Derby host Wrexham at Pride Park Stadium, Derby on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Derby's last five results: W L L L D (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Wrexham's last five: W D D L W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 2 meetings, Derby have won 0, Wrexham 1, with 1 draw.
Derby vs Wrexham kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Championship, at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.
Derby vs Wrexham is being played at Pride Park Stadium in Derby, the home ground of Derby.
Derby's last five results read W L L L D (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Wrexham's last five results read W D D L W (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 2 meetings Derby have won 0, Wrexham have won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Derby County 1-2 Wrexham on 4 January 2026 in the Championship.
Sondre Langås leads Derby with 5 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Dominic Hyam leads Wrexham with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Matt Donohue is the referee for Derby vs Wrexham, averaging 20.0 fouls and 4.3 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Derby and Wrexham are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Derby the favourite with a 37% chance of winning, against 34% for Wrexham and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Derby 1.3 - 1.2 Wrexham.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 14%. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 45%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Championship | Derby County vs Wrexham | 1-2 |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Championship | Wrexham vs Derby County | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Derby 1.3 - 1.2 Wrexham in goals. It gives Derby a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Wrexham 34%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 72% and over 2.5 goals 45%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 1-0 | Derby win | 10% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 9% |
| 0-1 | Wrexham win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Derby win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Derby vs Wrexham, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Derby | Fouls committed | Wrexham | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Morris | 11 | D. Hyam | 13 |
| 2 | C. Taylor | 10 | O. Rathbone | 13 |
| 3 | L. Salvesen | 9 | B. Whiteman | 10 |
| 4 | A. Mowatt | 9 | K. Moore | 8 |
| 5 | H. Meister | 9 | S. Smith | 8 |
| # | Derby | Shots | Wrexham | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Clark | 18 | J. Windass | 16 |
| 2 | L. Salvesen | 11 | K. Moore | 16 |
| 3 | C. Morris | 9 | C. Doyle | 12 |
| 4 | O. Fraulo | 7 | O. Rathbone | 10 |
| 5 | M. Clarke | 6 | S. Smith | 10 |
| # | Derby | Shots on target | Wrexham | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Salvesen | 5 | K. Moore | 9 |
| 2 | J. Ward | 4 | O. Rathbone | 5 |
| 3 | B. Clark | 4 | S. Smith | 5 |
| 4 | O. Fraulo | 3 | C. Doyle | 4 |
| 5 | C. Morris | 3 | J. Windass | 3 |
| # | Derby | Goals | Wrexham | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Clark | 2 | K. Moore | 3 |
| 2 | S. Langås | 1 | J. Ekomié | 2 |
| 3 | O. Fraulo | 1 | O. Rathbone | 1 |
| 4 | M. Fuseini | 1 | J. Windass | 1 |
| 5 | L. Salvesen | 1 | S. Smith | 1 |
| # | Derby | Yellow cards | Wrexham | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Langås | 5 | D. Hyam | 3 |
| 2 | M. Fuseini | 2 | B. Whiteman | 2 |
| 3 | A. Mowatt | 2 | O. Rathbone | 1 |
| 4 | L. Travis | 2 | M. James | 1 |
| 5 | M. Clarke | 1 | I. Kaboré | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Derby vs Wrexham: Carlton Morris 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33). Combined odds 1.33 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 23 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 16 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 17 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 3 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.3 | 9 of 24 |
| Passes | 392.6 | 14 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.4 | 5 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 16 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 13 of 24 |
| Shots | 10.8 | 21 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.4 | 20 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 14 of 24 |
| Tackles | 13.9 | 18 of 24 |
| Passes | 445 | 9 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 17 of 24 |