Real Madrid host Sevilla at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid on 18 October 2026 at 20:00 in La Liga. Real Madrid's last five results: W W L W W (4 wins and 1 loss). Sevilla's last five: D W W L D (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Real Madrid have won 5, Sevilla 0, with 1 draw.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Sunday 18 October 2026 in La Liga, at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla is being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, the home ground of Real Madrid.
Real Madrid's last five results read W W L W W (oldest to newest): 4 wins and 1 loss.
Sevilla's last five results read D W W L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Real Madrid have won 5, Sevilla have won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Sevilla 0-1 Real Madrid on 17 May 2026 in the La Liga.
Kylian Mbappé leads Real Madrid with 8 goals across their last 10 games.
Lucien Agoumé leads Sevilla with 22 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Real Madrid and Sevilla are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Real Madrid the favourite with a 72% chance of winning, against 10% for Sevilla and 18% for the draw. Projected goals are Real Madrid 2.4 - 0.8 Sevilla.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0, a Real Madrid win, at 12%. Both teams to score is 51% likely and over 2.5 goals 62%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | La Liga | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 0-1 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 2-0 |
| 18 May 2025 | La Liga | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 0-2 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 4-2 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | La Liga | Real Madrid vs Sevilla | 1-0 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | La Liga | Sevilla vs Real Madrid | 1-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Real Madrid 2.4 - 0.8 Sevilla in goals. It gives Real Madrid a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sevilla 10%. Both teams to score is 51% likely, over 1.5 goals 84% and over 2.5 goals 62%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%), 1-1 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Real Madrid win | 12% |
| 3-0 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 2-1 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Real Madrid win | 9% |
| 1-1 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Real Madrid vs Sevilla, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Real Madrid | Fouls committed | Sevilla | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Bellingham | 11 | L. Agoumé | 22 |
| 2 | I. Konaté | 9 | G. Suazo | 21 |
| 3 | V. Junior | 8 | I. Romero | 11 |
| 4 | K. Mbappé | 8 | K. Salas | 9 |
| 5 | E. Camavinga | 7 | P. Fernández | 9 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots | Sevilla | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 54 | M. Ortega | 13 |
| 2 | V. Junior | 25 | R. Ure | 11 |
| 3 | J. Bellingham | 20 | I. Romero | 10 |
| 4 | A. Güler | 12 | K. Salas | 8 |
| 5 | F. Valverde | 7 | Y. Fofana | 8 |
| # | Real Madrid | Shots on target | Sevilla | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 26 | M. Ortega | 5 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 9 | J. Iglesias | 4 |
| 3 | V. Junior | 8 | L. Stassin | 4 |
| 4 | A. Güler | 4 | K. Salas | 3 |
| 5 | C. Espí | 3 | I. Romero | 3 |
| # | Real Madrid | Goals | Sevilla | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Mbappé | 8 | I. Romero | 2 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 4 | M. Ortega | 2 |
| 3 | V. Junior | 2 | R. Ure | 1 |
| 4 | C. Espí | 2 | F. Correia | 1 |
| 5 | B. Díaz | 1 | Y. Fofana | 1 |
| # | Real Madrid | Yellow cards | Sevilla | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I. Konaté | 4 | I. Romero | 5 |
| 2 | J. Bellingham | 3 | L. Agoumé | 3 |
| 3 | E. Camavinga | 2 | J. Guridi | 3 |
| 4 | V. Junior | 2 | J. Iglesias | 2 |
| 5 | T. Pitarch | 1 | M. Ortega | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Jude Bellingham 2+ shots (100% hit rate at 1.30); Ibrahima Konaté 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22); Dean Huijsen 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.57); Youssouf Fofana 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 3.39 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2.4 | 2 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1 | 5 of 20 |
| Shots | 17.9 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 7.1 | 2 of 20 |
| Fouls | 8.4 | 20 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15.4 | 16 of 20 |
| Passes | 511.3 | 6 of 20 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 3 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 11 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 10 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.3 | 12 of 20 |
| Fouls | 14.8 | 2 of 20 |
| Tackles | 19.5 | 1 of 20 |
| Passes | 342.8 | 18 of 20 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 19 of 20 |