NBA Player Props Cheat Sheet
14 NBA points props for Wednesday 28 October across 6 games, priced by 5 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Nikola Jokic has the highest projected points at 25.6 against a line of 26.5. 3 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Points props14 of 14
Best price of 5 books 
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14 NBA points props for Wednesday 28 October across 6 games, priced by 5 books. Each row carries our projection, the hit rate at the line over the last five and ten games, the best price each side with the book posting it, and the market's chance against the Statz chance. Nikola Jokic has the highest projected points at 25.6 against a line of 26.5. 3 lines sit three or more points of chance from the market.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Nikola Jokic is projected for 25.6 points against a line of 26.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.85 at FanDuel and the best under 1.89 at FanDuel. We make the over 38.7% against the market's 50.3%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Saddiq Bey has cleared 11.5 points in 10 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.
Quick answers3 questions
Who has the highest projected points on the slate?
Nikola Jokic is projected for 25.6 points against a line of 26.5, the highest projection on the slate. The best over price is 1.85 at FanDuel and the best under 1.89 at FanDuel. We make the over 38.7% against the market's 50.3%.
Which player has the best recent points hit rate?
Saddiq Bey has cleared 11.5 points in 10 of the last 10 games, the strongest recent record on the slate. A hit rate is history, not a projection: the sheet shows it beside our number so the two can be read together.
How do I read Market, Statz and Edge?
Market is each book's over price with its margin removed, averaged across the books quoting the line. Statz is the chance our projection gives of clearing it. A positive edge means we rate the over higher than the market does; a negative one favours the under. Three points or more is worth a second look; one point is noise.