◆ Statz Model

Best Bets Results

Every pick logged at the price it was published at, and graded once the game was final.

No picks from the current method have settled yet. Below is the retired method's record from Apr 2026 – Jun 2026: picks chosen on the gap between projection and line, graded under the same rules as everything since, with picks on players who did not play voided.
Retired method · Apr 2026 – Jun 2026
654
Picks graded · 52 voided
51.5%
Hit rate · 337 won, 317 lost
-4.7%
Return · -30.9 units at one a pick
Closing prices not kept by that method

By market

MarketPicksHit rateReturn
Points295
49.5%
-6.8%
Rebounds255
56.1%
+1.5%
Assists69
49.3%
-10%
3-Pointers35
40%
-22.6%

Most recent picks

PlayerPickProjectedActualPriceResult
OA
OG Anunoby
NYK @ SAS
Over 17.5
Points
20.211
1.80
Coral
Lost
DF
De'Aaron Fox
NYK @ SAS
Over 5.5
Assists
6.55
1.67
Coral
Lost
SC
Stephon Castle
NYK @ SAS
Over 15.5
Points
17.66
1.80
Coral
Lost
JB
Jalen Brunson
NYK @ SAS
Over 5.5
Assists
6.63
1.70
Coral
Lost
DV
Devin Vassell
NYK @ SAS
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.57
1.67
Coral
Won
JC
Julian Champagnie
NYK @ SAS
Over 9.5
Points
11.914
1.91
Coral
Won
DF
De'Aaron Fox
NYK @ SAS
Over 3.5
Rebounds
4.50
1.91
Coral
Lost
JC
Julian Champagnie
NYK @ SAS
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.47
1.73
Coral
Won
KT
Karl-Anthony Towns
NYK @ SAS
Over 3.5
Assists
4.41
2.05
Coral
Lost
LS
Landry Shamet
NYK @ SAS
Over 6.5
Points
9.55
1.91
Coral
Lost
MB
Mikal Bridges
NYK @ SAS
Over 10.5
Points
14.714
1.80
Coral
Won
JB
Jalen Brunson
SAS @ NYK
Over 5.5
Assists
6.57
2.00
Coral
Won
MB
Mikal Bridges
SAS @ NYK
Over 2.5
Assists
3.42
1.95
Coral
Lost
OA
OG Anunoby
SAS @ NYK
Over 16.5
Points
19.833
1.85
Coral
Won
SC
Stephon Castle
SAS @ NYK
Over 15.5
Points
1813
1.80
Coral
Lost
LS
Landry Shamet
SAS @ NYK
Over 7.5
Points
9.50
1.91
Coral
Lost
DV
Devin Vassell
SAS @ NYK
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.65
1.73
Coral
Won
DF
De'Aaron Fox
SAS @ NYK
Over 3.5
Rebounds
4.45
1.91
Coral
Won
SC
Stephon Castle
SAS @ NYK
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.85
1.75
Coral
Won
JC
Julian Champagnie
SAS @ NYK
Over 9.5
Points
11.95
1.85
Coral
Lost
LK
Luke Kornet
SAS @ NYK
Over 2.5
Rebounds
3.40
2.10
Coral
Lost
JC
Julian Champagnie
SAS @ NYK
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.85
1.73
Coral
Won
MB
Mikal Bridges
SAS @ NYK
Over 11.5
Points
15.87
1.75
Coral
Lost
SC
Stephon Castle
SAS @ NYK
Over 5.5
Assists
6.65
1.67
Coral
Lost
DV
Devin Vassell
SAS @ NYK
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.74
1.75
Coral
Lost
MB
Mikal Bridges
SAS @ NYK
Over 2.5
Assists
3.42
1.91
Coral
Lost
LK
Luke Kornet
SAS @ NYK
Over 2.5
Rebounds
3.45
2.30
Coral
Won
KJ
Keldon Johnson
SAS @ NYK
Over 5.5
Points
7.57
1.75
Coral
Won
KT
Karl-Anthony Towns
SAS @ NYK
Over 3.5
Assists
5.41
1.67
Coral
Lost
DH
Dylan Harper
SAS @ NYK
Over 4.5
Rebounds
5.99
1.65
Coral
Won

The ledger. Every selection the board publishes is recorded at the price it carried when it went up, and that price is never changed; the last price before tip-off is kept beside it, so you can see whether picks beat the closing line. Picks are settled against the real result, wins and losses alike. A pick on a player who did not play is voided, as a bookmaker would void it, and counts as neither. The record is split by method: the current selector stands on its own, and the retired method's 2026 playoff picks — chosen on the gap between projection and line, and losing — stay on the page rather than quietly disappearing.

Frequently asked

One unit staked on every graded pick at the price it was published at. Voided picks return the stake and are left out. A return of -5% means a hundred units staked would have come back as ninety-five.

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