Derby Shots on Target Stats 2026/2027

Derby Shots on Target Stats 2026/2027 - season overview

Derby are averaging 3.9 shots on target per game in 2026/2027, with matches involving them seeing 9.6 total SOT on average. That puts them 23rd of 24 for team SOT per match in their primary competition. Below you'll find player SOT-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Wrexham, and a full match-by-match log.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which Derby players hit the most shots on target?

Sammie Szmodics leads with 9 shots on target across 9 qualifying appearances (1/g, 67% hit rate). The SOT-rate table below ranks every Derby player by SOT per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ SOT price.

How does Derby's SOT profile look this season?

Derby are averaging 3.9 shots on target per game over 10 games and concede 5.7 for a match-total of 9.6. That ranks 23rd of 24 for team SOT in their primary competition. They take 12.3 shots per game and create 7.6 key passes per game.

How is the SOT matchup read calculated?

SOT matchup blends our attackers' on-target rate (50%) with the opposition's SOT conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Wrexham, the page weights each Derby attacker against the opposition's last-season SOT-conceded rate.

What's the difference between shots and shots on target?

Derby take 12.3 shots per game and put 3.9 on target. Players who shoot speculatively often have a low SOT-per-shot ratio; the context panel surfaces the shots/g funnel so you can see the conversion rate.

Where do these SOT stats come from?

All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz - 10 Derby fixtures in the active window for 2026/2027. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.

How is conversion (Goals/SOT) useful?

Derby are currently converting 23% of their shots on target into goals. A high conversion rate means finishing well; a low one means SOT volume but not yet goals. Pair this with the shots/g funnel to read how the goals number is built.

Derby player shots on target rates

Player	Position	Apps	Shots on target	Per game	1+ hit rate
Jaydon Banel	attacker	1	1	1	100%
Sammie Szmodics	midfielder	9	9	1	67%
Carlton Morris	attacker	6	4	0.67	67%
Mohammed Fuseini	attacker	3	2	0.67	67%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen	attacker	4	4	1	50%
Matt Clarke	defender	2	1	0.5	50%
Joe Ward	midfielder	7	4	0.57	43%
Ryan Hedges	attacker	6	2	0.33	33%
Corey Blackett-Taylor	attacker	3	2	0.67	33%
Henrik Meister	attacker	3	1	0.33	33%
Bobby Clark	midfielder	10	4	0.4	30%
Oscar Fraulo	midfielder	7	2	0.29	29%
David Ozoh	midfielder	5	1	0.2	20%
Sondre Langås	defender	10	0	0	0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström	goalkeeper	9	0	0	0%
Charlie Taylor	defender	9	0	0	0%
Dion Sanderson	defender	8	0	0	0%
Alex Mowatt	midfielder	7	0	0	0%
Lewis Travis	midfielder	5	0	0	0%
Craig Forsyth	defender	4	0	0	0%
Max Johnston	defender	4	0	0	0%
Rhian Brewster	attacker	4	0	0	0%
Filip Bilbija	attacker	2	0	0	0%
Eiran Cashin	defender	2	0	0	0%
Ben Brereton Díaz	attacker	1	0	0	0%

Derby shots on target match by match

Date	Competition	Opponent	Venue	Score	Team shots on target	Opposition shots on target	Match total	Top player
19 Sep 2026	Championship	Burnley	Away	1-1	6	2	8	David Ozoh (1)
12 Sep 2026	Championship	Birmingham City	Home	1-2	4	9	13	Sammie Szmodics (2)
9 Sep 2026	Championship	West Bromwich Albion	Home	0-1	3	1	4	Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (1)
5 Sep 2026	Championship	West Ham United	Away	3-0	0	7	7
1 Sep 2026	Championship	Portsmouth	Away	0-2	5	3	8	Lars-Jørgen Salvesen (3)
29 Aug 2026	Championship	Swansea City	Home	0-3	0	12	12
22 Aug 2026	Championship	Cardiff City	Home	2-2	7	7	14	Bobby Clark (2)
15 Aug 2026	Championship	Charlton Athletic	Away	2-1	4	4	8	Sammie Szmodics (2)
8 Aug 2026	Carabao Cup	Lincoln City	Home	1-2	4	4	8	Sammie Szmodics (2)
2 May 2026	Championship	Sheffield United	Home	1-2	6	8	14	Joe Ward (2)

