AC Milan host Benfica at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano on 16 September 2026 at 20:00 in the Europa League. AC Milan's last five results: L W W D D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). Benfica's last five: W W W W W (5 wins).
AC Milan vs Benfica kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Wednesday 16 September 2026 in the Europa League, at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
AC Milan vs Benfica is being played at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano, the home ground of AC Milan.
AC Milan's last five results read L W W D D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Benfica's last five results read W W W W W (oldest to newest): 5 wins.
Pervis Estupiñán leads AC Milan with 3 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Vangelis Pavlidis leads Benfica with 10 goals across their last 10 games.
Jarred Gillett is the referee for AC Milan vs Benfica, averaging 22.7 fouls and 4.3 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan and Benfica are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes AC Milan the favourite with a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Benfica and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are AC Milan 1.6 - 1.4 Benfica.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
Statz's projection model expects AC Milan 1.6 - 1.4 Benfica in goals. It gives AC Milan a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Benfica 32%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-0 (7%), 2-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 2-1 | AC Milan win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Benfica win | 8% |
| 1-0 | AC Milan win | 7% |
| 2-0 | AC Milan win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for AC Milan vs Benfica, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | AC Milan | Fouls committed | Benfica | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 13 | L. Barreiro | 14 |
| 2 | S. Pavlović | 10 | C. Lenglet | 11 |
| 3 | K. Winter | 9 | T. Araújo | 11 |
| 4 | P. Estupiñán | 7 | G. Sudakov | 10 |
| 5 | F. Tomori | 7 | J. Durán | 8 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots | Benfica | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 15 | G. Prestianni | 37 |
| 2 | G. Ramos | 14 | V. Pavlidis | 32 |
| 3 | C. Pulisic | 7 | L. Barreiro | 20 |
| 4 | S. Pavlović | 7 | R. Silva | 18 |
| 5 | A. Saelemaekers | 6 | G. Sudakov | 15 |
| # | AC Milan | Shots on target | Benfica | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 5 | G. Prestianni | 19 |
| 2 | G. Ramos | 4 | V. Pavlidis | 16 |
| 3 | A. Saelemaekers | 3 | R. Silva | 11 |
| 4 | C. Pulisic | 3 | L. Barreiro | 10 |
| 5 | S. Pavlović | 2 | A. Schjelderup | 5 |
| # | AC Milan | Goals | Benfica | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rabiot | 2 | V. Pavlidis | 10 |
| 2 | D. Moreira | 2 | G. Prestianni | 8 |
| 3 | S. Pavlović | 1 | R. Silva | 4 |
| 4 | A. Saelemaekers | 1 | L. Barreiro | 3 |
| 5 | G. Ramos | 1 | A. Schjelderup | 2 |
| # | AC Milan | Yellow cards | Benfica | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Estupiñán | 3 | T. Araújo | 3 |
| 2 | S. Pavlović | 3 | J. Palhinha | 2 |
| 3 | R. Loftus-Cheek | 2 | G. Sudakov | 2 |
| 4 | F. Tomori | 2 | E. Barrenechea | 1 |
| 5 | D. Bartesaghi | 1 | A. Circati | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for AC Milan vs Benfica: Gianluca Prestianni 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.73); Vangelis Pavlidis 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.17); Koni De Winter 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.30); João Palhinha 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.57). Combined odds 2.87 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 6 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10 | 12 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.3 | 14 of 20 |
| Passes | 540.8 | 4 of 20 |
| Corners | 3 | 16 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 20.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 7.8 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 13 | 9 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.2 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 587.2 | 2 of 18 |
| Corners | 8 | 1 of 18 |