Watford have recorded 8 expected goals (xG) across 8 Championship games in 2026/2027, averaging 1 per match. I. Bravo leads the squad with 1 expected goals (xG) - 0.29 per game. L. Kjerrumgaard is next with 1.
Over their last 10 games, Watford are averaging 1 expected goals (xG) per match - I. Bravo leads that period with 1. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Watford vs Burnley on 10.10.2026.
Watford average 1 expected goals (xG) per Championship game in 2026/2027, based on 8 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1 per match.
I. Bravo leads Watford for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 1 in Championship - an average of 0.29 per game. L. Kjerrumgaard is second with 1.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Watford's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Watford have taken 5.3 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -7.6 goals against their xG, and -1.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 24.64 | 17 | -7.64 | 33.81 | 35 | -1.19 | 22.30 | 17 | -5.30 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.74 | 8 | -3.74 | 17.95 | 19 | -1.05 | 10.00 | 8 | -2.00 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.54 | 3 | -2.54 | 9.30 | 7 | +2.30 | 4.55 | 3 | -1.55 |
| Home | 9 | 11.72 | 10 | -1.72 | 12.84 | 13 | -0.16 | 11.75 | 12 | +0.25 |
| Away | 11 | 12.92 | 7 | -5.92 | 20.97 | 22 | -1.03 | 10.55 | 5 | -5.55 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | Championship | Bristol City (A) | 1-0 | 0.56 | 1.57 | 0.64 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | Championship | Stoke (H) | 1-2 | 0.40 | 1.37 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 8 Sep | Championship | Preston (H) | 2-1 | 2.02 | 1.93 | 1.45 | 3 | W |
| 5 Sep | Championship | WBA (A) | 1-0 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 1 Sep | Championship | Swansea (A) | 2-0 | 1.11 | 3.03 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 29 Aug | Championship | West Ham (H) | 1-1 | 1.63 | 1.23 | 1.65 | 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Championship | Wrexham (A) | 1-1 | 0.59 | 1.94 | 0.51 | 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Championship | S'oton (H) | 2-1 | 1.24 | 1.56 | 1.15 | 3 | L |
| 2 May | Championship | Coventry (H) | 0-4 | 1.61 | 1.41 | 1.51 | 0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Championship | M'Boro (A) | 5-1 | 1.13 | 2.51 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 21 Apr | Championship | WBA (A) | 3-0 | 0.79 | 1.83 | 0.69 | 0 | L |
| 18 Apr | Championship | Sheff Utd (H) | 0-2 | 1.34 | 0.83 | 1.74 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Championship | Oxford Utd (A) | 2-0 | 1.35 | 1.58 | 1.23 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | Championship | Charlton (H) | 1-1 | 1.58 | 2.30 | 0.99 | 1 | L |
| 3 Apr | Championship | QPR (A) | 2-1 | 0.72 | 2.51 | 0.41 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Championship | Leicester (H) | 0-0 | 0.33 | 1.88 | 0.36 | 1 | L |
| 17 Mar | Championship | Wrexham (H) | 3-1 | 1.57 | 0.33 | 2.30 | 3 | W |
| 14 Mar | Championship | Stoke (A) | 3-1 | 1.64 | 2.11 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 10 Mar | Championship | Sheff Wed (A) | 1-1 | 2.21 | 1.54 | 1.79 | 1 | W |
| 27 Feb | Championship | Bristol City (A) | 1-2 | 1.37 | 0.95 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Nabizada | attacker | 11 | 488 | 0.77 | 3 | +2.23 | 0.14 |
| Marc Bola | defender | 9 | 491 | 0.17 | 1 | +0.83 | 0.03 |
| James Abankwah | defender | 10 | 881 | 0.37 | 1 | +0.63 | 0.04 |
| Jeremy Ngakia | defender | 4 | 269 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.13 |
| Edoardo Bove | midfielder | 14 | 579 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.10 |
| Edo Kayembe | midfielder | 18 | 1298 | 2.23 | 2 | -0.23 | 0.15 |
| Imrân Louza | midfielder | 12 | 999 | 1.46 | 1 | -0.46 | 0.13 |
| Nestory Irankunda | attacker | 12 | 824 | 2.61 | 2 | -0.61 | 0.28 |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | midfielder | 11 | 795 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.63 | 0.07 |
| Iker Bravo | attacker | 8 | 612 | 1.75 | 1 | -0.75 | 0.26 |
| Saba Goglichidze | defender | 9 | 755 | 0.82 | 0 | -0.82 | 0.10 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | attacker | 17 | 786 | 1.97 | 1 | -0.97 | 0.23 |
| Hector Kyprianou | midfielder | 8 | 720 | 1.05 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.13 |
| Othmane Maamma | attacker | 13 | 750 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.13 |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | attacker | 18 | 1057 | 4.94 | 2 | -2.94 | 0.42 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 8 | 12.2 | 13 | 10.4 | 6 | 11.8 | 17 | +5.2 |
| 2 | Charlton Athletic | 8 | 6.3 | 7 | 12.7 | 10 | 7.4 | 12 | +4.6 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion | 8 | 10.4 | 10 | 11.7 | 8 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 8 | 8 | 13 | 11.2 | 12 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 10.3 | 11 | 11.7 | 12 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 8 | 9.6 | 11 | 14.8 | 15 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 7 | Southampton | 8 | 14.3 | 19 | 12.6 | 10 | 12.3 | 14 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Sheffield United | 8 | 8.3 | 9 | 13.3 | 11 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 9 | Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | 12.6 | 15 | 7.2 | 10 | 13.2 | 14 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 15.4 | 16 | 9.6 | 12 | 14.5 | 15 | +0.5 |
| 12 | West Ham United | 8 | 18.7 | 22 | 11.2 | 11 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| 13 | Watford | 8 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers | 8 | 14.8 | 10 | 9.9 | 7 | 13.7 | 13 | -0.7 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 10.3 | 9 | 10.2 | 12 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| 16 | Birmingham City | 8 | 13.2 | 12 | 10.9 | 11 | 12.6 | 11 | -1.6 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 8 | 12.6 | 7 | 9.9 | 8 | 12.7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 10.5 | 9 | 9.8 | 10 | 10.2 | 8 | -2.2 |
| 19 | Norwich City | 8 | 13.3 | 16 | 13.2 | 17 | 11.3 | 9 | -2.3 |
| 20 | Millwall | 8 | 16.8 | 15 | 11.8 | 15 | 13.4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| 21 | Derby County | 8 | 9.2 | 7 | 15.9 | 14 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| 22 | Burnley | 8 | 10.1 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 4 | -5 |
| 23 | Preston North End | 8 | 10.5 | 8 | 11.7 | 15 | 10.7 | 4 | -6.7 |
| 24 | Cardiff City | 8 | 16.6 | 10 | 11.3 | 12 | 14.1 | 7 | -7.1 |