Updated 15 November 2026.
Bosnia and Herzegovina host Romania at Stadion Bilino Polje on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in the UEFA Nations League. It is a rematch of a game from September that the hosts won 4-2 in Romania. Bosnia and Herzegovina sit 2nd in their group on 8 points, Romania 4th on 3, and Romania have conceded 14 goals in five games.
Bosnia and Herzegovina are favourites with the bookmakers and with our model, which gives them a 52% chance of winning at home.
Bosnia and Herzegovina have played five, won two, drawn two and lost one, scoring 8 and conceding 6, which has them 2nd in their Nations League group. Their last outing was a 3-2 defeat in Sweden on 14 November, which followed a 1-0 home win over Poland and a 1-1 draw with Sweden. The September trip to Romania brought a 4-2 win, and before that they held Poland to a 0-0 draw.
The hosts average 1.6 goals a game, the 16th most in the competition, and have kept a clean sheet in 40% of games, the 13th highest rate. They average 3.6 shots on target a game, the 18th fewest.
Romania have won once in five and lost four, scoring 5 and conceding 14. They beat Poland 2-1 on 14 November, but the three games before that were a 0-1 loss to Sweden, a 6-0 defeat in Poland and the 4-2 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina. They concede 2.8 goals a game, the 3rd most, and have not kept a clean sheet. They also average 3.6 cards a game, the most in the competition, and 15.8 fouls a game is the 3rd most.
Bosnia and Herzegovina possible starting lineup:
Zlomislic; Dedić, Muharemović, Katic, Malic; Basic, Gigovic, Memic; Bajraktarevic, Tabakovic, Lukic
Romania possible starting lineup:
Popescu; Rațiu, Screciu, Eissat, Bancu; Marin, Băluță, Stoica; Moruțan, Bîrligea, Coman
For Romania, Daniel Bîrligea has hit the target in four of his last five, with two shots on target in each of those four, and is 1.40 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target. Tudor Băluță has made a tackle in three straight games, averaging 2.7 a game, and has had a shot in four of his last five, with 1.40 at Ladbrokes for another. Răzvan Marin has also had a shot in four of his last five and is 1.35 at Ladbrokes.
We back Bosnia and Herzegovina, who are 1.91 at Ladbrokes. Romania are 4.00 at Midnite and the draw is 3.70 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 1.91 (Ladbrokes) | 52% |
| Draw | 3.70 (bet365) | 25% |
| Romania win | 4.00 (Midnite) | 23% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (Ladbrokes) | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 (Midnite) | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 48% |
Our prediction is Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-0 Romania. We project 1.61 goals for the hosts and 0.97 for Romania, and 1-0 is the likeliest score at 12%. 1-1 is almost level with it at 12%, so a draw is in play, though we make Bosnia and Herzegovina the likelier winners at 52%, with the draw on 25% and Romania on 23%.
We project 3.97 shots on target for the hosts against 3.14 for Romania, and the hosts keep a clean sheet in 38% of our simulations, Romania in 20%.
Bosnia and Herzegovina host Romania in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League at 19:45 UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The match is played at Stadion Bilino Polje, and it is a League B fixture.
Our prediction for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania in the 2026/27 Nations League is Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-0 Romania, a home win and the likeliest score at 12%. A 1-1 draw is almost level at 12%, so a draw is in play.
Bosnia and Herzegovina are favourites in this Nations League game, with a 52% win chance in our model against 23% for Romania. The best price on Bosnia and Herzegovina is 1.91 at Ladbrokes and Romania are 4.00 at Midnite.
We give both teams to score a 50% chance in this Nations League fixture, with the best price 1.80 at Ladbrokes. Romania concede 2.8 goals a game, the 3rd most, and have no clean sheets this campaign.
Ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania in the 2026/27 Nations League, Daniel Bîrligea has hit the target in 4 of his last 5 games for Romania, with 2 shots on target in each of those, and Tudor Băluță has made a tackle in 3 straight games, averaging 2.7 a game.
Ahead of Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania in the 2026/27 Nations League, Bosnia and Herzegovina are 2nd in their League B group on 8 points from 5 games, while Romania are 4th on 3 points. The hosts have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1, and Romania have won 1 and lost 4.
Predicted lineups for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November 2026: Bosnia and Herzegovina may start Zlomislic; Dedić, Muharemović, Katic, Malic; Basic, Gigovic, Memic; Bajraktarevic, Tabakovic, Lukic. Romania may start Popescu; Rațiu, Screciu, Eissat, Bancu; Marin, Băluță, Stoica; Moruțan, Bîrligea, Coman.