Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | Newport win | 9.6% |
| 1-0 | Newport win | 9.2% |
| 2-0 | Newport win | 8.4% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7.0% |
| 1-2 | Swindon win | 6.6% |
| 0-1 | Swindon win | 6.1% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.4% |
| 3-1 | Newport win | 5.3% |
| 3-0 | Newport win | 4.6% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Newport clean sheet | 32% |
| Swindon clean sheet | 19% |
The most likely score in Newport vs Swindon is 1-1, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The League Two game kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Newport 1.66 - 1.14 Swindon in goals for Newport vs Swindon, with over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 56%.
Statz projects 20 players for Newport vs Swindon on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 12:30 UK time kick-off.
Newport host Swindon at Rodney Parade, Casnewyd on 21 November 2026 at 12:30 in League Two. Newport's last five results: D L W W D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Swindon's last five: W D W L L (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Newport have won 1, Swindon 5, with 0 draws.
Newport vs Swindon kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in League Two, at Rodney Parade, Casnewyd. Rodney Parade holds 7,850 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 12:30.
Newport vs Swindon is being played at Rodney Parade in Casnewyd on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Newport, which holds 7,850 people. Kick-off is at 12:30 UK time, and the match is part of League Two.
Newport have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7, with results reading D D L W D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-2 draw away to Crewe in the League Two on 14 November.
Swindon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7, with results reading D W D W L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-4 defeat at home to Grimsby in the League Two on 14 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Newport have won 1, Swindon have won 5 and 0 were drawn, with Newport scoring 3 goals to Swindon's 12. The most recent was Swindon Town 2-0 Newport County on 11 February 2026 in the League Two.
Gerard Garner leads Newport with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.3 a game, the most of any Newport player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Newport player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Aaron Drinan leads Swindon with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Swindon player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Swindon player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Until the team news for Newport vs Swindon is in, the Lineups tab shows the XI each side last started with: Newport's XI from their 2-2 draw at Crewe on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Swindon's XI from their 1-4 defeat v Grimsby at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026. Predicted lineups replace them once the team news is in, and the confirmed XIs about an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Newport the favourite with a 49% chance of winning, against 25% for Swindon and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Newport 1.7 - 1.1 Swindon.
The most likely score in Newport vs Swindon is 1-1, a draw, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 53%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Newport vs Swindon, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Newport County | 2-0 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | League Two | Newport County vs Swindon Town | 0-1 |
| 24 Jan 2025 | League Two | Newport County vs Swindon Town | 1-2 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Newport County | 4-0 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | League Two | Newport County vs Swindon Town | 2-1 |
| 14 Oct 2023 | League Two | Swindon Town vs Newport County | 2-0 |
Statz's projection model expects Newport 1.7 - 1.1 Swindon in goals. It gives Newport a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Swindon 25%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 53%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (8%), 0-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | Newport win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Newport win | 9% |
| 2-0 | Newport win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 7% |
Predicted lineups for Newport vs Swindon are not in yet, so these are the XIs each side last started with: Newport's XI from their 2-2 draw at Crewe on Sat 14 Nov 2026, and Swindon's XI from their 1-4 defeat v Grimsby at home on Sat 14 Nov 2026.
| # | Newport | Fouls committed | Swindon | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Brennan | 14 | J. Ball | 12 |
| 2 | M. Adu-Poku | 13 | J. Thomson | 11 |
| 3 | C. Norman | 13 | A. Munda | 11 |
| 4 | M. Dibley-Dias | 13 | K. Majekodunmi | 8 |
| 5 | K. Etete | 12 | D. Butler | 7 |
| # | Newport | Shots | Swindon | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Biggins | 25 | A. Drinan | 25 |
| 2 | M. Adu-Poku | 15 | J. Hungbo | 13 |
| 3 | K. Cameron | 12 | J. Snowdon | 8 |
| 4 | Y. Bamba | 11 | A. Munda | 8 |
| 5 | L. Jenkins | 10 | O. Clarke | 8 |
| # | Newport | Shots on target | Swindon | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Biggins | 8 | A. Drinan | 11 |
| 2 | M. Adu-Poku | 5 | J. Snowdon | 5 |
| 3 | Y. Bamba | 4 | J. Hungbo | 3 |
| 4 | C. Norman | 3 | M. Virtue-Thick | 3 |
| 5 | K. Cameron | 3 | A. Munda | 3 |
| # | Newport | Goals | Swindon | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Biggins | 2 | A. Drinan | 4 |
| 2 | C. Doidge | 2 | J. Hungbo | 2 |
| 3 | D. Sassi | 1 | J. Thomson | 1 |
| 4 | T. Davies | 1 | M. Clark | 1 |
| 5 | Y. Bamba | 1 |
| # | Newport | Yellow cards | Swindon | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Garner | 3 | K. Majekodunmi | 3 |
| 2 | H. Biggins | 3 | D. Butler | 2 |
| 3 | C. Brennan | 2 | J. Ball | 2 |
| 4 | K. Etete | 2 | O. Clarke | 2 |
| 5 | M. Dibley-Dias | 2 | M. Clark | 1 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 7 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 9 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 14 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 | 18 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 8 of 24 |
| Tackles | 17.1 | 2 of 24 |
| Passes | 254 | 24 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 15 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 16 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 13 of 24 |
| Shots | 10.3 | 21 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.3 | 22 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.5 | 23 of 24 |
| Tackles | 19.9 | 1 of 24 |
| Passes | 334.9 | 19 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 19 of 24 |