Bayern host RB Leipzig at Allianz Arena, Munich on 17 October 2026 at 17:30 in the Bundesliga. Bayern's last five results: W W W D D (3 wins and 2 draws). RB Leipzig's last five: L W L W W (3 wins and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Bayern have won 4, RB Leipzig 0, with 2 draws.
Bayern vs RB Leipzig kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Bundesliga, at Allianz Arena, Munich.
Bayern vs RB Leipzig is being played at Allianz Arena in Munich, the home ground of Bayern.
Bayern's last five results read W W W D D (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 draws.
RB Leipzig's last five results read L W L W W (oldest to newest): 3 wins and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Bayern have won 4, RB Leipzig have won 0 and 2 were drawn. The most recent was RB Leipzig 1-5 FC Bayern München on 17 January 2026 in the Bundesliga.
Harry Kane leads Bayern with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Antonio Nusa leads RB Leipzig with 4 goals across their last 10 games.
Tobias Stieler is the referee for Bayern vs RB Leipzig, averaging 20.5 fouls and 5.0 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bayern and RB Leipzig are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bayern the favourite with a 70% chance of winning, against 14% for RB Leipzig and 15% for the draw. Projected goals are Bayern 3.1 - 1.4 RB Leipzig.
The most likely scoreline is 3-1, a Bayern win, at 8%. Both teams to score is 73% likely and over 2.5 goals 83%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München | 1-5 |
| 22 Aug 2025 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig | 6-0 |
| 3 May 2025 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München | 3-3 |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig | 5-1 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Bundesliga | FC Bayern München vs RB Leipzig | 2-1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München | 2-2 |
Statz's projection model expects Bayern 3.1 - 1.4 RB Leipzig in goals. It gives Bayern a 70% chance of winning, the draw 15% and RB Leipzig 14%. Both teams to score is 73% likely, over 1.5 goals 94% and over 2.5 goals 83%. The most likely scorelines are 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (6%), 3-2 (5%), 3-0 (5%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Bayern win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Bayern win | 7% |
| 4-1 | Bayern win | 6% |
| 3-2 | Bayern win | 5% |
| 3-0 | Bayern win | 5% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Bayern vs RB Leipzig, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Bayern | Fouls committed | RB Leipzig | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 12 | C. Baumgartner | 11 |
| 2 | L. DÃaz | 11 | E. Banzuzi | 9 |
| 3 | A. Pavlovic | 9 | B. Gruda | 7 |
| 4 | M. Kim | 6 | D. Raum | 6 |
| 5 | D. Upamecano | 6 | W. Orbán | 5 |
| # | Bayern | Shots | RB Leipzig | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 35 | A. Nusa | 21 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 35 | C. Baumgartner | 15 |
| 3 | L. DÃaz | 23 | T. Gomis | 14 |
| 4 | J. Musiala | 17 | C. Nkunku | 14 |
| 5 | I. Saibari | 14 | B. Gruda | 13 |
| # | Bayern | Shots on target | RB Leipzig | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Olise | 18 | A. Nusa | 11 |
| 2 | H. Kane | 12 | C. Baumgartner | 7 |
| 3 | L. DÃaz | 9 | C. Nkunku | 7 |
| 4 | J. Musiala | 5 | Rômulo | 6 |
| 5 | I. Saibari | 5 | B. Gruda | 4 |
| # | Bayern | Goals | RB Leipzig | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | H. Kane | 8 | A. Nusa | 4 |
| 2 | M. Olise | 7 | C. Nkunku | 4 |
| 3 | J. Musiala | 2 | R. Baku | 3 |
| 4 | I. Saibari | 2 | Rômulo | 2 |
| 5 | A. Davies | 1 | W. Orbán | 2 |
| # | Bayern | Yellow cards | RB Leipzig | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Laimer | 3 | C. Baumgartner | 4 |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | 2 | M. Finkgräfe | 2 |
| 3 | M. Olise | 1 | C. Lukeba | 2 |
| 4 | J. Tah | 1 | N. Aynaoui | 2 |
| 5 | A. Pavlovic | 1 | A. Nusa | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Bayern vs RB Leipzig: Luis DÃaz 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.29); Harry Kane 2+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Ezechiel Banzuzi 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.30); Willi Orbán 2+ tackles (80% hit rate at 1.67). Combined odds 3.92 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 4 | 1 of 18 |
| Goals against | 0.8 | 3 of 18 |
| Shots | 23.4 | 1 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 9 | 1 of 18 |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 15 of 18 |
| Tackles | 12.8 | 16 of 18 |
| Passes | 714.6 | 1 of 18 |
| Corners | 9.4 | 1 of 18 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 3 | 3 of 18 |
| Goals against | 1 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots | 19 | 4 of 18 |
| Shots on target | 7 | 2 of 18 |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10 of 18 |
| Tackles | 14.2 | 14 of 18 |
| Passes | 529.4 | 3 of 18 |
| Corners | 6 | 7 of 18 |