Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | Lens win | 9.7% |
| 1-0 | Lens win | 8.3% |
| 2-0 | Lens win | 8.0% |
| 1-2 | Toulouse win | 6.5% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.9% |
| 3-1 | Lens win | 5.9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 5.4% |
| 0-1 | Toulouse win | 5.3% |
| 3-0 | Lens win | 4.8% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Lens clean sheet | 30% |
| Toulouse clean sheet | 16% |
The most likely score in Lens vs Toulouse is 1-1, a 11% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 2-1 at 10%. The Ligue 1 game kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Lens 1.82 - 1.21 Toulouse in goals for Lens vs Toulouse, with over 2.5 goals 58% likely and both teams to score 59%.
Statz projects 20 players for Lens vs Toulouse on Saturday 21 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 19:45 UK time kick-off.
Lens host Toulouse at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens on 21 November 2026 at 19:45 in Ligue 1. Lens's last five results: L W L L L (1 win and 4 losses). Toulouse's last five: D W D L W (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Lens have won 4, Toulouse 1, with 1 draw.
Lens vs Toulouse kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 21 November 2026 in Ligue 1, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Stade Bollaert-Delelis holds 38,223 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 19:45.
Lens vs Toulouse is being played at Stade Bollaert-Delelis in Lens on Saturday 21 November 2026, the home ground of Lens, which holds 38,223 people. Kick-off is at 19:45 UK time, and the match is part of Ligue 1.
Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6, with results reading W W W L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 1-2 defeat at home to Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 8 November.
Toulouse have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5, with results reading D W D L W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 3-1 win at home to Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 on 6 November.
Across the last 6 meetings Lens have won 4, Toulouse have won 1 and 1 was drawn, with Lens scoring 11 goals to Toulouse's 5. The most recent was Lens 3-2 Toulouse on 17 April 2026 in the Ligue 1.
Florian Thauvin leads Lens with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Lens player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Lens player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Casper Tengstedt leads Toulouse with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Toulouse player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Toulouse player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Lens vs Toulouse with 11 starters a side: Lens line up 3-4-2-1 and Toulouse 4-4-2, ahead of the 19:45 UK time kick-off on Saturday 21 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Lens the favourite with a 51% chance of winning, against 25% for Toulouse and 24% for the draw. Projected goals are Lens 1.8 - 1.2 Toulouse.
The most likely score in Lens vs Toulouse is 1-1, a draw, at 11%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 59% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Lens vs Toulouse, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | Ligue 1 | Lens vs Toulouse | 3-2 |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Lens | 0-3 |
| 10 May 2025 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Lens | 1-1 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Ligue 1 | Lens vs Toulouse | 0-1 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Ligue 1 | Toulouse vs Lens | 0-2 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Ligue 1 | Lens vs Toulouse | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Lens 1.8 - 1.2 Toulouse in goals. It gives Lens a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toulouse 25%. Both teams to score is 59% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%), 2-0 (8%), 1-2 (6%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 2-1 | Lens win | 10% |
| 1-0 | Lens win | 8% |
| 2-0 | Lens win | 8% |
| 1-2 | Toulouse win | 6% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Lens vs Toulouse, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Lens | Fouls committed | Toulouse | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Aguilar | 14 | C. Jr. | 18 |
| 2 | F. Thauvin | 10 | C. Tapé | 17 |
| 3 | M. Cuisance | 10 | M. McKenzie | 14 |
| 4 | Y. Titraoui | 8 | I. Azizi | 13 |
| 5 | M. Udol | 8 | R. Messali | 12 |
| # | Lens | Shots | Toulouse | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Thauvin | 25 | C. Tengstedt | 28 |
| 2 | M. Udol | 11 | T. Jørgensen | 18 |
| 3 | A. Bulatovic | 10 | J. Russell-Rowe | 17 |
| 4 | F. Sotoca | 9 | S. Hidalgo | 12 |
| 5 | A. Sima | 9 | C. Jr. | 10 |
| # | Lens | Shots on target | Toulouse | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Thauvin | 14 | J. Russell-Rowe | 11 |
| 2 | M. Udol | 5 | T. Jørgensen | 10 |
| 3 | F. Ivanović | 4 | C. Tengstedt | 9 |
| 4 | T. Hazard | 3 | S. Hidalgo | 7 |
| 5 | A. Bulatovic | 3 | C. Jr. | 2 |
| # | Lens | Goals | Toulouse | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Thauvin | 5 | C. Tengstedt | 5 |
| 2 | M. Udol | 2 | T. Jørgensen | 3 |
| 3 | F. Ivanović | 2 | J. Russell-Rowe | 2 |
| 4 | T. Hazard | 1 | M. McKenzie | 1 |
| 5 | R. Aguilar | 1 | S. Hidalgo | 1 |
| # | Lens | Yellow cards | Toulouse | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Thauvin | 3 | N. Sigur | 3 |
| 2 | Y. Titraoui | 2 | C. Jr. | 3 |
| 3 | S. Baidoo | 2 | C. Tapé | 2 |
| 4 | M. Skoras | 2 | S. Hidalgo | 2 |
| 5 | S. Abdulhamid | 1 | N. Schmidt | 2 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 7 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 11 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 8 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 5.4 | 4 of 18 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 7 of 18 |
| Tackles | 16.7 | 8 of 18 |
| Passes | 479.1 | 10 of 18 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 2 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 9 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1.4 | 9 of 18 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 4.7 | 10 of 18 |
| Fouls | 15.8 | 2 of 18 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 11 of 18 |
| Passes | 517.3 | 6 of 18 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 11 of 18 |