Fiorentina host Atalanta at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze on 29 October 2026 at 19:45 in Serie A. Fiorentina's last five results: W D L L L (1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses). Atalanta's last five: W W L L D (2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses). In their last 6 meetings, Fiorentina have won 2, Atalanta 3, with 1 draw.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Thursday 29 October 2026 in Serie A, at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
Fiorentina vs Atalanta is being played at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze, the home ground of Fiorentina.
Fiorentina's last five results read W D L L L (oldest to newest): 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses.
Atalanta's last five results read W W L L D (oldest to newest): 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.
Across the last 6 meetings Fiorentina have won 2, Atalanta have won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent was Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta on 22 May 2026 in the Serie A.
Franco Mastantuono leads Fiorentina with 29 shots across their last 10 games.
Nikola Krstović leads Atalanta with 6 goals across their last 10 games.
Federico La Penna is the referee for Fiorentina vs Atalanta, averaging 28.0 fouls and 2.5 yellow cards per game this season.
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Fiorentina and Atalanta are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Fiorentina the favourite with a 37% chance of winning, against 37% for Atalanta and 26% for the draw. Projected goals are Fiorentina 1.5 - 1.5 Atalanta.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a draw, at 12%. Both teams to score is 61% likely and over 2.5 goals 57%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz AI projects goals, shots, fouls, cards and more for every player and both teams in the Projections tab, and the Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | Serie A | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1-1 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Serie A | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 2-0 |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Serie A | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1-0 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Serie A | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 3-2 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Serie A | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 2-3 |
| 24 Apr 2024 | Coppa Italia | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 4-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Fiorentina 1.5 - 1.5 Atalanta in goals. It gives Fiorentina a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atalanta 37%. Both teams to score is 61% likely, over 1.5 goals 81% and over 2.5 goals 57%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 0-1 (7%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 12% |
| 1-2 | Atalanta win | 8% |
| 2-1 | Fiorentina win | 8% |
| 0-1 | Atalanta win | 7% |
| 1-0 | Fiorentina win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Fiorentina vs Atalanta, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Fiorentina | Fouls committed | Atalanta | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Drăgușin | 10 | N. Krstović | 12 |
| 2 | C. Ndour | 9 | Éderson | 11 |
| 3 | Viery | 9 | G. Scalvini | 10 |
| 4 | M. Pongracic | 8 | C. Ketelaere | 7 |
| 5 | L. Ranieri | 6 | R. Bellanova | 5 |
| # | Fiorentina | Shots | Atalanta | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Mastantuono | 29 | N. Krstović | 25 |
| 2 | C. Ndour | 11 | L. Samardžić | 16 |
| 3 | N. Fagioli | 11 | C. Ketelaere | 12 |
| 4 | A. Atta | 11 | G. Raspadori | 12 |
| 5 | A. Njie | 11 | Éderson | 12 |
| # | Fiorentina | Shots on target | Atalanta | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Mastantuono | 9 | N. Krstović | 11 |
| 2 | C. Ndour | 4 | Éderson | 7 |
| 3 | A. Njie | 4 | G. Scamacca | 4 |
| 4 | N. Fagioli | 4 | L. Samardžić | 3 |
| 5 | A. Atta | 3 | D. Zappacosta | 3 |
| # | Fiorentina | Goals | Atalanta | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Mastantuono | 3 | N. Krstović | 6 |
| 2 | Á. Jiménez | 2 | Éderson | 2 |
| 3 | M. Pellegrino | 2 | E. Elmas | 1 |
| 4 | C. Ndour | 1 | G. Gaetano | 1 |
| 5 | M. Pongracic | 1 | F. Kessié | 1 |
| # | Fiorentina | Yellow cards | Atalanta | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viery | 2 | Éderson | 2 |
| 2 | F. Mastantuono | 2 | M. Pašalić | 1 |
| 3 | L. Ranieri | 2 | K. Sulemana | 1 |
| 4 | M. Pongracic | 1 | R. Obrić | 1 |
| 5 | J. Harrison | 1 | F. Kessié | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Nikola Krstović 1+ shots on target (100% hit rate at 1.33); Franco Mastantuono 1+ tackles (100% hit rate at 1.20); Christ Inao Oulaï 1+ fouls (100% hit rate at 1.17); Eljif Elmas 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.36). Combined odds 2.54 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 13 of 20 |
| Goals against | 2.4 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots | 15.4 | 7 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5 | 10 of 20 |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 8 of 20 |
| Tackles | 15 | 15 of 20 |
| Passes | 387.8 | 16 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 8 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 | 8 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.9 | 14 of 20 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 9 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.1 | 9 of 20 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 14 of 20 |
| Tackles | 13.6 | 19 of 20 |
| Passes | 460.3 | 10 of 20 |
| Corners | 4 | 15 of 20 |