Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Brighton win | 11.6% |
| 0-1 | Brighton win | 11.3% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | Brighton win | 9.8% |
| 0-3 | Brighton win | 7.6% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 6.5% |
| 1-3 | Brighton win | 6.4% |
| 1-0 | Hull win | 4.6% |
| 2-1 | Hull win | 4.3% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 4.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Hull clean sheet | 14% |
| Brighton clean sheet | 43% |
The most likely score in Hull vs Brighton is 0-2, a 12% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 11%. The Premier League game kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 22 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Hull 0.85 - 1.96 Brighton in goals for Hull vs Brighton, with over 2.5 goals 53% likely and both teams to score 50%.
Statz projects 22 players for Hull vs Brighton on Sunday 22 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 14:00 UK time kick-off.
Hull host Brighton at MKM Stadium, Hull on 22 November 2026 at 14:00 in the Premier League. Hull's last five results: D L D D L (3 draws and 2 losses). Brighton's last five: L D W W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss).
Hull vs Brighton kicks off at 14:00 UK time on Sunday 22 November 2026 in the Premier League, at MKM Stadium, Hull. MKM Stadium holds 25,586 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 14:00.
Hull vs Brighton is being played at MKM Stadium in Hull on Sunday 22 November 2026, the home ground of Hull, which holds 25,586 people. Kick-off is at 14:00 UK time, and the match is part of the Premier League.
Hull have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7, with results reading D L D D L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-1 defeat away to Arsenal in the Premier League on 7 November.
Brighton have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 2, with results reading W W L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-0 win at home to Brentford in the Premier League on 8 November.
Matt Crooks leads Hull with 5 yellow cards across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Hull player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Hull player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Pascal Groß leads Brighton with 4 goals across their last 10 games, 0.4 a game, the most of any Brighton player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Brighton player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Statz predicts Hull vs Brighton with 11 starters a side: Hull line up 5-3-2 and Brighton 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 14:00 UK time kick-off on Sunday 22 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Brighton the favourite with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Hull and 22% for the draw. Projected goals are Hull 0.9 - 2.0 Brighton.
The most likely score in Hull vs Brighton is 0-2, a Brighton win, at 12%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 50% likely and over 2.5 goals 53%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Hull vs Brighton, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
Statz's projection model expects Hull 0.9 - 2.0 Brighton in goals. It gives Hull a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Brighton 63%. Both teams to score is 50% likely, over 1.5 goals 78% and over 2.5 goals 53%. The most likely scorelines are 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Brighton win | 12% |
| 0-1 | Brighton win | 11% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 11% |
| 1-2 | Brighton win | 10% |
| 0-3 | Brighton win | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Hull vs Brighton, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Hull | Fouls committed | Brighton | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Belloumi | 13 | P. Groß | 16 |
| 2 | O. McBurnie | 12 | C. Andrés | 13 |
| 3 | M. Crooks | 12 | M. Cuyper | 13 |
| 4 | E. Stroud | 10 | O. Boscagli | 12 |
| 5 | N. Mendy | 9 | L. Vuskovic | 12 |
| # | Hull | Shots | Brighton | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Belloumi | 23 | D. Gómez | 26 |
| 2 | O. McBurnie | 13 | C. Kostoulas | 25 |
| 3 | J. Gelhardt | 9 | Y. Ayari | 24 |
| 4 | R. Slater | 8 | L. Vuskovic | 16 |
| 5 | J. Egan | 6 | P. Groß | 15 |
| # | Hull | Shots on target | Brighton | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Belloumi | 6 | C. Kostoulas | 10 |
| 2 | O. McBurnie | 5 | D. Gómez | 9 |
| 3 | M. Cho | 4 | Y. Ayari | 8 |
| 4 | J. Gelhardt | 4 | P. Groß | 4 |
| 5 | S. Ajayi | 3 | M. Yalcouyé | 4 |
| # | Hull | Goals | Brighton | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Belloumi | 3 | P. Groß | 4 |
| 2 | O. McBurnie | 2 | Y. Ayari | 3 |
| 3 | T. Iroegbunam | 1 | J. Hinshelwood | 3 |
| 4 | J. Gelhardt | 1 | C. Kostoulas | 3 |
| 5 | M. Cho | 1 | D. Gómez | 2 |
| # | Hull | Yellow cards | Brighton | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Crooks | 5 | O. Boscagli | 4 |
| 2 | E. Stroud | 3 | P. Groß | 4 |
| 3 | O. McBurnie | 3 | C. Andrés | 3 |
| 4 | L. Coyle | 2 | M. Cuyper | 3 |
| 5 | B. Norton-Cuffy | 2 | L. Dunk | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Hull vs Brighton: Mohamed-Ali Cho 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25); Luka Vuskovic 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.40). Combined odds 1.75 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.2 | 15 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 20 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 3.1 | 20 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Tackles | 18.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Passes | 287.8 | 20 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 14 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.6 | 1 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 16.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.2 | 4 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 7 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 15 of 20 |
| Passes | 517.8 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 8 of 20 |