Villa host Brentford at Villa Park, Birmingham on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League. Villa's last five results: D W L W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). Brentford's last five: D D D W W (2 wins and 3 draws). In their last 6 meetings, Villa have won 2, Brentford 2, with 2 draws.
Villa vs Brentford kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in the Premier League, at Villa Park, Birmingham.
Villa vs Brentford is being played at Villa Park in Birmingham, the home ground of Villa.
Villa's last five results read D W L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Brentford's last five results read D D D W W (oldest to newest): 2 wins and 3 draws.
Across the last 6 meetings Villa have won 2, Brentford have won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford on 1 February 2026 in the Premier League.
Ollie Watkins leads Villa with 5 goals across their last 10 games.
Kevin Schade leads Brentford with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Craig Pawson is the referee for Villa vs Brentford, averaging 27.5 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Villa and Brentford are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Villa the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Brentford and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Villa 1.6 - 1.6 Brentford.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 64% likely and over 2.5 goals 62%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 0-1 |
| 16 Sep 2025 | Carabao Cup | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1-1 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Premier League | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 1-0 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Premier League | Brentford vs Aston Villa | 0-1 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 3-1 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Premier League | Aston Villa vs Brentford | 3-3 |
Statz's projection model expects Villa 1.6 - 1.6 Brentford in goals. It gives Villa a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Brentford 37%. Both teams to score is 64% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 62%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-0 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Villa win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Brentford win | 8% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 7% |
| 1-0 | Villa win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Villa vs Brentford, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Villa | Fouls committed | Brentford | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. BuendÃa | 11 | I. Thiago | 19 |
| 2 | R. Barkley | 10 | V. Janelt | 12 |
| 3 | B. Kamara | 9 | K. Schade | 10 |
| 4 | I. Maatsen | 8 | D. Ouattara | 9 |
| 5 | M. Cash | 8 | M. Sangaré | 9 |
| # | Villa | Shots | Brentford | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 16 | I. Thiago | 21 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 15 | D. Ouattara | 19 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 12 | K. Schade | 19 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 10 | K. Lewis-Potter | 16 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 8 | M. Damsgaard | 10 |
| # | Villa | Shots on target | Brentford | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 9 | I. Thiago | 8 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 5 | K. Schade | 8 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 3 | K. Lewis-Potter | 4 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 3 | D. Ouattara | 4 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 2 | M. Damsgaard | 3 |
| # | Villa | Goals | Brentford | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Watkins | 5 | K. Schade | 4 |
| 2 | E. BuendÃa | 2 | I. Thiago | 2 |
| 3 | R. Barkley | 1 | D. Ouattara | 2 |
| 4 | J. McGinn | 1 | V. Janelt | 2 |
| 5 | N. Jackson | 1 | M. Jensen | 1 |
| # | Villa | Yellow cards | Brentford | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Cash | 3 | V. Janelt | 4 |
| 2 | J. McGinn | 3 | I. Thiago | 3 |
| 3 | T. Mings | 2 | N. Collins | 3 |
| 4 | N. Jackson | 2 | M. Kayode | 2 |
| 5 | P. Torres | 1 | K. Ajer | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Villa vs Brentford: Mikkel Damsgaard 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.25); Keane Lewis-Potter 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.22); Igor Thiago 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.25); Nicolas Jackson 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 2.67 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 17 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 15 of 20 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 2.4 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 9 of 20 |
| Passes | 406.4 | 13 of 20 |
| Corners | 3 | 19 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 | 4 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 3 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 11 of 20 |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Passes | 375 | 17 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 11 of 20 |