Updated 15 November 2026.
Ukraine meet Georgia at the Košická futbalová aréna on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 7:45pm UK, in the UEFA Nations League. Neither side has scored much this autumn. Georgia haven't scored at all in five League B games, and Ukraine have found the net twice.
The sides have already met this campaign. Georgia and Ukraine drew 0-0 on 28 September, and our model makes a 1-1 draw the likeliest score this time.
Ukraine are 3rd in their League B group on 4 points from five games, with one win, one draw and three defeats. They have lost their last three, going down 1-0 at Northern Ireland on 14 November after a 2-1 home defeat to Hungary in early October. Before that came a 3-0 home loss to Northern Ireland. The one win was a 1-0 at Hungary on 25 September.
Ukraine average 0.4 goals a game, the 9th fewest in the competition, and 2.2 shots on target a game, the 7th fewest. They have kept a clean sheet in 40% of games, the 13th highest rate, and only 20% of their games have had both teams scoring, the 14th lowest rate.
Georgia are 4th in the group on 2 points, with two draws and three defeats. They have lost three of their five: a 2-0 home defeat to Hungary on 14 November, a 1-0 loss in Hungary and a 1-0 home loss to Northern Ireland. The two draws were a 0-0 with Northern Ireland and the 0-0 with Ukraine.
Georgia have scored 0 goals in five games, the 2nd fewest per game in the competition. Their defence is better: 0.8 conceded a game, the 14th fewest, and a clean sheet in 40% of matches. None of their games has had both teams scoring, the 4th lowest rate. They win 5.8 corners a game, the 10th most, but manage only 3.0 shots on target, the 10th fewest.
Ukraine possible starting lineup:
Trubin; Krupskyi, Zabarnyi, Krushynskyi, Sarapiy; Kashchuk, Yarmolyuk, Sudakov; Nazarenko, Vanat, Krasnopir
Georgia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Gelashvili, Lochoshvili, Dvali, Goglichidze; Mekvabishvili, Gagnidze, Gagua; Chakvetadze, Davitashvili, Zivzivadze
Eduard Sarapiy has had at least one shot in four straight games and a tackle in three straight, and is 1.28 with Ladbrokes for a shot in this match. Vladyslav Vanat has had a shot in three straight games, averaging 1.7 a game.
For Georgia, Anzor Mekvabishvili has had a shot in four of his last five games, and is 1.48 with Ladbrokes and Coral for a shot in this match.
Ukraine commit 12.8 fouls a game, the 18th most in the competition, and Georgia 13.4, the 12th most. Ukraine also average 3 cards a game, the 4th most.
We make Ukraine the likelier winner at 40%, and the best price on them is 2.20 with bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine win | 2.20 (bet365) | 40% |
| Draw | 3.30 (bet365) | 27% |
| Georgia win | 3.30 (bet365) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 (bet365) | 47% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, though we make Ukraine slightly more likely to win the game. We project 1.34 goals for Ukraine to Georgia's 1.20, and our model gives 72% for over 1.5 goals.
Ukraine vs Georgia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at 7:45pm UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at the Košická futbalová aréna. The game is a League B fixture.
Our prediction for Ukraine vs Georgia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%. The model gives Ukraine a 40% chance of winning, Georgia 33% and the draw 27%.
Ukraine are favourites for the 17 November 2026 Nations League game against Georgia, at 2.20 with bet365 and a 40% chance in our model. Georgia and the draw are both 3.30 with bet365.
Our model gives a 52% chance of both teams scoring in Ukraine vs Georgia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, and the best price is 1.80 with Ladbrokes. Georgia have scored no goals in 5 games this campaign and Ukraine two.
Ukraine are 3rd in their League B group in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League with 4 points from 5 games, while Georgia are 4th with 2 points from 5. Both sides have a goal difference of -4.
Predicted lineups for Ukraine vs Georgia in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November 2026: Ukraine may start Trubin; Krupskyi, Zabarnyi, Krushynskyi, Sarapiy; Kashchuk, Yarmolyuk, Sudakov; Nazarenko, Vanat, Krasnopir. Georgia may start Mamardashvili; Gelashvili, Lochoshvili, Dvali, Goglichidze; Mekvabishvili, Gagnidze, Gagua; Chakvetadze, Davitashvili, Zivzivadze.