Sunderland welcome Chelsea to town in the Premier League with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 10th on 51 points while the visitors are 8th on 52 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Sunderland (Predicted): Robin Roefs, Lutsharel Geertruida, Nordi Mukiele, Omar Alderete, Reinildo Mandava, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Trai Hume, Enzo Le Fée, Nilson Angulo, Brian Brobbey
Chelsea (Predicted): Robert Sánchez, Josh Acheampong, Wesley Fofana, Jorrel Hato, Marc Cucurella, Andrey Santos, Moisés Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernández, Liam Delap
Sunderland come into this with form reading D W L W W L L D D W over their last 10 – that’s W4 D3 L3, scoring 12 and conceding 14.
Chelsea have gone L W L L L L L L D W in their last 10 – W2 D1 L7, 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Projected scoreline: Sunderland 1.23 – 1.59 Chelsea.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Brian Brobbey leads Sunderland’s projected goal threat at 0.26 xG, with 1.2 projected shots.
For Chelsea, João Pedro tops the projections at 0.43 xG and 2.1 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland) leads the way with 2.16 projected tackles.
Chris Kavanagh takes charge of this one. Across 28 games this season, he averages 4.1 yellows and 22.2 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 4.46:
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.