Monaco host Toulouse at Stade Louis II., Monaco on 10 October 2026 at 19:45 in Ligue 1. Monaco's last five results: W W W D W (4 wins and 1 draw). Toulouse's last five: L D L D W (1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Monaco have won 3, Toulouse 1, with 2 draws.
Monaco vs Toulouse kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 10 October 2026 in Ligue 1, at Stade Louis II., Monaco.
Monaco vs Toulouse is being played at Stade Louis II. in Monaco, the home ground of Monaco.
Monaco's last five results read W W W D W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 draw.
Toulouse's last five results read L D L D W (oldest to newest): 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Monaco have won 3, Toulouse have won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was Toulouse 2-2 Monaco on 25 April 2026 in the Ligue 1.
Paris Brunner leads Monaco with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Cristian Cásseres Jr. leads Toulouse with 6 assists across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Monaco and Toulouse are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Monaco the favourite with a 54% chance of winning, against 22% for Toulouse and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Monaco 1.9 - 1.1 Toulouse.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 11%. Both teams to score is 58% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Monaco | 2-2 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Ligue 1 | Monaco vs Toulouse | 1-0 |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Monaco | 1-1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Ligue 1 | Monaco vs Toulouse | 2-0 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Ligue 1 | Monaco vs Toulouse | 1-2 |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Monaco | 1-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Monaco 1.9 - 1.1 Toulouse in goals. It gives Monaco a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 22%. Both teams to score is 58% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Monaco win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Monaco win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Monaco win | 9% |
| 3-1 | Monaco win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Monaco vs Toulouse, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Monaco | Fouls committed | Toulouse | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Zakaria | 15 | M. McKenzie | 13 |
| 2 | L. Camara | 12 | C. Jr. | 12 |
| 3 | Vanderson | 9 | S. Hidalgo | 10 |
| 4 | A. Golovin | 7 | C. Tapé | 8 |
| 5 | C. Mawissa | 7 | I. Azizi | 8 |
| # | Monaco | Shots | Toulouse | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Brunner | 18 | S. Hidalgo | 14 |
| 2 | S. Idumbo | 10 | J. Russell-Rowe | 12 |
| 3 | D. Zakaria | 9 | T. Jørgensen | 10 |
| 4 | F. Balogun | 9 | C. Tengstedt | 10 |
| 5 | L. Camara | 8 | I. Azizi | 8 |
| # | Monaco | Shots on target | Toulouse | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Brunner | 10 | S. Hidalgo | 8 |
| 2 | D. Zakaria | 4 | J. Russell-Rowe | 7 |
| 3 | L. Camara | 4 | T. Jørgensen | 5 |
| 4 | A. Fati | 4 | C. Tengstedt | 3 |
| 5 | F. Balogun | 3 | C. Tapé | 2 |
| # | Monaco | Goals | Toulouse | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Brunner | 4 | C. Tengstedt | 3 |
| 2 | L. Camara | 3 | T. Jørgensen | 2 |
| 3 | A. Fati | 2 | C. Tapé | 1 |
| 4 | J. Teze | 1 | J. Russell-Rowe | 1 |
| 5 | F. Balogun | 1 |
| # | Monaco | Yellow cards | Toulouse | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Mawissa | 3 | A. Dønnum | 2 |
| 2 | L. Camara | 3 | A. Vossah | 2 |
| 3 | L. Hradecky | 2 | N. Schmidt | 2 |
| 4 | M. Coulibaly | 2 | M. McKenzie | 1 |
| 5 | A. Golovin | 2 | S. Koumbassa | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 9 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.6 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 18 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 14 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11 | 12 of 18 |
| Tackles | 22.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Passes | 447.6 | 12 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 13 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 | 13 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.8 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots | 14.8 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.6 | 12 of 18 |
| Fouls | 16.8 | 1 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 7 of 18 |
| Passes | 506 | 5 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 12 of 18 |