Bayern host Arsenal at Allianz Arena, Munich on 21 October 2026 at 20:00 in the Champions League. Bayern's last five results: W W D D W (3 wins and 2 draws). Arsenal's last five: W L W W W (4 wins and 1 loss). In their last 3 meetings, Bayern have won 1, Arsenal 1, with 1 draw.
Bayern vs Arsenal kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Wednesday 21 October 2026 in the Champions League, at Allianz Arena, Munich.
Bayern vs Arsenal is being played at Allianz Arena in Munich, the home ground of Bayern.
Bayern's last five results read W W D D W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
Arsenal's last five results read W L W W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Across the last 3 meetings Bayern have won 1, Arsenal have won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Arsenal 3-1 FC Bayern München on 26 November 2025 in the Champions League.
Harry Kane leads Bayern with 10 goals across their last 10 games.
Bukayo Saka leads Arsenal with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Davide Massa is the referee for Bayern vs Arsenal, averaging 23.5 fouls and 4.8 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bayern and Arsenal are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Arsenal the favourite with a 38% chance of winning, against 37% for Bayern and 25% for the draw. Projected goals are Bayern 1.5 - 1.5 Arsenal.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 58%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | Champions League | Arsenal vs FC Bayern München | 3-1 |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Champions League | FC Bayern München vs Arsenal | 1-0 |
| 9 Apr 2024 | Champions League | Arsenal vs FC Bayern München | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Bayern 1.5 - 1.5 Arsenal in goals. It gives Bayern a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal 38%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 58%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 0-1 (7%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | Arsenal win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Arsenal win | 7% |
| 1-0 | Bayern win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bayern vs Arsenal, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bayern | Fouls committed | Arsenal | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 12 | M. Lewis-Skelly | 13 |
| 2 | L. DÃaz | 11 | G. Magalhães | 11 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 8 | M. Merino | 11 |
| 4 | D. Upamecano | 8 | K. Havertz | 10 |
| 5 | I. Saibari | 7 | E. Konsa | 9 |
| # | Bayern | Shots | Arsenal | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 45 | B. Saka | 24 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 38 | K. Havertz | 14 |
| 3 | L. DÃaz | 25 | M. Ødegaard | 12 |
| 4 | I. Saibari | 18 | N. Madueke | 11 |
| 5 | T. Bischof | 12 | B. Guimarães | 10 |
| # | Bayern | Shots on target | Arsenal | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Olise | 21 | B. Saka | 12 |
| 2 | H. Kane | 18 | K. Havertz | 7 |
| 3 | L. DÃaz | 15 | M. Ødegaard | 5 |
| 4 | I. Saibari | 6 | C. Tzolis | 5 |
| 5 | T. Bischof | 5 | M. Merino | 5 |
| # | Bayern | Goals | Arsenal | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 10 | B. Saka | 4 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 7 | M. Ødegaard | 3 |
| 3 | L. DÃaz | 5 | N. Madueke | 2 |
| 4 | A. Pavlovic | 2 | B. Guimarães | 2 |
| 5 | I. Saibari | 2 | K. Havertz | 2 |
| # | Bayern | Yellow cards | Arsenal | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 3 | M. Ødegaard | 2 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 | G. Magalhães | 2 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 1 | K. Havertz | 2 |
| 4 | M. Kim | 1 | C. Tzolis | 2 |
| 5 | M. Olise | 1 | M. Merino | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bayern vs Arsenal: Harry Kane 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.20); Luis DÃaz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.36); Ismael Saibari 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.40); Viktor Gyökeres 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.25). Combined odds 2.86 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 4.4 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 2 of 18 |
| Shots | 24.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 10.3 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 11 of 18 |
| Tackles | 13 | 17 of 18 |
| Passes | 706.5 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 9.7 | 1 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 5 of 20 |
| Goals against | 0.7 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 12 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 16 of 20 |
| Tackles | 11.3 | 19 of 20 |
| Passes | 521.4 | 5 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 9 of 20 |