Charlotte welcome CF Montréal to Bank of America Stadium on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 11.30pm UK in the Major League Soccer regular season. Charlotte are 5th in the Eastern Conference on 47 points, CF Montréal 15th on 25, and the visitors have lost 18 of their 31 games.
We make Charlotte 58% to win and CF Montréal 20%, with the draw at 22%.
Charlotte have won four of their last ten but only one of the last five. They lost 3-2 at Portland on Sunday, drew 2-2 at Philadelphia and lost 3-1 at Columbus. Their one win in that spell was a 3-2 home victory over Dallas. They have scored 55 and conceded 48 this season, and they average 1.77 goals a game, the 9th most in MLS, and concede 1.55 a game, the 13th fewest. Both teams have scored in 71% of Charlotte's matches, the 6th highest rate, and 71% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, the 5th highest.
Montréal have lost eight of their last ten, with one win and one draw. The latest result was a 2-0 home loss to Nashville SC, after a 1-1 draw at Seattle and a 3-0 home defeat to Atlanta. They won 3-1 against Cincinnati on 26 September, but that is the only victory in the last ten. They average 1.16 goals a game, the fewest in the league, and they concede 2.00, the 4th most. They have kept a clean sheet in 13% of their games.
Montréal commit the 9th most fouls in MLS at 12.68 a game, while Charlotte commit the 3rd fewest at 9.65. Charlotte have 4.74 shots on target a game, the 13th fewest, and Montréal 4.77, the 14th fewest.
Charlotte possible starting lineup:
Kahlina; Byrne, Kessler, Morrison, Schnegg; Westwood, Diani; Aloko, Biel, Saint-Maximin; Toklomati
CF Montréal possible starting lineup:
Breza; Neal, Morales, Craig, Petrasso; Piette, Longstaff; Synchuk, Loturi, Ríos; Owusu
Allan Saint-Maximin has had a shot on target in seven straight games and at least three shots in five straight, averaging 3.4 shots a game across those five. A shot on target is 1.36 at ladbrokes and three or more shots is 1.40 at bet365.
Idan Toklomati has had a shot on target in four straight games, averaging 1.8 across the run, and is 1.22 at midnite.
Rodolfo Aloko has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging 2.3 across the run.
For Montréal, Jalen Neal has made a tackle in six consecutive games, averaging 2.3 a game across the run.
We back Charlotte, who are 1.53 at ladbrokes to win. We give them a 58% chance, against 22% for the draw and 20% for CF Montréal, who are 5.25 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Charlotte win | 1.53 (ladbrokes) | 58% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 22% |
| CF Montréal win | 5.25 (bet365) | 20% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 (bet365) | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 (bet365) | 67% |
We project 2.20 goals for Charlotte and 1.24 for Montréal. 2-1 and 1-1 are level as the likeliest single scores at 9.6% each, and as we make Charlotte clearly more likely to win, we predict Charlotte 2-1 CF Montréal.
Charlotte's shots on target projection is 6.27 against 4.41 for the visitors, and we give both teams to score a 64% chance.