Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | Troyes win | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | Troyes win | 8.9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.0% |
| 0-1 | Le Havre win | 8.0% |
| 2-0 | Troyes win | 7.7% |
| 1-2 | Le Havre win | 7.2% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.2% |
| 0-2 | Le Havre win | 5.0% |
| 3-1 | Troyes win | 4.3% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Troyes clean sheet | 31% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 24% |
The most likely score in Troyes vs Le Havre is 1-1, a 13% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 10%. The Ligue 1 game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Troyes 1.44 - 1.17 Le Havre in goals for Troyes vs Le Havre, with over 2.5 goals 48% likely and both teams to score 53%.
Statz projects 19 players for Troyes vs Le Havre on Friday 20 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Troyes host Le Havre at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes on 20 November 2026 at 19:45 in Ligue 1. Troyes's last five results: L L D W L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Le Havre's last five: L L L L L (5 losses).
Troyes vs Le Havre kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 20 November 2026 in Ligue 1, at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes. Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas holds 20,400 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Troyes vs Le Havre is being played at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas in Troyes on Friday 20 November 2026, the home ground of Troyes, which holds 20,400 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of Ligue 1.
Troyes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6, with results reading L L D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to PSG in the Ligue 1 on 7 November.
Le Havre have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 15, with results reading L L L L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-2 defeat at home to Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 8 November.
Antoine Mille leads Troyes with 20 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 2.0 a game, the most of any Troyes player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Troyes player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Josh Maja leads Le Havre with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Le Havre player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Le Havre player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Troyes vs Le Havre with 11 starters a side: Troyes line up 4-2-3-1 and Le Havre 3-5-2, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Friday 20 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Troyes the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 30% for Le Havre and 27% for the draw. Projected goals are Troyes 1.4 - 1.2 Le Havre.
The most likely score in Troyes vs Le Havre is 1-1, a draw, at 13%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 53% likely and over 2.5 goals 48%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Troyes vs Le Havre, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Troyes 1.4 - 1.2 Le Havre in goals. It gives Troyes a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Le Havre 30%. Both teams to score is 53% likely, over 1.5 goals 74% and over 2.5 goals 48%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 0-0 (8%), 0-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 1-0 | Troyes win | 10% |
| 2-1 | Troyes win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
| 0-1 | Le Havre win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Troyes vs Le Havre, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Troyes | Fouls committed | Le Havre | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Mille | 20 | A. Richardson | 22 |
| 2 | J. Diaz | 14 | S. Ebonog | 18 |
| 3 | K. Dermane | 14 | D. Ouziad | 11 |
| 4 | L. Maronnier | 11 | J. Maja | 9 |
| 5 | J. Douaron | 9 | E. Vinette | 9 |
| # | Troyes | Shots | Le Havre | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Ripart | 20 | A. Samatta | 37 |
| 2 | T. Nkada | 15 | J. Maja | 21 |
| 3 | A. Mille | 14 | R. Fofana | 17 |
| 4 | J. Douaron | 12 | A. Richardson | 15 |
| 5 | K. Dermane | 11 | D. Ouziad | 12 |
| # | Troyes | Shots on target | Le Havre | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Ripart | 7 | A. Samatta | 14 |
| 2 | T. Nkada | 4 | J. Maja | 10 |
| 3 | I. Boura | 3 | R. Fofana | 6 |
| 4 | K. Diawara | 3 | S. Nakamura | 4 |
| 5 | A. Mille | 3 | R. Ndiaye | 3 |
| # | Troyes | Goals | Le Havre | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Diop | 1 | J. Maja | 4 |
| 2 | I. Boura | 1 | R. Fofana | 2 |
| 3 | T. Nkada | 1 | A. Samatta | 2 |
| 4 | J. Douaron | 1 | R. Ndiaye | 1 |
| 5 | A. Mille | 1 | M. Ndiaye | 1 |
| # | Troyes | Yellow cards | Le Havre | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Diaz | 5 | A. Touba | 2 |
| 2 | A. Mille | 3 | A. Seko | 2 |
| 3 | J. Douaron | 1 | M. Ndiaye | 2 |
| 4 | P. Iweru | 1 | S. Ebonog | 1 |
| 5 | I. Boura | 1 | R. Ndiaye | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 18 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.7 | 12 of 18 |
| Shots | 13.1 | 7 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 16 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 9 of 18 |
| Tackles | 19 | 2 of 18 |
| Passes | 355.4 | 18 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 | 17 of 18 |
| Goals against | 2.2 | 16 of 18 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 6 of 18 |
| Fouls | 14.2 | 5 of 18 |
| Tackles | 20.1 | 1 of 18 |
| Passes | 407.1 | 16 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 7 of 18 |