Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | M'Boro win | 11.7% |
| 1-0 | M'Boro win | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | M'Boro win | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9.3% |
| 3-0 | M'Boro win | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | M'Boro win | 7.2% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.4% |
| 4-0 | M'Boro win | 4.9% |
| 4-1 | M'Boro win | 4.0% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.0% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| M'Boro clean sheet | 44% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 11% |
The most likely score in M'Boro vs Bristol City is 2-0, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 1-0 at 10%. The Championship game kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects M'Boro 2.23 - 0.82 Bristol City in goals for M'Boro vs Bristol City, with over 2.5 goals 59% likely and both teams to score 51%.
Statz projects 22 players for M'Boro vs Bristol City on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 15:00 UK time kick-off.
M'Boro host Bristol City at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough on 21 November 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. M'Boro's last five results: D W W L D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Bristol City's last five: L D W L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). In their last 6 meetings, M'Boro have won 0, Bristol City 5, with 1 draw.
M'Boro vs Bristol City kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in the Championship, at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Riverside Stadium holds 34,742 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 15:00.
M'Boro vs Bristol City is being played at Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of M'Boro, which holds 34,742 people. Kick-off is at 15:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Championship.
M'Boro have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 5, with results reading D W W L D from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-0 draw away to Watford in the Championship on 7 November.
Bristol City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 10, with results reading L D W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-5 defeat at home to Norwich in the Championship on 7 November.
Across the last 6 meetings M'Boro have won 0, Bristol City have won 5 and 1 was drawn, with M'Boro scoring 5 goals to Bristol City's 12. The most recent was Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City on 14 March 2026 in the Championship.
Will Lankshear leads M'Boro with 8 goals across their last 10 games, 0.8 a game, the most of any M'Boro player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every M'Boro player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Jason Knight leads Bristol City with 17 fouls committed across their last 10 games, 1.7 a game, the most of any Bristol City player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bristol City player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts M'Boro vs Bristol City with 11 starters a side: M'Boro line up 4-3-3 and Bristol City 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 15:00 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes M'Boro the favourite with a 69% chance of winning, against 12% for Bristol City and 20% for the draw. Projected goals are M'Boro 2.2 - 0.8 Bristol City.
The most likely score in M'Boro vs Bristol City is 2-0, a M'Boro win, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 59%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for M'Boro vs Bristol City, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Bristol City | 1-1 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Championship | Bristol City vs Middlesbrough | 2-0 |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Championship | Bristol City vs Middlesbrough | 2-1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Bristol City | 0-2 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Championship | Middlesbrough vs Bristol City | 1-2 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Championship | Bristol City vs Middlesbrough | 3-2 |
Statz's projection model expects M'Boro 2.2 - 0.8 Bristol City in goals. It gives M'Boro a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bristol City 12%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 82% and over 2.5 goals 59%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | M'Boro win | 12% |
| 1-0 | M'Boro win | 10% |
| 2-1 | M'Boro win | 10% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 9% |
| 3-0 | M'Boro win | 9% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for M'Boro vs Bristol City, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | M'Boro | Fouls committed | Bristol City | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Berhalter | 11 | J. Knight | 17 |
| 2 | R. McGree | 9 | L. Tolaj | 11 |
| 3 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 8 | L. Eissat | 10 |
| 4 | A. Morris | 8 | D. Ballard | 9 |
| 5 | W. Lankshear | 8 | S. Twine | 8 |
| # | M'Boro | Shots | Bristol City | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 36 | D. Ballard | 24 |
| 2 | W. Lankshear | 30 | L. Tolaj | 16 |
| 3 | A. Morris | 20 | S. Twine | 12 |
| 4 | T. Conway | 16 | Y. Hirakawa | 12 |
| 5 | S. Berhalter | 15 | L. Eissat | 10 |
| # | M'Boro | Shots on target | Bristol City | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 17 | D. Ballard | 9 |
| 2 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 12 | S. Twine | 7 |
| 3 | A. Morris | 7 | Y. Hirakawa | 6 |
| 4 | S. Berhalter | 6 | L. Tolaj | 4 |
| 5 | C. Brittain | 5 | S. Greenwood | 3 |
| # | M'Boro | Goals | Bristol City | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W. Lankshear | 8 | S. Twine | 3 |
| 2 | S. Berhalter | 3 | D. Ballard | 2 |
| 3 | A. Cozier-Duberry | 3 | S. Bell | 1 |
| 4 | A. Morris | 1 | L. Tolaj | 1 |
| 5 | T. Conway | 1 |
| # | M'Boro | Yellow cards | Bristol City | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Berhalter | 3 | L. McNally | 2 |
| 2 | R. McGree | 3 | J. Williams | 2 |
| 3 | A. Phillips | 2 | J. Knight | 2 |
| 4 | C. Brittain | 1 | L. Eissat | 2 |
| 5 | S. Byram | 1 | C. Pring | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for M'Boro vs Bristol City: Callum Brittain 1+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.53); Aidan Morris 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.53). Combined odds 2.34 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.1 | 2 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.3 | 10 of 24 |
| Shots | 19.1 | 1 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 6.1 | 3 of 24 |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 22 of 24 |
| Tackles | 16.1 | 7 of 24 |
| Passes | 544 | 1 of 24 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 4 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 19 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 16 of 24 |
| Shots | 13.1 | 13 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 11 of 24 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 12 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 12 of 24 |
| Passes | 366.3 | 19 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 14 of 24 |