Updated 13 November 2026.
Spain host England at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Sunday 15 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in a UEFA Nations League game between the top two in their League A group. Spain lead on 15 points from five wins in five. England sit 2nd on 12 points with 16 goals scored. England's only defeat in the competition so far was a 3-2 home loss to Spain on 26 September.
Spain have won all five of their group games and their last ten matches in all competitions. They have scored 14 and conceded five, which keeps them 1st in the group, and they average 2.8 goals a game, the 2nd most in the competition. Both teams have scored in 80% of Spain's games, the 5th highest rate, and Spain have kept one clean sheet in five.
Their most recent result was a 2-0 win over Czech Republic on Thursday, after a 2-1 win in Croatia and a 3-1 home win over the Czechs. They also beat Croatia 4-1 at home earlier in the campaign. They average 6 shots on target a game, the 8th most in the competition, and 6 corners, the 7th most.
England are 2nd with 12 points. Since that 3-2 defeat to Spain they have won four straight: 2-0 away to Czech Republic, a 7-0 win in Croatia, a 3-0 home win over the Czechs and 2-1 against Croatia on Thursday. They average 3.2 goals a game, the most in the competition, concede 0.8 a game (the 17th fewest) and have kept clean sheets in 60% of games, the 7th highest rate.
Spain possible starting lineup:
Simón; Porro, Cubarsí, Huijsen, Cucurella; Zubimendi, Fabián Ruiz; Pino, López, Baena; Torres
England possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Hall, Burn, Quansah, Alexander-Arnold; Bellingham, Rice, Anderson; Gordon, Kane, Rogers
Harry Kane has had two or more shots in five straight games for England, averaging 2.8 a game, and two or more shots on target in four straight. Two or more shots is 1.33 at Ladbrokes and two or more on target 2.80.
Jude Bellingham has had a shot on target in five straight games and two or more shots in each of them, averaging 2.4 shots a game. A shot on target is 1.83 at bet365 and two or more shots 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
Elliot Anderson has had a shot in five straight games and a tackle in five straight, averaging 1.4 shots and 1.6 tackles a game, and has also committed a foul in each of the five. A shot is 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
Fabián Ruiz has had a shot in each of his last five games, 13 in total, and a shot is 1.22 at bet365.
We back Spain, who are 1.75 at bet365 to win, and we give them a 56% chance of doing so.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Spain to win | 1.75 (bet365) | 56% |
| Draw | 4.10 (bet365) | 24% |
| England to win | 4.33 (midnite) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 (bet365) | 50% |
We predict Spain 1-0, with 1-1 the second likeliest score. We project Spain at 1.74 goals and England at 0.93, with about a 40% chance of a Spain clean sheet. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams to score 50%.
In the shot markets, Fabián Ruiz is 1.22 at bet365 for one shot. For England, Morgan Rogers has had a shot in four straight games and is 1.20 at Ladbrokes for one, and Jude Bellingham has made two or more tackles in each of his last five, which is 1.67 at bet365.
Spain vs England kicks off at 19:45 UK on Sunday 15 November 2026 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League A. Spain lead their group on 15 points from five games, England are 2nd on 12, and we make Spain 56% to win.
We predict Spain 1-0 England in this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League game, giving Spain a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and England 20%. A 1-1 draw is the second likeliest score.
Spain are favourites at 1.75 with bet365 to win this 2026/27 UEFA Nations League fixture, with England 4.33 at midnite and the draw 4.10 at bet365. We make Spain 56% to win, the draw 24% and England 20%.
We give 50% for both teams to score in Spain vs England in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams have scored in 80% of Spain's games this campaign.
Spain lead their League A group in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on 15 points from five wins, with England 2nd in the group on 12 points after four wins and one defeat.
In Spain vs England in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, Harry Kane has had 2 or more shots in 5 straight games for England, averaging 2.8 a game, while Fabián Ruiz has had a shot in each of his last 5 games for Spain, 13 in total.
Predicted lineups for Spain vs England in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Sunday 15 November 2026: Spain may start Simón; Porro, Cubarsí, Huijsen, Cucurella; Zubimendi, Fabián Ruiz; Pino, López, Baena; Torres. England may start Pickford; Hall, Burn, Quansah, Alexander-Arnold; Bellingham, Rice, Anderson; Gordon, Kane, Rogers.