Updated 23 October 2026.
Vitória welcome Athletico PR to the Estádio Manoel Barradas on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 8.30pm UK time, in a Campeonato Brasileiro game that pits the 13th-placed side against the 3rd-placed one. Vitória sit on 37 points from 31 games and Athletico PR on 53, yet the prices are close, with the hosts at 2.60 and the visitors at 2.70.
Kevin Viveros arrives with a shot on target in each of his last nine appearances, and Vitória's matches have seen both teams score less often than any other side's in the league. The head-to-head page has the previous meetings between the two clubs.
Vitória have won 10, drawn 7 and lost 14 in the Brasileiro table, scoring 34 and conceding 45. They have won three of their last ten, drawn two and lost five. The latest was a 1-1 draw at Corinthians on 19 October, which followed a 2-1 defeat at São Paulo on 11 October. Before that came a 4-0 home win over Chapecoense on 7 October, and in September they lost 3-1 at home to Cruzeiro.
They have conceded 1.45 goals a game, the 7th most, yet have kept a clean sheet in 35% of games, the 3rd highest rate in the division. Both teams have scored in only 42% of their matches, the lowest in the league, and they average 1.1 goals a game, the 6th fewest.
Athletico PR, 3rd on 53 points with 15 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats, have scored 49 and conceded 37. Their latest game was a 0-2 home defeat to Palmeiras, which followed a 4-1 win at Chapecoense. Before that came a 2-2 draw with Atlético-MG, a 2-1 win over Bahia and a 3-3 draw at Coritiba.
They average 1.58 goals a game, the 4th most in the league, and 5.19 shots on target, the 7th most. They concede 1.19 a game, the 6th fewest, and have kept clean sheets in 26% of matches. They also average 2.03 cards a game, the 2nd fewest in the division.
Vitória possible starting lineup:
Lucas Arcanjo; Mateusinho, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Jamerson; Caíque Gonçalves, Erick, Emmanuel Martínez, Matheuzinho; Renato Kayzer, Diego Tarzia
Athletico PR possible starting lineup:
Mycael; Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel; Gilberto, Jádson, Luiz Gustavo; Stiven Mendoza, Leozinho, João Cruz; Kevin Viveros
Kevin Viveros has had a shot on target in each of his last nine appearances for Athletico PR and at least two shots in each of those nine, averaging 3.4 shots a game across the run. He is 1.29 at bet365 for a shot on target.
Stiven Mendoza has had a shot in six straight games, averaging two a game. A shot is 1.20 at bet365 and Ladbrokes.
For Vitória, Diego Tarzia has committed a foul in nine straight games at 1.7 a game and is 1.20 at bet365 to make it ten. Left-back Jamerson has had a shot in six in a row, and is 1.40 at Ladbrokes for another.
Caíque Gonçalves has made a tackle in 11 straight games at 2.4 a game, and Emmanuel Martínez has made one in eight straight, at 1.13 for another at bet365.
We back Athletico PR narrowly, at 2.70 with bet365, with Vitória at 2.60 with Coral and the draw at 3.40 with Coral.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Vitória win | 2.60 (Coral) | 32% |
| Draw | 3.40 (Coral) | 30% |
| Athletico PR win | 2.70 (bet365) | 38% |
| Both teams to score | 1.75 (Coral) | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.33 (Midnite) | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 (bet365) | 44% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 14%, though we make Athletico PR slightly more likely to win the game than Vitória. We project 1.16 goals for Vitória and 1.28 for Athletico PR, with 0-0 the next most likely scoreline at 10%. Over 1.5 goals comes in at 71% but over 2.5 is under half, in a fixture where Vitória's games have seen both teams score 42% of the time, the lowest rate in the league.
The match is at the Estádio Manoel Barradas on Saturday 24 October 2026, kicking off at 8.30pm UK time.
We predict a 1-1 draw. It is the likeliest single scoreline at 14%, although we make Athletico PR slightly more likely to win than Vitória.
The bookmakers have them almost level, with Vitória best priced at 2.60 and Athletico PR at 2.70. We give Athletico PR a 38% chance of winning, Vitória 32% and the draw 30%.
We give both teams to score a 51% chance, and the best price is 1.75 at Coral. Vitória have the lowest rate in the league at 42% of games.
Kevin Viveros of Athletico PR has had a shot on target in each of his last nine appearances and has had two or more shots in each of them.
Athletico PR are 3rd on 53 points from 31 games. Vitória are 13th on 37 points.
Vitória: Lucas Arcanjo; Mateusinho, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Jamerson; Caíque Gonçalves, Erick, Emmanuel Martínez, Matheuzinho; Renato Kayzer, Diego Tarzia. Athletico PR: Mycael; Arthur Dias, Juan Felipe Aguirre, Lucas Esquivel; Gilberto, Jádson, Luiz Gustavo; Stiven Mendoza, Leozinho, João Cruz; Kevin Viveros.