Derby have recorded 8 expected goals (xG) across 8 Championship games in 2026/2027, averaging 1 per match. S. Szmodics leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.26 per game. B. Clark is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Derby are averaging 1 expected goals (xG) per match - S. Szmodics leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Derby vs Wrexham on 10.10.2026.
Derby average 1 expected goals (xG) per Championship game in 2026/2027, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1 per match.
S. Szmodics leads Derby for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 1 in Championship - an average of 0.26 per game. B. Clark is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Derby's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Derby's results and their chances agree, within 1.3 points of xPts over 20 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 28.63 | 25 | -3.63 | 31.74 | 28 | +3.74 | 27.28 | 26 | -1.28 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.45 | 11 | -1.45 | 20.47 | 18 | +2.47 | 10.44 | 8 | -2.44 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.05 | 4 | -1.05 | 9.10 | 7 | +2.10 | 5.55 | 4 | -1.55 |
| Home | 10 | 16.98 | 13 | -3.98 | 13.78 | 12 | +1.78 | 16.35 | 16 | -0.35 |
| Away | 10 | 11.65 | 12 | +0.35 | 17.96 | 16 | +1.96 | 10.93 | 10 | -0.93 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Championship | Burnley (A) | 1-1 | 1.55 | 0.81 | 1.90 | 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Championship | Birmingham (H) | 1-2 | 1.09 | 2.63 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 9 Sep | Championship | WBA (H) | 0-1 | 1.37 | 0.77 | 1.81 | 0 | W |
| 5 Sep | Championship | West Ham (A) | 3-0 | 0.14 | 3.85 | 0.04 | 0 | L |
| 1 Sep | Championship | Portsmouth (A) | 0-2 | 0.90 | 1.04 | 1.23 | 3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Championship | Swansea (H) | 0-3 | 0.99 | 2.68 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | Championship | Cardiff (H) | 2-2 | 1.89 | 2.88 | 0.90 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Championship | Charlton (A) | 2-1 | 1.28 | 1.24 | 1.39 | 0 | W |
| 2 May | Championship | Sheff Utd (H) | 1-2 | 2.02 | 1.82 | 1.52 | 0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Championship | QPR (A) | 2-3 | 1.22 | 2.75 | 0.59 | 3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Championship | Norwich (A) | 2-1 | 0.96 | 1.55 | 0.96 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Championship | Oxford Utd (H) | 1-0 | 1.35 | 0.88 | 1.71 | 3 | W |
| 11 Apr | Championship | S'oton (A) | 2-1 | 1.68 | 1.57 | 1.45 | 0 | W |
| 6 Apr | Championship | Stoke (H) | 2-0 | 3.11 | 0.59 | 2.67 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Championship | Coventry (A) | 3-2 | 1.75 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Championship | Birmingham (H) | 1-0 | 1.91 | 0.25 | 2.52 | 3 | W |
| 16 Mar | Championship | Portsmouth (A) | 0-1 | 1.29 | 2.18 | 0.87 | 3 | L |
| 10 Mar | Championship | Millwall (A) | 1-0 | 0.88 | 1.64 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 7 Mar | Championship | Sheff Wed (H) | 2-1 | 1.71 | 0.54 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| 28 Feb | Championship | Blackburn (H) | 3-1 | 1.54 | 0.74 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brereton DÃaz | attacker | 11 | 908 | 2.89 | 4 | +1.11 | 0.29 |
| Jaydon Banel | attacker | 11 | 507 | 2.16 | 3 | +0.84 | 0.38 |
| Rhian Brewster | attacker | 11 | 445 | 1.17 | 2 | +0.83 | 0.24 |
| Mohammed Fuseini | attacker | 4 | 223 | 0.17 | 1 | +0.83 | 0.07 |
| Matt Clarke | defender | 12 | 1057 | 1.23 | 2 | +0.77 | 0.11 |
| Sondre Langås | defender | 13 | 1032 | 0.61 | 1 | +0.39 | 0.05 |
| Sammie Szmodics | midfielder | 17 | 1393 | 3.67 | 4 | +0.33 | 0.24 |
| David Ozoh | midfielder | 16 | 883 | 0.67 | 1 | +0.33 | 0.07 |
| Oscar Fraulo | midfielder | 18 | 627 | 0.82 | 1 | +0.18 | 0.12 |
| Bobby Clark | midfielder | 17 | 1262 | 2.29 | 2 | -0.29 | 0.16 |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | attacker | 13 | 252 | 1.40 | 1 | -0.40 | 0.50 |
| Ryan Hedges | attacker | 7 | 346 | 0.76 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.20 |
| Dion Sanderson | defender | 17 | 1438 | 0.78 | 0 | -0.78 | 0.05 |
| Joe Ward | midfielder | 18 | 1441 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.05 |
| Carlton Morris | attacker | 16 | 1094 | 4.48 | 3 | -1.48 | 0.37 |
| Patrick Agyemang | attacker | 7 | 477 | 2.44 | 0 | -2.44 | 0.46 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 8 | 12.2 | 13 | 10.4 | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Charlton Athletic | 8 | 6.3 | 7 | 12.7 | 10 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion | 8 | 10.4 | 10 | 11.7 | 8 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 8 | 8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.7 | 12 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 8 | 9.6 | 11 | 14.8 | 15 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Southampton | 8 | 14.3 | 19 | 12.6 | 10 | 12.3 | 14 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Sheffield United | 8 | 8.3 | 9 | 13.3 | 11 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 9 | Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | 12.6 | 15 | 7.2 | 10 | 13.2 | 14 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 15.4 | 16 | 9.6 | 12 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 12 | West Ham United | 8 | 18.7 | 22 | 11.2 | 11 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| 13 | Watford | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers | 8 | 14.8 | 10 | 9.9 | 7 | 13.7 | 13 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 10.3 | 9 | 10.2 | 12 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 16 | Birmingham City | 8 | 13.2 | 12 | 10.9 | 11 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 8 | 12.6 | 7 | 9.9 | 8 | 12.7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 10.5 | 9 | 9.8 | 10 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 8 | 13.3 | 16 | 13.2 | 17 | 11.3 | 9 | -2.3 |
| 20 | Millwall | 8 | 16.8 | 15 | 11.8 | 15 | 13.4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| 21 | Derby County | 8 | 9.2 | 7 | 15.9 | 14 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| 22 | Burnley | 8 | 10.1 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 23 | Preston North End | 8 | 10.5 | 8 | 11.7 | 15 | 10.7 | 4 | -6.7 |
| 24 | Cardiff City | 8 | 16.6 | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 14.1 | 7 | -7.1 |