Derby shots on target 2026/2027: last 10 games

Shots on target for per game: 3.9
Shots on target against per game: 5.7
Match total shots on target per game: 9.6
Games: 10
League rank for match shots on target: 6 of 24

Derby Shots on target for 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %	Over 5.5 %	Over 6.5 %
Home	6	4	83%	67%	33%	33%	17%
Away	4	3.75	75%	75%	50%	25%	0%
Overall	10	3.9	80%	70%	40%	30%	10%

Derby Shots on target against 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %	Over 5.5 %	Over 6.5 %
Home	6	6.83	83%	83%	67%	67%	67%
Away	4	4	75%	50%	25%	25%	25%
Overall	10	5.7	80%	70%	50%	50%	50%

Derby Match total 2026/2027 by venue

Scope	Games	Average	Over 6.5 %	Over 7.5 %	Over 8.5 %	Over 9.5 %	Over 10.5 %
Home	6	10.83	83%	83%	67%	67%	67%
Away	4	7.75	100%	75%	0%	0%	0%
Overall	10	9.6	90%	80%	40%	40%	40%

Derby Team shots on target 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Team shots on target	Overall	Home	Away
Shots on target / match	3.9	4	3.75
Total shots / match	12.3	13.17	11
Share of shots on target	32%	30%	34%
Goals per shot on target	23%	21%	27%
Shots on target per goal	4.3	4.8	3.8
Shots on target over 2.5	80%	83%	75%
Shots on target over 3.5	70%	67%	75%
Shots on target over 4.5	40%	33%	50%
Shots on target over 5.5	30%	33%	25%
Shots on target over 6.5	10%	17%	0%

Derby Shots on target against 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Shots on target against	Overall	Home	Away
Shots on target against / match	5.7	6.83	4
Shots on target against over 2.5	80%	83%	75%
Shots on target against over 3.5	70%	83%	50%
Shots on target against over 4.5	50%	67%	25%
Shots on target against over 5.5	50%	67%	25%
Shots on target against over 6.5	50%	67%	25%

Derby Match shots on target 2026/2027: overall, home and away (last 10 games)

Match shots on target	Overall	Home	Away
Match shots on target / match	9.6	10.83	7.75
Match shots on target over 6.5	90%	83%	100%
Match shots on target over 7.5	80%	83%	75%
Match shots on target over 8.5	40%	67%	0%
Match shots on target over 9.5	40%	67%	0%
Match shots on target over 10.5	40%	67%	0%

Derby 1st-half shots on target for 2026/2027 (from 4 of 10 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %
Home	3	3.67	100%	67%	67%
Away	1	2	100%	0%	0%
Overall	4	3.25	100%	50%	50%

Derby 1st-half shots on target against 2026/2027 (from 4 of 10 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 1.5 %	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %
Home	3	4	100%	67%	33%
Away	1	2	100%	0%	0%
Overall	4	3.5	100%	50%	25%

Derby 1st-half match total 2026/2027 (from 4 of 10 games)

Scope	Games	Average	Over 2.5 %	Over 3.5 %	Over 4.5 %	Over 5.5 %
Home	3	7.67	100%	100%	100%	67%
Away	1	4	100%	100%	0%	0%
Overall	4	6.75	100%	100%	75%	50%

Derby shots on target match by match 2026/2027

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Shots on target for	Shots on target against	Match total	1st-half total
19 Sep	Championship	Burnley (A)	1-1	6	2	8	-
12 Sep	Championship	Birmingham (H)	1-2	4	9	13	-
9 Sep	Championship	WBA (H)	0-1	3	1	4	-
5 Sep	Championship	West Ham (A)	3-0	0	7	7	-
1 Sep	Championship	Portsmouth (A)	0-2	5	3	8	-
29 Aug	Championship	Swansea (H)	0-3	0	12	12	-
22 Aug	Championship	Cardiff (H)	2-2	7	7	14	12
15 Aug	Championship	Charlton (A)	2-1	4	4	8	4
8 Aug	Carabao Cup	Lincoln (H)	1-2	4	4	8	5
2 May	Championship	Sheff Utd (H)	1-2	6	8	14	6

Championship shots on target table 2026/2027: every team's shots on target per game

