Updated 15 November 2026.
Denmark host Norway at Parken on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in the UEFA Nations League. The two sides have already met this campaign, and both teams have players who have had a shot in each of their last five games.
Denmark sit 2nd in their group on 9 points from five games, one place and three points ahead of Norway in 3rd.
Denmark come in off a 4-1 win away at Portugal on 14 November. Before that they won 1-0 away at Wales on 4 October, having lost 4-2 at home to Portugal three days earlier. They score 2.2 a game, the 5th most in the competition, and have kept a clean sheet in 40% of games, the 13th highest. At the back they have conceded 1.6 a game, the 17th most.
Norway also won last time out, 3-1 at home to Wales, but that followed three straight defeats by 2-1: at home to Portugal, at Wales and at Portugal. They score 1.8 a game, the 13th most, and have scored and conceded in all five games, so both teams have scored in 100% of their matches, the highest rate in the competition. Their 3-2 win over Denmark on 24 September was the first meeting between these sides this campaign.
Both teams commit very few fouls. Denmark average 7.8 a game, the 2nd fewest, and Norway 9, the 6th fewest.
Denmark possible starting lineup:
Jørgensen; Bah, Nelsson, Provstgaard, Maehle; Højbjerg, Hjulmand, Froholdt; Isaksen, Damsgaard, Højlund
Norway possible starting lineup:
Selvik; Pedersen, Ajer, Østigård, Møller Wolfe; Berge, Berg, Ødegaard; Bobb, Schjelderup, Haaland
Rasmus Højlund has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 3.4 a game. He has also put one on target in three straight, at 2 a game.
Erling Haaland has had at least two shots in five straight games, averaging 4 a game, and has hit the target in each of his last five, at 1.20 with Ladbrokes.
Morten Hjulmand has had a shot in five straight games, averaging 1.4 a game, and is 1.35 with Ladbrokes to have another. He has also committed a foul in five straight.
Andreas Schjelderup has had at least one shot in five straight games for Norway, averaging 1.6, and is 1.13 with Ladbrokes to have another.
Gustav Isaksen has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 2.8 a game.
We back Denmark, who are 2.50 with bet365, with Norway 2.75 and the draw 3.75 with BoyleSports. Both teams to score is 1.44 and over 2.5 goals is 1.53, both with bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Denmark win | 2.50 (bet365) | 43% |
| Draw | 3.75 (BoyleSports) | 24% |
| Norway win | 2.75 (bet365) | 33% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 59% |
1-1 is the likeliest score at 11%, though we make Denmark slightly more likely to win, and a draw is in play. Our projection has Denmark on 1.65 goals and Norway on 1.41, which points to a game where both sides score: 61% for both teams to score and 59% for over 2.5. Neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet, with Denmark at 25% and Norway at 19%.
Denmark are projected for 4.7 shots on target and Norway for 4.3. Højlund, Hjulmand and Isaksen have shot runs for Denmark, and Haaland and Schjelderup for Norway.
Prediction: Denmark 1-1 Norway.
Denmark vs Norway in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League kicks off at 19:45 UK on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at Parken. It is a League A fixture between two sides who have already met once this campaign.
Our prediction for Denmark vs Norway in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League is 1-1, which is the likeliest score at 11%. We make Denmark slightly more likely to win at 43%, with the draw on 24% and Norway on 33%.
Denmark are the narrow favourites in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League meeting with Norway, at 2.50 with bet365 and a 43% chance in our model. Norway are 2.75 with bet365 and the draw is 3.75 with BoyleSports.
We give both teams to score a 61% chance in Denmark vs Norway in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, with bet365 at 1.44. Norway have conceded in all five of their games and both teams scored in every one of them.
Ahead of Denmark vs Norway in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, Denmark are 2nd in their League A group on 9 points from 5 games, with Norway 3rd on 6 points. Denmark have won 3 and lost 2, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded; Norway have also won 2 and lost 3.
Rasmus Højlund has had a shot in 5 straight 2026/27 UEFA Nations League games for Denmark, averaging 3.4 a game, and Erling Haaland has had at least two shots in 5 straight for Norway, averaging 4 a game. Højlund also has a shot on target in his last 3 games, at 2 a game.
Predicted lineups for Denmark vs Norway in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Tuesday 17 November 2026: Denmark may start Jørgensen; Bah, Nelsson, Provstgaard, Maehle; Højbjerg, Hjulmand, Froholdt; Isaksen, Damsgaard, Højlund. Norway may start Selvik; Pedersen, Ajer, Østigård, Møller Wolfe; Berge, Berg, Ødegaard; Bobb, Schjelderup, Haaland.