33 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13 | 42 of 54 |
| Passes | 509.8 | 17 of 54 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 26 of 54 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.7 | 45 of 54 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 41 of 54 |
| Shots | 9.8 | 43 of 54 |
| Shots on target | 1 | 52 of 54 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 37 of 54 |
| Tackles | 13.3 | 40 of 54 |
| Passes | 390.5 | 43 of 54 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 35 of 54 |