#	Team	MP	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 8.5 %
1	Cardiff City	8	6.63	4.88	11.5	88%
2	Bolton Wanderers	8	4.75	5.75	10.5	88%
3	West Ham United	8	5.88	4	9.88	63%
4	Norwich City	8	5.5	4.38	9.88	88%
5	Middlesbrough	8	5.13	4.13	9.25	75%
6	Derby County	8	3.63	5.63	9.25	38%
7	Portsmouth	7	4.57	4.43	9	57%
8	Southampton	8	4.88	3.88	8.75	50%
9	Stoke City	8	4	4.63	8.63	38%
10	Queens Park Rangers	8	5.38	3.13	8.5	50%
11	Burnley	8	3.63	4.88	8.5	50%
12	Birmingham City	8	4.25	4.13	8.38	50%
13	Millwall	8	4.13	4.13	8.25	63%
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	4.57	3.57	8.14	43%
15	Watford	8	3.5	4.63	8.13	38%
16	Sheffield United	8	3.13	5	8.13	50%
17	Preston North End	8	3.13	5	8.13	50%
18	Wrexham	8	3.38	4.5	7.88	50%
19	Swansea City	8	5	2.75	7.75	38%
20	Blackburn Rovers	8	4.13	3.63	7.75	25%
21	West Bromwich Albion	8	3.75	3.88	7.63	38%
22	Lincoln City	8	3	4.63	7.63	38%
23	Bristol City	8	4.63	2.75	7.38	38%
24	Charlton Athletic	8	2.63	4.75	7.38	38%

Derby shots on target against top-half and bottom-half teams 2026/2027

Opponents	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 8.5 %
Vs top six	15	2.67	5.2	7.87	40%
Vs top half	27	3.44	4.7	8.15	37%
Vs bottom half	27	3.7	4.19	7.89	37%
Vs bottom six	15	3.93	3.33	7.27	27%

Derby shots on target per game by competition, last three seasons

Competition	Season	Games	For per game	Against per game	Match total per game	Over 8.5 %
Championship	2026/2027	8	3.63	5.63	9.25	38%
Carabao Cup	2026/2027	1	4	4	8	0%
Championship	2025/2026	46	3.57	4.24	7.8	37%
Carabao Cup	2025/2026	2	1.5	5.5	7	0%
FA Cup	2025/2026	1	2	11	13	100%
Championship	2024/2025	46	3.2	3.65	6.85	22%
Carabao Cup	2024/2025	2	3.5	2.5	6	0%
FA Cup	2024/2025	1	5	1	6	0%

Derby next three opponents: shots on target per game this season

Kick-off	Opponent	Their match total	Their shots on target for	Their shots on target against	Match total at that venue	For at that venue	Against at that venue
Sat 10 Oct 14:00	Wrexham (home)	7.88	3.38	4.5	6.75	3	3.75
Wed 14 Oct 18:45	QPR (away)	8.5	5.38	3.13	9.5	6.5	3
Sat 17 Oct 14:00	Stoke (home)	8.63	4	4.63	9.25	3.75	5.5

Derby players with the most games of 1+ shots on target 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 1+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Sammie Szmodics	midfielder	5	8	63%
2	Carlton Morris	attacker	3	5	60%
3	Joe Ward	midfielder	3	7	43%
4	Lars-Jørgen Salvesen	attacker	3	8	38%
5	Bobby Clark	midfielder	3	9	33%

Derby players with the most games of 2+ shots on target 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 2+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Sammie Szmodics	midfielder	3	8	38%
2	Corey Blackett-Taylor	attacker	1	8	13%
3	Lars-Jørgen Salvesen	attacker	1	8	13%
4	Bobby Clark	midfielder	1	9	11%

Derby players with the most games of 3+ shots on target 2026/2027

#	Player	Position	Games with 3+	Apps	Hit rate
1	Lars-Jørgen Salvesen	attacker	1	8	13%

Wrexham shots on target match by match, last 10 games (next opponent)

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	Shots on target for	Shots on target against	Match total	1st-half total
19 Sep	Championship	S'oton (H)	2-1	4	7	11	-
11 Sep	Championship	West Ham (A)	6-0	1	9	10	-
8 Sep	Championship	Burnley (H)	1-1	5	4	9	-
5 Sep	Championship	Swansea (A)	0-0	1	3	4	-
2 Sep	Championship	Millwall (A)	0-3	3	0	3	-
28 Aug	Championship	Birmingham (H)	1-2	4	4	8	-
22 Aug	Championship	Watford (H)	1-1	2	6	8	5
17 Aug	Championship	Cardiff (A)	1-1	7	3	10	4
7 Aug	Carabao Cup	M'Boro (A)	1-0	2	3	5	3
2 May	Championship	M'Boro (H)	2-2	8	5	13	8