Yes, Zulte-Waregem have taken 30 points over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 3.10 more than the 26.90 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Zulte-Waregem create 1.49 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 29.85 in all, and have scored 31 goals from those chances, 1.15 more than that xG would expect.
Zulte-Waregem allow 1.55 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 31.05 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 4.05 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Joseph Okopu has the most expected goals (xG) for Zulte-Waregem over their last 20 Belgian Pro League games, 4.44 xG in 11 appearances, and has scored 7 goals; Jeppe Erenbjerg is next with 4.26 xG.
Zulte-Waregem have taken 3.1 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +1.2 goals against their xG, and +4.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.85 | 31 | +1.15 | 31.05 | 27 | +4.05 | 26.90 | 30 | +3.10 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 14.13 | 15 | +0.87 | 14.91 | 12 | +2.91 | 13.19 | 17 | +3.81 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.66 | 4 | -1.66 | 8.54 | 8 | +0.54 | 5.23 | 4 | -1.23 |
| Home | 10 | 15.62 | 17 | +1.38 | 13.79 | 12 | +1.79 | 14.56 | 16 | +1.44 |
| Away | 10 | 14.23 | 14 | -0.23 | 17.26 | 15 | +2.26 | 12.34 | 14 | +1.66 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct | Belgian Pro League | Gent (H) | 0-2 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 0.77 | 0 | L |
| 19 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht (A) | 3-0 | 0.80 | 2.28 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 0-1 | 0.88 | 1.74 | 0.80 | 0 | L |
| 6 Sep | Belgian Pro League | KV Kortrijk (A) | 0-2 | 1.78 | 0.50 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Westerlo (A) | 2-2 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 0.86 | 1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Belgian Pro League | SK Beveren (H) | 4-0 | 2.44 | 0.65 | 2.45 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Union SG (A) | 0-0 | 1.37 | 1.25 | 1.46 | 1 | W |
| 9 Aug | Belgian Pro League | Genk (H) | 2-1 | 0.55 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 3 | L |
| 9 May | Belgian Pro League | Dender (H) | 2-1 | 2.76 | 1.51 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 1 May | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (A) | 2-3 | 1.35 | 2.05 | 0.97 | 3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (H) | 4-0 | 1.69 | 0.43 | 2.28 | 3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Belgian Pro League | La Louvière (A) | 0-2 | 1.11 | 1.76 | 0.96 | 3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Belgian Pro League | Dender (A) | 1-2 | 2.98 | 1.92 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 4 Apr | Belgian Pro League | C Brugge (H) | 2-2 | 1.04 | 1.88 | 0.84 | 1 | L |
| 22 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Charleroi (H) | 1-0 | 1.18 | 1.09 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 13 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Gent (A) | 2-0 | 1.11 | 2.05 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 8 Mar | Belgian Pro League | Standard (H) | 0-1 | 1.14 | 2.03 | 0.84 | 0 | L |
| 28 Feb | Belgian Pro League | Mechelen (A) | 2-1 | 1.40 | 0.56 | 2.01 | 0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Belgian Pro League | Anderlecht (H) | 2-4 | 3.04 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Belgian Pro League | Sint-Truiden (A) | 3-2 | 1.03 | 2.69 | 0.52 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Okopu | attacker | 11 | 832 | 4.44 | 7 | +2.56 | 0.48 |
| Marley Ake | attacker | 20 | 1385 | 2.93 | 5 | +2.07 | 0.19 |
| István Átrok | attacker | 8 | 407 | 1.39 | 3 | +1.61 | 0.31 |
| Jeppe Erenbjerg | midfielder | 11 | 878 | 4.26 | 5 | +0.74 | 0.44 |
| Serxho Ujka | midfielder | 12 | 335 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.10 |
| Tobias Hedl | attacker | 12 | 544 | 1.79 | 2 | +0.21 | 0.30 |
| Anosike Ementa | attacker | 20 | 1707 | 3.00 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.16 |
| Laurent Lemoine | defender | 16 | 1350 | 1.13 | 1 | -0.13 | 0.08 |
| Malick Mbaye | attacker | 12 | 253 | 1.38 | 1 | -0.38 | 0.49 |
| Yannick Cappelle | defender | 16 | 1070 | 0.73 | 0 | -0.73 | 0.06 |
| Thomas Claes | midfielder | 18 | 1405 | 1.74 | 1 | -0.74 | 0.11 |
| Jakob Kiilerich | defender | 20 | 1692 | 0.89 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.05 |
| Jelle Vossen | attacker | 5 | 153 | 0.94 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.55 |
| Enrique Lofolomo | midfielder | 16 | 1268 | 1.09 | 0 | -1.09 | 0.08 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 14.5 | 22 | +7.5 |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 16.3 | 22 | 9.6 | 4 | 14.8 | 20 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Sporting Charleroi | 8 | 16.3 | 16 | 8.3 | 7 | 15.9 | 21 | +5.1 |
| 4 | Club Brugge | 8 | 22.6 | 19 | 9.7 | 4 | 16.7 | 21 | +4.3 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 8 | 8.8 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| 6 | SK Beveren | 8 | 8.4 | 8 | 15.8 | 14 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 8 | 13.3 | 20 | 13.9 | 17 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 8 | Anderlecht | 8 | 13.6 | 9 | 7.2 | 6 | 14.9 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 9 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11.4 | 9 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 8 | 11 | 12 | 18.8 | 20 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| 11 | Genk | 8 | 14.3 | 16 | 10.2 | 12 | 12.9 | 12 | -0.9 |
| 12 | Standard Liège | 8 | 14.6 | 13 | 12.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 13 | Mechelen | 8 | 9.6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 8.6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| 14 | La Louvière | 8 | 10.2 | 8 | 18.1 | 18 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 10.5 | 6 | 17.1 | 14 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| 16 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 8.1 | 2 | 15.3 | 18 | 7.2 | 3 | -4.2 |
| 17 | Sint-Truiden | 8 | 15.8 | 15 | 12.7 | 16 | 12.7 | 8 | -4.7 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 11.8 | 9 | 12.4 | 16 | 10.5 | 3 | -7.5 |