Updated 13 October 2026
CF Montréal play host to Atlanta United at Stade Saputo in Major League Soccer, with kick-off at 00:30 UK on Thursday 15 October. Neither club has scored freely this season, and the more interesting question is who gets a shot away: Prince Owusu has had one in 19 straight games, and Atlanta's Breel Embolo is building a run of his own.
CF Montréal sit 15th in the Eastern Conference on 24 points, with Atlanta United one place above them in 14th on 27. Both have lost more than half of their 28 games, so there is very little between them.
CF Montréal have won once in their last five, a 3-1 home victory over Cincinnati on 26 September. Either side of it came a 2-1 defeat at Toronto last Saturday, a 2-0 home loss to Columbus and a 1-0 loss at Colorado. Over the season they score 1.25 goals a game and concede 2.00.
Atlanta United have been inconsistent rather than poor in recent weeks. They picked up a 1-0 win at Portland and a 0-0 draw at DC United, but lost 3-1 at home to Cincinnati on 10 October. The 2-2 draw with NYCFC and a 3-2 defeat by Orlando City show they can be open at the back, and they have conceded 1.71 a game.
Goals are the problem for the visitors: Atlanta score just 1.18 a game and manage 4.04 shots on target. Montréal average 4.93 shots on target, so they should have the better of the chances.
CF Montréal possible starting lineup:
Breza; Neal, Craig, Vera, Bugaj; Loturi, Petrasso, Longstaff; Sánchez, Owusu, Ríos
Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Hoyos; Jacob, Mihaj, Alonso, Báez; Amaro, Galoppo, Muyumba; Almirón, Embolo, Fortune
Prince Owusu is the headline name. The Montréal striker has had at least one shot in 19 consecutive games, averaging 3.2 a game, and he has put a shot on target in four of his last five. He is 1.17 at bet365 to have a shot on target.
Breel Embolo has had a shot in each of his six appearances for Atlanta, averaging 2.2, and has hit the target in four of his last five. He is 1.36 at bet365 for a shot on target.
Miguel Almirón has had three or more shots in three straight games and has managed a shot on target in each of them, with 1.83 on offer at bet365 for three or more shots again.
Dawid Bugaj has had a shot in three in a row and is 1.83 for another. Mauricio Amaro has made a tackle in each of his last six for Atlanta, averaging 1.7.
We back CF Montréal to win at 2.20 with bet365, and our model makes them the favourites at home.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| CF Montréal win | 2.20 (bet365) | 41% |
| Draw | 3.75 (bet365) | 27% |
| Atlanta United win | 2.85 (bet365) | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 55% |
We predict CF Montréal 1-1 Atlanta United as the likeliest score, though we make Montréal more likely to win overall. Both teams scoring is the more probable outcome at 59%, and we project 1.55 goals for the hosts against 1.34 for the visitors.
The match kicks off at 00:30 UK on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stade Saputo.
We predict a 1-1 draw as the single likeliest score, although we make CF Montréal slightly more likely to win the match.
CF Montréal are the favourites at 2.20 with bet365, against 2.85 for Atlanta United and 3.75 for the draw.
Our model gives both teams to score a 59% chance, and it is 1.50 with bet365.
Owusu has had at least one shot in 19 straight games, averaging 3.2 a game, and has had a shot on target in four of his last five.
In the Eastern Conference, CF Montréal are 15th with 24 points from 28 games, and Atlanta United are 14th with 27 points.
Montréal: Breza; Neal, Craig, Vera, Bugaj; Loturi, Petrasso, Longstaff; Sánchez, Owusu, Ríos. Atlanta: Hoyos; Jacob, Mihaj, Alonso, Báez; Amaro, Galoppo, Muyumba; Almirón, Embolo, Fortune.