NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
The NBA player props cheat sheet lists every player with a posted points line for the slate: our projection, how often they have cleared the line in their last five and ten games, the best price each side across the books, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. No points lines are posted right now; books post player props a day or two before tip-off, and the sheet fills as they do.
The NBA player props cheat sheet lists every player with a posted points line for the slate: our projection, how often they have cleared the line in their last five and ten games, the best price each side across the books, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. No points lines are posted right now; books post player props a day or two before tip-off, and the sheet fills as they do.
Quick answers3 questions
What is on the player props cheat sheet?
One table per stat, points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals, blocks and the combination markets, with a row for every player who has a line posted.
How is the projection made?
From the team-first model: each team's projected points are shared among the players expected to play, by minutes and role, with injuries and the posted spread and total folded in. Combination markets add the parts together with their spreads combined.
Which bookmakers are the prices from?
Every book the odds feeds carry for NBA props: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics and the others, plus Bet365. The sheet shows the longest price each side of the line and names the book; the odds grid shows every book's price.
Quick answers3 questions
What is on the player props cheat sheet?
One table per stat, points, rebounds, assists, threes, steals, blocks and the combination markets, with a row for every player who has a line posted.
How is the projection made?
From the team-first model: each team's projected points are shared among the players expected to play, by minutes and role, with injuries and the posted spread and total folded in. Combination markets add the parts together with their spreads combined.
Which bookmakers are the prices from?
Every book the odds feeds carry for NBA props: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, Fanatics and the others, plus Bet365. The sheet shows the longest price each side of the line and names the book; the odds grid shows every book's price.