Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | RB Leipzig win | 9.9% |
| 0-2 | RB Leipzig win | 9.0% |
| 0-1 | RB Leipzig win | 8.0% |
| 1-3 | RB Leipzig win | 6.8% |
| 0-3 | RB Leipzig win | 6.2% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.5% |
| 2-1 | U Berlin win | 5.3% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.0% |
| 1-0 | U Berlin win | 4.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| U Berlin clean sheet | 13% |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 33% |
The most likely score in U Berlin vs RB Leipzig is 1-1, a 10% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-2 at 10%. The Bundesliga game kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects U Berlin 1.10 - 2.05 RB Leipzig in goals for U Berlin vs RB Leipzig, with over 2.5 goals 61% likely and both teams to score 59%.
Statz projects 19 players for U Berlin vs RB Leipzig on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 14:30 UK time kick-off.
U Berlin host RB Leipzig at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin on 21 November 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga. U Berlin's last five results: W D D D L (1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss). RB Leipzig's last five: L W W L W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, U Berlin have won 1, RB Leipzig 3, with 2 draws.
U Berlin vs RB Leipzig kicks off at 14:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Stadion An der Alten Försterei holds 22,012 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 14:30.
U Berlin vs RB Leipzig is being played at Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Berlin on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of U Berlin, which holds 22,012 people. Kick-off is at 14:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Bundesliga.
U Berlin have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 4, with results reading W D D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat away to Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 8 November.
RB Leipzig have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 18 and conceding 8, with results reading W L W W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 5-2 win at home to Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings U Berlin have won 1, RB Leipzig have won 3 and 2 were drawn, with U Berlin scoring 4 goals to RB Leipzig's 9. The most recent was RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Union Berlin on 24 April 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Zeno Van Den Bosch leads U Berlin with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any U Berlin player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every U Berlin player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Christopher Nkunku leads RB Leipzig with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any RB Leipzig player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every RB Leipzig player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts U Berlin vs RB Leipzig with 11 starters a side: U Berlin line up 3-4-1-2 and RB Leipzig 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 14:30 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes RB Leipzig the favourite with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for U Berlin and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are U Berlin 1.1 - 2.1 RB Leipzig.
The most likely score in U Berlin vs RB Leipzig is 1-1, a draw, at 10%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 61%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for U Berlin vs RB Leipzig, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2026 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin | 3-1 |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Bundesliga | FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 3-1 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Bundesliga | FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0-0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin | 0-0 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Union Berlin | 2-0 |
| 3 Sep 2023 | Bundesliga | FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig | 0-3 |
Statz's projection model expects U Berlin 1.1 - 2.1 RB Leipzig in goals. It gives U Berlin a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and RB Leipzig 59%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 83% and over 2.5 goals 61%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 10% |
| 1-2 | RB Leipzig win | 10% |
| 0-2 | RB Leipzig win | 9% |
| 0-1 | RB Leipzig win | 8% |
| 1-3 | RB Leipzig win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for U Berlin vs RB Leipzig, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | U Berlin | Fouls committed | RB Leipzig | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Khedira | 13 | E. Banzuzi | 18 |
| 2 | Z. Bosch | 12 | D. Raum | 9 |
| 3 | T. Rothe | 11 | B. Henrichs | 7 |
| 4 | A. Schäfer | 9 | B. Gruda | 7 |
| 5 | T. Skarke | 9 | N. Aynaoui | 7 |
| # | U Berlin | Shots | RB Leipzig | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Jeong | 12 | T. Gomis | 24 |
| 2 | T. Skarke | 11 | A. Nusa | 20 |
| 3 | L. Burcu | 8 | C. Nkunku | 17 |
| 4 | A. Schäfer | 8 | E. Banzuzi | 13 |
| 5 | J. Haberer | 8 | Rômulo | 12 |
| # | U Berlin | Shots on target | RB Leipzig | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Skarke | 7 | A. Nusa | 9 |
| 2 | J. Haberer | 4 | C. Nkunku | 8 |
| 3 | A. Schäfer | 3 | Rômulo | 8 |
| 4 | A. Ilic | 3 | T. Gomis | 8 |
| 5 | T. Rothe | 3 | E. Banzuzi | 7 |
| # | U Berlin | Goals | RB Leipzig | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Ilic | 2 | C. Nkunku | 5 |
| 2 | J. Haberer | 2 | Rômulo | 5 |
| 3 | T. Skarke | 2 | A. Nusa | 4 |
| 4 | W. Jeong | 1 | T. Gomis | 3 |
| 5 | A. Schäfer | 1 | E. Banzuzi | 2 |
| # | U Berlin | Yellow cards | RB Leipzig | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Bosch | 4 | N. Aynaoui | 2 |
| 2 | A. Kemlein | 3 | A. Nusa | 2 |
| 3 | J. Haberer | 3 | C. Baumgartner | 1 |
| 4 | F. Uduokhai | 3 | D. Raum | 1 |
| 5 | T. Skarke | 2 | R. Reitz | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for U Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Willi Orbán 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.33); Ridle Baku 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.53). Combined odds 2.03 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 17 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.3 | 17 of 18 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 18 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.2 | 18 of 18 |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 6 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.2 | 9 of 18 |
| Passes | 358.7 | 18 of 18 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 18 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 2 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 6 of 18 |
| Shots | 17.2 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 6.9 | 2 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 15 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.7 | 11 of 18 |
| Passes | 540.2 | 3 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 9 of 18 |