Watford host Burnley at Vicarage Road, Watford on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Watford's last five results: L L W L L (1 win and 4 losses). Burnley's last five: D L D L D (3 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Watford have won 1, Burnley 3, with 2 draws.
Watford vs Burnley kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Championship, at Vicarage Road, Watford.
Watford vs Burnley is being played at Vicarage Road in Watford, the home ground of Watford.
Watford's last five results read L L W L L (oldest to newest): 1 win and 4 losses.
Burnley's last five results read D L D L D (oldest to newest): 3 draws and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Watford have won 1, Burnley have won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Watford 1-2 Burnley on 18 April 2025 in the Championship.
Amin Nabizada leads Watford with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Lucas Pires leads Burnley with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Andy Madley is the referee for Watford vs Burnley, averaging 21.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Watford and Burnley are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Burnley the favourite with a 39% chance of winning, against 33% for Watford and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Watford 1.2 - 1.4 Burnley.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | Championship | Watford vs Burnley | 1-2 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Championship | Burnley vs Watford | 2-1 |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Championship | Burnley vs Watford | 1-1 |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Championship | Watford vs Burnley | 1-0 |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Premier League | Watford vs Burnley | 1-2 |
| 5 Feb 2022 | Premier League | Burnley vs Watford | 0-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Watford 1.2 - 1.4 Burnley in goals. It gives Watford a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Burnley 39%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-0 (8%), 1-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-1 | Burnley win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Burnley win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
| 1-0 | Watford win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Watford vs Burnley, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Watford | Fouls committed | Burnley | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Doumbia | 12 | Hannibal | 11 |
| 2 | M. Pollock | 10 | Z. Amdouni | 11 |
| 3 | H. Kyprianou | 10 | J. Laurent | 10 |
| 4 | K. Keben | 9 | K. Walker | 6 |
| 5 | E. Kayembe | 8 | L. Ramazani | 6 |
| # | Watford | Shots | Burnley | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Bravo | 15 | Z. Amdouni | 19 |
| 2 | E. Kayembe | 12 | L. Ramazani | 11 |
| 3 | L. Kjerrumgaard | 11 | U. Raghouber | 7 |
| 4 | O. Maamma | 11 | J. Laurent | 7 |
| 5 | A. Nabizada | 10 | J. Larsen | 6 |
| # | Watford | Shots on target | Burnley | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Bravo | 6 | Z. Amdouni | 6 |
| 2 | L. Kjerrumgaard | 4 | L. Pires | 3 |
| 3 | O. Maamma | 4 | J. Laurent | 3 |
| 4 | A. Nabizada | 4 | D. Satpaev | 3 |
| 5 | R. Vata | 3 | A. Hountondji | 3 |
| # | Watford | Goals | Burnley | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Nabizada | 3 | Z. Amdouni | 2 |
| 2 | M. Doumbia | 1 | L. Ramazani | 1 |
| 3 | E. Kayembe | 1 | U. Raghouber | 1 |
| 4 | L. Kjerrumgaard | 1 | J. Laurent | 1 |
| 5 | I. Bravo | 1 |
| # | Watford | Yellow cards | Burnley | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Nabizada | 3 | L. Pires | 3 |
| 2 | M. Pollock | 2 | Hannibal | 3 |
| 3 | M. Doumbia | 2 | U. Raghouber | 2 |
| 4 | E. Kayembe | 2 | J. Laurent | 2 |
| 5 | I. Bravo | 2 | A. Barnes | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Watford vs Burnley: Marcus Edwards 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.57); Zeki Amdouni 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Edo Kayembe 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30). Combined odds 2.86 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 24 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 5 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.6 | 20 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 19 of 24 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 8 of 24 |
| Tackles | 14.6 | 13 of 24 |
| Passes | 387.3 | 15 of 24 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 23 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 20 of 24 |
| Goals against | 2.1 | 24 of 24 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 11 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 | 18 of 24 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 15 of 24 |
| Tackles | 11.9 | 24 of 24 |
| Passes | 456.8 | 7 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 15 of 24 |