Derby host Stoke at Pride Park Stadium, Derby on 17 October 2026 at 15:00 in the Championship. Derby's last five results: L L D D L (2 draws and 3 losses). Stoke's last five: D W W W L (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 6 meetings, Derby have won 3, Stoke 2, with 1 draw.
Derby vs Stoke kicks off at 15:00 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026 in the Championship, at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.
Derby vs Stoke is being played at Pride Park Stadium in Derby, the home ground of Derby.
Derby's last five results read L L D D L (oldest to newest): 2 draws and 3 losses.
Stoke's last five results read D W W W L (oldest to newest): 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss.
Across the last 6 meetings Derby have won 3, Stoke have won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Derby County 2-0 Stoke City on 6 April 2026 in the Championship.
Sondre Langås leads Derby with 4 yellow cards across their last 10 games.
Ethan Galbraith leads Stoke with 15 fouls committed across their last 10 games.
Oliver Langford is the referee for Derby vs Stoke, averaging 21.6 fouls and 4.2 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Derby and Stoke are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Derby the favourite with a 40% chance of winning, against 33% for Stoke and 28% for the draw. Projected goals are Derby 1.4 - 1.3 Stoke.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 13%. Both teams to score is 56% likely and over 2.5 goals 51%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Championship | Derby County vs Stoke City | 2-0 |
| 9 Aug 2025 | Championship | Stoke City vs Derby County | 3-1 |
| 3 May 2025 | Championship | Derby County vs Stoke City | 0-0 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Championship | Stoke City vs Derby County | 2-1 |
| 30 Dec 2021 | Championship | Stoke City vs Derby County | 1-2 |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Championship | Derby County vs Stoke City | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Derby 1.4 - 1.3 Stoke in goals. It gives Derby a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Stoke 33%. Both teams to score is 56% likely, over 1.5 goals 76% and over 2.5 goals 51%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 0-0 (8%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13% |
| 2-1 | Derby win | 9% |
| 1-0 | Derby win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Stoke win | 8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Derby vs Stoke, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Derby | Fouls committed | Stoke | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Mowatt | 11 | E. Galbraith | 15 |
| 2 | D. Ozoh | 11 | R. BoženÃk | 13 |
| 3 | H. Meister | 11 | D. Soumaré | 13 |
| 4 | C. Taylor | 10 | S. Gallagher | 12 |
| 5 | B. Clark | 8 | B. Johnson | 10 |
| # | Derby | Shots | Stoke | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Clark | 24 | E. Bocat | 12 |
| 2 | S. Szmodics | 22 | E. Galbraith | 11 |
| 3 | L. Salvesen | 15 | R. BoženÃk | 10 |
| 4 | C. Morris | 10 | G. Hirst | 9 |
| 5 | M. Fuseini | 7 | J. McGlynn | 8 |
| # | Derby | Shots on target | Stoke | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Szmodics | 8 | E. Galbraith | 6 |
| 2 | B. Clark | 7 | S. Gallagher | 4 |
| 3 | L. Salvesen | 6 | B. Johnson | 4 |
| 4 | M. Fuseini | 3 | J. Devenny | 4 |
| 5 | C. Morris | 2 | E. Bocat | 3 |
| # | Derby | Goals | Stoke | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Szmodics | 3 | E. Galbraith | 3 |
| 2 | L. Salvesen | 2 | J. McGlynn | 2 |
| 3 | B. Clark | 2 | S. Gallagher | 2 |
| 4 | M. Fuseini | 1 | E. Bocat | 2 |
| 5 | C. Morris | 1 | J. Devenny | 2 |
| # | Derby | Yellow cards | Stoke | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Langås | 4 | E. Galbraith | 4 |
| 2 | A. Mowatt | 3 | L. Graham | 3 |
| 3 | D. Ozoh | 2 | M. Taloverov | 2 |
| 4 | C. Blackett-Taylor | 2 | B. Lawal | 2 |
| 5 | M. Fuseini | 2 | S. Gallagher | 2 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Derby vs Stoke: Djibril Soumaré 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.22); Ethan Galbraith 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.57); Sammie Szmodics 2+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.20); Alex Mowatt 1+ fouls (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 2.49 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.9 | 21 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 22 of 24 |
| Shots | 12.3 | 14 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.9 | 16 of 24 |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 3 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.5 | 8 of 24 |
| Passes | 400.4 | 14 of 24 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 10 of 24 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.7 | 9 of 24 |
| Goals against | 1.6 | 16 of 24 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 19 of 24 |
| Shots on target | 3.7 | 18 of 24 |
| Fouls | 14.1 | 1 of 24 |
| Tackles | 15.1 | 12 of 24 |
| Passes | 348.7 | 19 of 24 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 20 of 24 |