NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
55 NBA points props for Sunday 1 November across 4 games, priced by 11 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 31.5 against a line of 33.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Points props55 of 55
Best price of 11 books 
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55 NBA points props for Sunday 1 November across 4 games, priced by 11 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Luka Doncic has the highest projected points at 31.5 against a line of 33.5. 5 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Luka Doncic is projected for 31.5 points against a line of 33.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.93 at DraftKings and the best under 2 at Paddy Power. We make the over 33.9% against the market's 50.4%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Ziaire Williams has cleared 8.5 points in 9 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Luka Doncic is projected for 31.5 points against a line of 33.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.93 at DraftKings and the best under 2 at Paddy Power. We make the over 33.9% against the market's 50.4%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Ziaire Williams has cleared 8.5 points in 9 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.