Alaves host Atlético at Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz on 10 October 2026 at 15:15 in La Liga. Alaves's last five results: W W L L D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). Atlético's last five: L L W W W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Alaves have won 1, Atlético 3, with 2 draws.
Alaves vs Atlético kicks off at 15:15 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio de Mendizorroza, Gasteiz.
Alaves vs Atlético is being played at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Gasteiz, the home ground of Alaves.
Alaves's last five results read W W L L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Atlético's last five results read L L W W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Alaves have won 1, Atlético have won 3 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Atlético Madrid 1-0 Deportivo Alavés on 18 January 2026 in the La Liga.
Lucas Boyé leads Alaves with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Álex Baena leads Atlético with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Alaves and Atlético are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Atlético the favourite with a 46% chance of winning, against 27% for Alaves and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Alaves 1.2 - 1.6 Atlético.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 55% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés | 1-0 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid | 1-1 |
| 3 May 2025 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid | 0-0 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés | 2-1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid | 2-0 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | La Liga | Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Alaves 1.2 - 1.6 Atlético in goals. It gives Alaves a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlético 46%. Both teams to score is 55% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-2 (8%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 0-1 | Atlético win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Atlético win | 9% |
| 0-2 | Atlético win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Alaves vs Atlético, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Alaves | Fouls committed | Atlético | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rebbach | 19 | M. Pubill | 11 |
| 2 | A. Blanco | 18 | A. Lookman | 11 |
| 3 | L. Boyé | 18 | Á. Baena | 11 |
| 4 | P. Ibáñez | 14 | K. Lee | 11 |
| 5 | N. Tenaglia | 12 | M. Llorente | 10 |
| # | Alaves | Shots | Atlético | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 20 | Á. Baena | 20 |
| 2 | T. Martínez | 17 | K. Lee | 20 |
| 3 | Á. Pérez | 13 | A. Lookman | 14 |
| 4 | N. Tenaglia | 11 | G. Simeone | 11 |
| 5 | P. Ibáñez | 11 | A. Grimaldo | 10 |
| # | Alaves | Shots on target | Atlético | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Díaz | 8 | Á. Baena | 8 |
| 2 | L. Boyé | 7 | K. Lee | 6 |
| 3 | Á. Pérez | 5 | J. David | 6 |
| 4 | N. Tenaglia | 4 | A. Lookman | 5 |
| 5 | A. Rebbach | 4 | A. Grimaldo | 5 |
| # | Alaves | Goals | Atlético | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Boyé | 4 | Á. Baena | 4 |
| 2 | M. Díaz | 3 | A. Lookman | 3 |
| 3 | T. Martínez | 2 | J. David | 3 |
| 4 | V. Koski | 1 | M. Pubill | 2 |
| 5 | P. Ibáñez | 1 | A. Grimaldo | 2 |
| # | Alaves | Yellow cards | Atlético | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rebbach | 5 | M. Pubill | 3 |
| 2 | N. Tenaglia | 3 | M. Llorente | 2 |
| 3 | A. Blanco | 3 | R. Normand | 2 |
| 4 | M. Díaz | 2 | Koke | 1 |
| 5 | Y. Enríquez | 1 | G. Simeone | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Alaves vs Atlético: Álex Baena 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.62); Dávid Hancko 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.44); Jonathan David 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.29); Johnny Cardoso 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 4.88 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 19 | 5 of 20 |
| Passes | 322.9 | 19 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 13 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.3 | 3 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.9 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 6.4 | 5 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 10 of 20 |
| Tackles | 17 | 10 of 20 |
| Passes | 562.9 | 3 of 20 |
| Corners | 5 | 8 of 20 |